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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

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Oklahoma City Thunder
18/05/2025 15:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction :

 

Denver Nuggets +8.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions

The Paycom Center will be bouncing on Sunday for Game 7 of the NBA Playoff series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets. The Nuggets beat the Thunder on Friday to level the series 3-3. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

After a historic regular season, the Oklahoma City Thunder entered this series as favourites, but they’ve just not been able to shake the pesky Nuggets and now have to get the job done in Game 7. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been incredible this series and produced another 32-point haul on Friday. Chet Holmgren added 19 points, but Jalen Williams shot a dismal 3 of 16 for six points. 

As a team, OKC's shooting was subpar, going 11 of 40 from beyond the arc, while converting 10 of 16 from the free-throw line compared to Denver’s 27 of 32.

Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets again proved they can never be completely counted out when Nikola Jokic is around. He led the team with 29 points, 14 rebounds, and eight assists. 

However, the key was that the Joker got the support he needed, with Jamal Murray putting up 25 points and Christian Braun adding 23. Westbrook and Strawther also made important contributions off the bench. 

Murray was reportedly playing through illness, and Aaron Gordon had an off night, but the Nuggets’ defence was excellent and will need to be again in this one. 

The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.3 3.65
Betway
1.36 3.3
Ladbrokes
1.28 3.5
Vbet
1.28 3.3
Bwin
1.33 3.4
Check all Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets odds
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets match is: Denver Nuggets +8.5.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game on 18/05/2025 of the current NBA season:

  • Oklahoma City Thunder has a 62.44% chance to pick up the win against Denver Nuggets according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
  • There is a probability of 37.56% ⭐ for Denver Nuggets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 3.65 at Bet365.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Last Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Last matches
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

15 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

13 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

11 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

9 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

7 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

5 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

13 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

7 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

5 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

22 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
118 :  99
Memphis Grizzlies

20 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
131 :  80
Memphis Grizzlies

8 Apr 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
136 :  120
Los Angeles Lakers
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

15 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

11 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

9 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

26 Apr 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
115 :  117
Oklahoma City Thunder

24 Apr 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
108 :  114
Oklahoma City Thunder

13 Apr 2025 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
100 :  115
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Last matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

15 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

13 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

11 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

9 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

7 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

5 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

15 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

11 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

9 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

3 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
120 :  101
LA Clippers

29 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
131 :  115
LA Clippers

21 Apr 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
102 :  105
LA Clippers
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

13 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

7 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

5 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

1 May 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
111 :  105
Denver Nuggets

26 Apr 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
99 :  101
Denver Nuggets

24 Apr 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
117 :  83
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

50 %

Denver Nuggets

50 %

15 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

13 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

11 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

9 May 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

7 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
149 :  106
Denver Nuggets

5 May 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
119 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. The Thunder have only covered the spread in one of their last eight games.
  2. The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Playoff semi-finals when installed as favourites.
  3. The underdog has covered the spread in seven of the last eight games involving the Thunder.
  4. The Thunder have lost four of their last five Playoff elimination games.
  5. The Nuggets have won 13 of their last 20 games against the Thunder when installed as the underdog.

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Thunder are unsurprisingly the favourites in this match, and we feel they should get the win here, with a big performance from Jalen Williams after dropping a stinker in Game 6 on Friday.

However, the Nuggets are 7-1-1 ATS when installed as underdogs in their last nine games and have covered in eight of their last 10 as underdogs against OKC. A Denver upset wouldn’t be a huge shock with the Joker around, but even if they lose, we feel it won’t be by much. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets prediction is Denver Nuggets +8.5.

Prediction :

 

Denver Nuggets +8.5

 
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

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