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21 March 2024 - 22:15 

- SF

International - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
VS
Mexico

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Panama vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips - CONCACAF Nations League

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions

The second semi-final of the CONCACAF Nations League will see Panama taking on Mexico at the AT&T Stadium on Friday. The hosts are ranked 44th according to FIFA World Rankings, while the visitors are 15th. Panama have been in impressive form throughout the tournament and are still unbeaten up to this point. In the group stage, they scored nine goals while conceding just two in four matches to top their group ahead of Trinidad and Tobago in second place. Thereafter, Los Canaleros convincingly defeated Costa Rica 6-1 on aggregate in the quarter-finals to book their spot in the final four. They will now face the only side that has got the better of them since June 2023, which came in a 1-0 loss in the CONCACAF Gold Cup final. Panama are riding a four-match winning streak and are unbeaten in their last seven. However, they are still the bookmakers underdog in this encounter. 

Meanwhile, Mexico received direct entry to the quarter-final stage based on their CONCACAF ranking, where they currently hold the top position with 1,909 points, leading by 73 points over second-place USA. In the last eight, El Tricolor drew 2-2 on aggregate with Honduras over two legs before punching their ticket to the semi-finals on penalties. In recent times, Mexico have been in mixed form, with a record of two wins, two draws and two losses. Their last match ended in a 3-2 defeat to Colombia in a friendly back in December. Panama and Mexico have faced each other 42 times throughout their histories. Mexico holds a significantly superior record in the fixture, boasting 25 victories compared to Panama's five. El Tricolor are unbeaten in their last five against Los Canaleros (W4 D1 L0) and are the out-and-out favourites in this one. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Panama v Mexico Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.33 3.4 1.85
Ladbrokes
4 3.1 1.83
NetBet
5 3.45 1.61
Check all Panama vs Mexico odds
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Who will win the Panama vs Mexico Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Panama and Mexico of CONCACAF Nations League on 3/21/24 :

  • There is a probability of 38.83% ⭐ for Panama to win this match against Mexico ⚽ with odds of 5 found at NetBet.
  • NetBet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.45 which implies a probability of 20.92%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Mexico to win the match are about 1.85 at Bet365. That means a probability of 40.25%.

Panama - Mexico Prediction and Best Odds:

Panama vs Mexico prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Panama  is favoured to win38.83 %5
Draw20.92 %3.45
Mexico wins the game40.25 %1.85

Panama vs Mexico Form

Panama and Mexico Last Matches

Panama
Panama Last matches
W D W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
3 :  1
Costa Rica

16 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Costa Rica
0 :  3
Panama

17 Oct 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
3 :  0
Guatemala

13 Oct 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Curacao
1 :  2
Panama

10 Sep 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Guatemala
1 :  1
Panama

7 Sep 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
3 :  0
Martinique
Mexico
Mexico Last matches
D W D L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia

21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  0
Honduras

17 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Honduras
2 :  0
Mexico

17 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  2
Germany

14 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
Ghana

12 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
3 :  3
Uzbekistan

Panama against Mexico : Head to Head (H2H)

Panama

0 %

Draw

20 %

Mexico

80 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.6
BTTS
20%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.2
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.4
Over 2.5
20%
Under 2.5
80%

16 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011

Mexico
1 :  0
Panama

18 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
0 :  1
Mexico

2 Feb 2022 - World Cup

Mexico
1 :  0
Panama

8 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Panama
1 :  1
Mexico

15 Nov 2019 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
0 :  3
Mexico
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Players list

Panama
Panama
Goalkeeper

O. Mosquera

Defender

F. Escobar

A. Andrade

C. Blackman

Midfielder

A. Carrasquilla

A. Godoy

J. Cordoba

Y. Barcenas

J. Rodriguez

Forward

I. Diaz

J. Fajardo

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

G. Ochoa

Defender

J. Vasquez

C. Montes

J. Araujo

J. Gallardo

Midfielder

E. Alvarez

L. Chavez

U. Antuna

E. Sanchez

Forward

H. Martin

J. Quinones

Substitutes

Panama
Panama
Goalkeeper

C. Samudio

E. Roberts

Defender

E. Davis

R. Miller

K. Lenis

J. Ramos

I. Anderson

Midfielder

C. Martinez

A. Ayarza

A. Quintero

Forward

A. Stephens

C. Waterman

Mexico
Mexico
Goalkeeper

J. Gonzalez

L. Malagon

Defender

J. Orozco

C. Rodriguez

G. Arteaga

Midfielder

O. Pineda

E. Aguirre

L. Romo

R. Alvarado

Forward

S. Gimenez

H. Lozano

Missing players

Panama
Panama
Defender

M. Murillo

Mexico
Mexico
Forward

R. Jimenez

Panama - Mexico Key Points

  1. Each of the last four games between these sides have ended with under 2.5 goals
  2. Panama have kept three clean sheets in six matches in this competition
  3. Panama have not conceded more than one goal in any match in this competition
  4. Three of Mexico’s last five matches have ended with under 2.5 goals
  5. Mexico have kept four clean sheets in their last five competitive matches
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Our Panama vs Mexico Prediction

While Mexico have let in a fair few goals in recent times, they tend to perform much better in competitive matches, as illustrated by their four clean sheets in their last five matches. In addition, matches between these sides tend to be very evenly contested with each of the last three being decided by a single goal. We are expecting another close encounter here and feel that this one will end with fewer than three goals. Our Panama vs Mexico prediction: Under 2.5. 

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Panama vs Mexico Prediction

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