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Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips - Club World Cup

World - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
28/06/2025 12:00
Botafogo

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar in Club World Cup Predictions

It’s time for the round of 16 in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup, and the flair of Brazilian football will be on view as Palmeiras and Botafogo clash on Saturday to be the first quarter-finalist of this newly formatted competition. This match will be played at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with the winner facing the winner of Benfica vs Chelsea in the quarter-finals. Read more to find our match predictions.

Palmeiras topped Group A ahead of Inter Miami on overall goal difference, while Botafogo came second in a three-way tie with Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid. Both teams have conceded just two goals in the tournament, so expect another tight game between two sides that have a bit of history. Palmeiras snatching the Brazilian league title from Botafogo two seasons ago in a dramatic finale is still fresh, although Botafogo took revenge in the Copa Libertadores in the following season.

The next chapter in their glorious rivalry is set to be written, but who will blink first? Keep reading to find more about the teams, their line-ups and our predictions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v Botafogo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.35 2.9 3.6
Betfred
2.38 3 3.5
William Hill
2.4 2.8 3.3
Betway
2.3 3 3.3
Unibet
2.35 2.95 3.5
Check all Palmeiras vs Botafogo odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Botafogo?

Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Botafogo match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/06/2025 between Palmeiras and Botafogo in Club World Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.77% for a win of Palmeiras against Botafogo with odds of 2.44 at Stake.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Botafogo is 22.08% with odds of 3 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Botafogo vs Palmeiras with odds of 3.61 at 22bet.

Palmeiras vs Botafogo Form

Palmeiras and Botafogo Last Matches

Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
L W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami CF
2 :  2
Palmeiras

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
2 :  0
AL Ahly SC

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Porto

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Palmeiras

28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
6 :  0
Sporting Cristal

25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  2
Flamengo
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
2 :  0
AL Ahly SC

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Porto

28 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
6 :  0
Sporting Cristal

25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  2
Flamengo

22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Ceara

15 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
2 :  0
Club Bolivar
W W W W L D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Inter Miami CF
2 :  2
Palmeiras

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Cruzeiro
2 :  1
Palmeiras

18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Bragantino
1 :  2
Palmeiras

7 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  2
Palmeiras

4 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Vasco Da Gama
0 :  1
Palmeiras

30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Ceara
0 :  1
Palmeiras
Botafogo
Botafogo Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Botafogo

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Botafogo
2 :  1
Seattle Sounders

4 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  2
Ceara

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
0 :  1
Botafogo

27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
1 :  0
U. De Chile
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Botafogo
2 :  1
Seattle Sounders

4 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  2
Ceara

27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
1 :  0
U. De Chile

14 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
3 :  2
Estudiantes de La Plata

11 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
4 :  0
Internacional

30 Apr 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Botafogo
4 :  0
Capital CF DF
W D L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

23 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Atletico Madrid
1 :  0
Botafogo

19 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

PSG
0 :  1
Botafogo

1 Jun 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Santos
0 :  1
Botafogo

22 May 2025 - Copa do Brasil

Capital CF DF
1 :  0
Botafogo

18 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
0 :  0
Botafogo

6 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Carabobo FC
1 :  2
Botafogo

Palmeiras vs Botafogo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Palmeiras

17 %

Draw

33 %

Botafogo

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

30 Mar 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Botafogo

26 Nov 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  3
Botafogo

21 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
2 :  2
Botafogo

14 Aug 2024 - Copa Libertadores

Botafogo
2 :  1
Palmeiras

17 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
1 :  0
Palmeiras

1 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
3 :  4
Palmeiras
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Palmeiras - Botafogo: Form Analysis

Palmeiras navigated through Group A of the competition unbeaten (W1, D2) and eventually topped ahead of Inter Miami on overall goal difference. That’s largely due to the two clean sheets on matchdays one and two – a 0-0 draw with Porto and a 2-0 win over Al Ahly.

They needed two late goals to draw 2-2 with Inter Miami and qualify as league leaders. Palmeiras still have only two wins from their last six fixtures (W2, D2, L2), and consistency remains a concern.

Palmeiras kept two clean sheets in three games in this tournament.

Botafogo kept just one clean sheet but had conceded only two goals in their three matches. A 2-1 win over Seattle Sounders was followed by a surprise 1-0 win over PSG before a 1-0 loss to Atletico kept them waiting on the tiebreaker.

Head-to-head goal difference was the key for Botafogo, and they will hope to keep their defensive shields up here too. Having not lost any of their recent five matches to Palmeiras in all competitions (W3, D2), Botafogo will fancy their chances of qualification.

