Paraguay vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in World Cup Predictions
Paraguay and Australia are set to battle it out in a Group D encounter in the third round aiming for crucial points to keep their qualification hopes to the knockout stages alive. This is the first competitive meeting between these two sides but Australia have avoided defeat in their last three international friendly games against Paraguay hence our prediction leaning towards the Socceroos avoiding defeat here in the draw no bet market.
Both teams head into this clash requiring a win to guarantee their spot in the Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup. Having accumulated three points from their opening two matches, neither side can afford to leave anything to chance.
Paraguay and Australia have never met before in competitive action but this is the fourth time these two sides lock horns with the latter having the upper hand in the previous three international friendly games (W2, D1). Can the Socceroos claim a crucial victory at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara and book their spot in the World Cup knockout stages for the second consecutive time?
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Paraguay v Australia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 2.35 | 4.25 |
|
|
2.61 | 2.45 | 4.19 |
|
|
2.67 | 2.2 | 4.48 |
|
|
2.67 | 2.24 | 4.32 |
|
|
2.61 | 2.45 | 4.19 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Paraguay and Australia?
Our prediction for the Paraguay vs Australia match is: Australia wins (refunded if draw).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/06/2026 between Paraguay and Australia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.09% for a win of Paraguay against Australia with odds of 2.8 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Paraguay vs Australia is 24.35% with odds of 2.45 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Australia vs Paraguay with odds of 4.55 at Bet365.
Paraguay - Australia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Paraguay Australia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Paraguay wins | 62.09% | 2.8 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.27% | 1.7 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.29% | 1.6 at LSbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Paraguay | 26.52% | 6.75 at LSbet |
Paraguay vs Australia Form
Paraguay and Australia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Paraguay and Australia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
Paraguay - Australia: Form Analysis
Paraguay got off on the wrong foot in the opening round of the 2026 World Cup. Their first clash in Group D was against co-hosts USA, and they suffered a demoralizing 4-1 defeat.
Los Guaraníes didn't let that outcome derail their campaign, however, as they responded impressively in the second outing by edging Turkey 1-0 courtesy of Matías Galarza's goal in the opening two minutes.
Another three points here could see Paraguay reach the World Cup knockout stages for the first time since 2010.
Los Guaraníes have been waiting 16 years to feature in the World Cup knockout stages, is this the time?
Australia, meanwhile, are also on the verge of securing qualification to the knockout stages if they play their cards right. The possibility of qualifying as one of the eight best third-placed sides remains a realistic fallback option, but they will be determined to avoid relying on other results.
The Socceroos had a perfect start to the 2026 World Cup campaign as they beat Turkey 2-0 in the Group D opener. That outcome saw them put an end to their four-match losing streak in opening games.
Unfortunately, Tony Popovic's side weren't able to build on that momentum as they succumbed to a 2-0 defeat against the USA in the second round, who have already secured qualification to the knockout stages.
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Paraguay against Australia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
G. Fernandez
G. Olveira
DefenderJ. Canale
F. Balbuena
J. Alonso
G. Caballero
Mauricio
B. Ojeda
D. Bobadilla
R. Sosa
ForwardI. Pitta
A. Arce
A. Romero Gamarra
A. Sanabria
P. Izzo
M. Ryan
DefenderK. Trewin
J. Geria
M. Degenek
C. Burgess
MidfielderC. Devlin
P. Okon-Engstler
M. Toure
T. Yengi
N. Velupillay
A. Mabil
A. Hrustic
Missing players
M. Almiron
J. Italiano
ForwardM. Leckie
Paraguay & Australia Squad Analysis
Paraguay head coach Gustavo Alfaro is likely to make some minor changes to the starting XI that beat Turkey in the second round. Following an underwhelming performance from Isidro Pitta last time out, it's likely the Bragantino forward will sit this one out, making space for Antonio Sanabria.
Miguel Almiron won't take part in the final round fixture against Australia after receiving a straight red card for covering his mouth. Ramon Sosa could be a likely replacement for the suspended Atlanta United forward.
Julio Enciso has yet to score a goal in this tournament, but the Strasbourg midfielder has played an important part in the team's success, providing two crucial assists over two games, including Matías Galarza's match-winning goal against Turkey.
No goal, but Julio Enciso poses a threat regardless!
Australia have no injury concerns or suspension news to report on heading into this crucial encounter. Head coach Tony Popovic won't be expected to make too many alterations to the side that faced the USA, with the Socceroos likely to stick with the core group that delivered victory over Turkey in their opening fixture.
Norwich forward Mohamed Toure is expected to spearhead the attack once again as he searches for his first World Cup goal while extending his international goal tally to three.
Most goals and assists
Paraguay
Australia
Mauricio
(1 Goals)
,
M. Galarza
(1 Goals)
,
J. Enciso
(1 Goals)
C. Metcalfe
(1 Goals)
,
N. Irankunda
(1 Goals)
J. Enciso
(2 Assists)
P. Okon-Engstler
(1 Assists)
Paraguay - Australia Key Points
- Paraguay are winless in their last three matches against Australia.
- Australia has won two of their last three matches against Paraguay.
- Paraguay has drawn ten of their last 29 World Cup games.
- Australia won the previous match between the two sides in 2010, 1-0.
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Our Paraguay vs Australia Prediction
Paraguay are the lowest-ranked team in Group D. However, they did show their resilience against Turkey, snatching three points and could be eyeing the same in this final round. It won't be an easy feat to achieve as they face an Australia side they've failed to defeat in three games.
Australia won two of those games, with their most recent win dating back to 2010. The Socceroos have the quality to avoid defeat in this clash and secure a favourable outcome. That being said, we expect Australia to avoid defeat in this one. Our Paraguay vs Australia prediction: Australia wins (refunded if draw).
Paraguay vs Australia Alternative Predictions
Over 1.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Paraguay Australia
| Paraguay vs Australia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay wins | 2.1 | 2.8 | +33.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 2.45 | -25.8% |
| Australia wins | 3.75 | 4.55 | +21.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Paraguay is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 33.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 35.7% (-11.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
