France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
High-flying Lyon head to Nice as Ligue 1 action returns from the international break, with both seeking to return to winning ways. Hosts Nice sit only two points above the relegation zone, while Lyon are within a point of the leaders, PSG.
Let’s have a look at a prediction for this match. Nice drew 2-2 with Monaco and would have welcomed the break to strategize. They have eight points from the opening seven matches.
Their last win came after the September break, and the hosts will hope lightning strikes twice. Also, playing at home comes with good signs for Nice, with seven of their eight points won here. They’ve also won five of their last seven home league matches.
A 2-1 defeat ahead of the international break would suggest Lyon also needed some time off. They have had a good season so far, but this would have yielded better than their current fourth place.
Defeats to Rennes and Toulouse have put into question Lyon’s ability to challenge for honors. They will hope to answer such with a convincing sway win here.
In all competitions, Lyon have played nine games, and they won seven. Les Gones have also been superb defensively, and especially on the road. In three of their last four away matches, they won without conceding.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nice v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Nice vs Lyon match is: Lyon to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2025 between Nice and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.48% for a win of Nice against Lyon with odds of 2.56 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs Lyon is 14.17% with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Nice with odds of 3.32 at 22bet.
Nice - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nice Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 54.36% | 3.32 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 52.36% | 2.22 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 44.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 23.83% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Nice vs Lyon Form
Nice and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
24 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
|
11
|
17 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 |
Nice and Lyon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Nice vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
3 Jun 2023 - Ligue 1
11 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
Nice against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Mohamed
M. Bombito
A. Abdi
MidfielderY. Ndayishimiye
G. Bernardeau
ForwardT. Moffi
R. Descamps
MidfielderO. Mangala
E. Nuamah
Most goals and assists
Nice
Lyon
S. Diop
(6 Goals)
C. Tolisso
(7 Goals)
H. Boudaoui
(4 Assists)
P. Sulc
(4 Assists)
Nice - Lyon Key Points
- Nice lost four of their last seven matches against Lyon.
- In three of the last four meetings with Nice, Lyon kept clean sheets.
- Lyon have won four of their last five matches in all competitions.
- Nice are winless in their last five outings, losing three of them.
- Lyon kept clean sheets in three of their last four away matches.
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Our Nice vs Lyon Prediction
Lyon have the upper hand coming into this match, and they will not be fazed by the fact that they are playing away from home. The visitors will be going for the kill here as they seek to stay in the title chase.
In previous meetings with Nice, they did well and even kept clean sheets in their last two visits here. Nice may have home advantage, but their recent form isn’t inspiring at all. Our prediction for Nice v Lyon is for Lyon to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice Lyon
| Nice vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 2.55 | 2.2 | -13.7% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.5 | +2.9% |
| Lyon wins | 2.63 | 3.2 | +21.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 31.3% (-6.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Nice vs. Lyon game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