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Palmeiras vs Botafogo last Lineups

Palmeiras

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

21
Weverton
2
M. Rocha
15
G. Gomez
26
Murilo
22
J. Piquerez
8
R. Rios
30
L. Evangelista
41
Estevao
23
R. Veiga
17
F. Torres
42
F. Lopez
10
J. Savarino
99
I. Jesus
7
Artur
17
M. Freitas
26
Gregore
25
Allan
13
A. Telles
20
A. Barboza
32
J. Cunha
2
Vitinho
12
J. Victor

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Botafogo

Palmeiras & Botafogo Squad Analysis

Palmeiras could be without Murilo Cerqueira, who hobbled off injured within the first 20 minutes of their match against Inter Miami. Anibal Moreno also missed that match completely but could be fighting fit for this knockout game.

The Green and White could start in their 4-2-3-1 formation, but Mauricio may push for a starting role. He has a goal and an assist in his last two matches. Paulinho also scored in their last game and could be gunning to start on the left flank.

Igor Jesus has two goals for Botafogo in this tournament.

The young forward has been their best player in this Club World Cup, delivering wins with his goals on matchdays one and two. He could once again feature as the central forward in their 4-1-2-3 formation.

Interestingly, when the sides clashed in March earlier this year, both teams decided to play more central in 4-3-3 formations. While that might not resurface, don’t be surprised if the teams stack their midfield and play a tighter game.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Palmeiras
CD Huachipato Botafogo
Top Goalscorer
Argentina F. Lopez (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Jesus (7 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia R. Rios (3 Assists)
Brazil Estevao (3 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Artur (4 Assists)
Venezuela J. Savarino (4 Assists)
Brazil M. Freitas (4 Assists)

Palmeiras - Botafogo Key Points

  1. Two of Palmeiras’ three matches in this tournament saw under 2.5 goals.
  2. Palmeiras kept a clean sheet in two of their three matches here at the Club World Cup.
  3. Botafogo’s last two matches ended with exactly one goal each time.
  4. Including those two, six of Botafogo’s last eight fixtures in all competitions have returned one or fewer goals.
  5. The last match between these teams ended in a 0-0 draw in March.
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Our Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction

There’s always so much passion in South American football, and no one perhaps symbolises that better than these two Brazilian sides. Palmeiras and Botafogo haven’t quite lit up the tournament but have quietly done enough to book their spots in the knockouts. With a chance to do one better than their country counterparts, this match could be a tight one with the defensive walls likely to be erected in full flow. Botafogo’s recent matches have been full of clean sheets, and that could repeat here. Our Palmeiras vs Botafogo prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Palmeiras vs Botafogo - Other Interesting Predictions

Botafogo to qualify

Odds 2.2

Botafogo have three wins and two draws in their last five matches against Palmeiras in all competitions. While it’s Palmeiras who qualified to this round unbeaten from the league, Botafogo have an edge when it comes to playing their Brazilian rivals. There could be value in backing Botafogo to reach the next round.

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Palmeiras vs Botafogo match : Frequently asked questions

The Palmeiras vs Botafogo FIFA Club World Cup last-16 match is scheduled for a 5 pm UK Time kick-off on Saturday, June 28.
The Palmeiras vs Botafogo FIFA Club World Cup fixture will be played at the neutral venue of Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. Opened in 2003, the 67,594-capacity venue is home to the NFL's Philadelphia Eagles and was the host of WrestleMania XL in 2024. It is expected to host fixtures at the 2026 FIFA World Cup too, and has hosted a variety of concerts by artists such as Bruce Springsteen, U2 and Taylor Swift.

The British-based entertainment platform DAZN has got exclusive international broadcasting rights for the tournament. They are set to air all 63 fixtures for free via their internal streaming platform and TV channels.

You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our FIFA Club World Cup Livescore page!

The 2025 edition is set to be played in the United States from June 14 to July 13, 2025. This is the first time that the tournament is being played under an expanded format with 32 teams. That includes the winners of the four previous continental championships.
The 32 teams are divided into eight groups of four teams each. The top two sides have reached the knockout stages with the round of 16 to be played in a single game knockout basis. All in all, there will be 63 matches set to be played in the tournament.
The winner of this match will play the winner of Benfica and Chelsea in the quarter-finals. Inter Milan and Fluminense are the other confirmed members in the top-half of the bracket, while the winner of Group G (Juventus or Manchester City) and runner-up of Group H (Real Madrid, Red Bull Salzburg or Al-Hilal) are also part of the top-half.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Palmeiras vs Botafogo Prediction
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