Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The Netherlands have a chance to stay in the top-two race with a win over Serbia, who have no points, on matchday four of Group A2 in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) on Sunday. This match between the 2nd-placed ‘Oranje’ and the 4th-placed ‘Eagles’ at the Philips Stadion in Eindhoven could be an exciting game with BTTS, our match prediction.
With five points in this UNL cycle (W1, D2), the Netherlands are two points behind leaders Greece and one point above Germany. Serbia are bottom of the standings with no points (L3) and are currently in danger of getting relegated.
The Dutch came back from two goals down to draw 2-2 away at Greece on Thursday. That keeps the Netherlands unbeaten during regular time in their last eight matches (W4, D4) and a shot at upstaging Greece if they drop points against Germany.
An unbeaten 10-game run in competitive home games (W6, D4) gives them a strong chance to extend their unbeaten run under Xavi.
Serbia lost 2-0 away at Germany on Thursday, falling to a fifth consecutive defeat, conceding 14 goals in total. If Germany win against Greece, Serbia’s relegation could be a reality, and a run of five consecutive defeats as designated visitors isn’t likely to improve their morale ahead of this key trip.
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Netherlands v Serbia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.15 | 7.4 | 14 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.65 | 15.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.28 | 5.45 | 11.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Serbia?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Serbia match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2026 between Netherlands and Serbia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.15% for a win of Netherlands against Serbia with odds of 1.28 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Serbia is 19.01% with odds of 8 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.84% chance ⭐ for a win of Serbia vs Netherlands with odds of 17 at Bet365.
Netherlands vs Serbia Form
Netherlands and Serbia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 |
Netherlands and Serbia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Netherlands vs Serbia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Serbia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Flekken
R. Roefs
DefenderJ. Hato
J. Frimpong
N. Ake
MidfielderG. Zechiel
T. Koopmeiners
T. Reijnders
R. Gravenberch
K. Taylor
ForwardN. Lang
J. Zirkzee
V. Milinkovic-Savic
F. Stankovic
DefenderO. Mimovic
N. Simic
A. Stankovic
A. Terzic
S. Pavlovic
MidfielderV. Kostov
S. Lukic
L. Samardzic
ForwardM. Cvetkovic
D. Joveljic
Most goals and assists
Netherlands
Serbia
M. Meerdink
(2 Goals)
A. Zivkovic
(1 Goals)
,
L. Jovic
(1 Goals)
R. van Bommel
(1 Assists)
,
G. Til
(1 Assists)
,
J. Veerman
(1 Assists)
D. Tadic
(1 Assists)
,
S. Lukic
(1 Assists)
Netherlands and Serbia Stats in UEFA Nations League
Netherlands - Serbia Key Points
- The Netherlands have produced BTTS in 10 of their last 11 matches including eight in a row.
- Eleven of the Netherlands’ last 13 UNL games have produced BTTS.
- Serbia have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 12 matches.
- Four of Serbia’s last six competitive games saw both teams score.
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Our Netherlands vs Serbia Prediction
Serbia are stuck at the bottom of the standings with no points, and on recent form, they are unlikely to change that trend here. As they look like strong candidates for relegation, the Netherlands are in the top-two race. A win here will put the Dutch in control of their destiny, although they may end up conceding, which has been happening at a regular rate lately.
The reverse fixture was won 2-1 by the Netherlands, which remains their only prior encounter. That trend could continue, and our Netherlands vs Serbia prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
