Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The fourth match in the Round of 32 at the 2026 World Cup will come from Estadio Monterrey in Guadalupe, where the Netherlands will be taking on Morocco for a spot in the last 16. Oranje and the Atlas Lions both averaged over two goals per game in the group stage, and our prediction is that there will be plenty of chances in this match as well.
Without question, this is one of the standout fixtures in the RO32, featuring two sides separated by just one spot in the global rankings. Ranked seventh in the world, Ronald Koeman’s side got to the knockout stage as Group F winners with seven points from their three games and are hoping to improve on their quarter-final appearance in the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
Mohamed Ouahbi, meanwhile, steered Morocco to second place in a highly competitive Group C, where they finished level on seven points with Brazil. The Atlas Lions are the highest-ranked nation from Africa (6th) and are looking to follow up on their historic fourth-place finish from four years ago in North America this time around. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Netherlands v Morocco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.4 | 3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.16 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.11 | 3.1 | 3.28 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.16 | 3.58 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Morocco?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Morocco match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/06/2026 between Netherlands and Morocco in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.18% for a win of Netherlands against Morocco with odds of 2.4 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Morocco is 30.44% with odds of 3.28 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Morocco vs Netherlands with odds of 3.58 at 1xbet.
Netherlands - Morocco Prediction and Best Odds:
| Netherlands Morocco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 43.18% | 2.4 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.86% | 2.25 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | 1.95 at Stake |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Netherlands | 19.67% | 6 at Roobet |
Netherlands vs Morocco Form
Netherlands and Morocco Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
9 Jan 2026 - AFCON
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
Netherlands vs Morocco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
31 May 2017 - International Friendlies
Netherlands - Morocco: Form Analysis
The Netherlands kicked off their 2026 World Cup campaign with a hard-fought 2-2 draw against Japan before easing past Sweden (5-1) and Tunisia (3-1) in their next two games to secure top spot in Group F.
Oranje were the joint-top-scorers in the group stage of this tournament with 10 goals, though they were unable to maintain a clean sheet in any of their three games, conceding four times in total.
The Dutch have lost just one of their last 14 matches across all competitions dating back to March 2025. That solitary defeat came against Algeria in a warm-up match ahead of this competition.
The Netherlands have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven matches in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Morocco held Brazil to a 1-1 draw in their opening match of the 2026 World Cup, before edging Scotland 1-0 and proving far too strong for Haiti (4-2) in their final Group C game.
The Atlas Lions were runners-up to Senegal at the Africa Cup of Nations at the start of the year. Since then, they have gone unbeaten in eight matches, winning six and drawing two.
Morocco have won one and lost two of their three previous matches against the Netherlands. However, the last time Morocco lost a competitive match in regulation time was at the African Nations Championship in August last year.
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Netherlands against Morocco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Roefs
M. Flekken
DefenderL. Geertruida
M. Wieffer
J. Hato
Q. Timber
T. Reijnders
G. Til
M. De Roon
T. Koopmeiners
J. Kluivert
N. Lang
W. Weghorst
D. Malen
M. Depay
A. Tagnaouti
M. El Kajoui
DefenderM. Saadane
Y. Belammari
A. Salah Eddine
R. Halhal
Z. El Ouahdi
MidfielderC. Talbi
S. El Mourabet
G. Yassine
S. Amrabat
ForwardA. Amaimouni
A. El Kaabi
S. Rahimi
A. Sbai
Netherlands & Morocco Squad Analysis
Brian Brobbey shook off a knock to feature in the win against Tunisia. The Sunderland forward scored the team’s second goal in that match and his third of the tournament, which should see him lead the line this week.
After picking up a yellow card against Japan, Koeman opted not to risk Micky van der Ven in the last match, opting instead for Nathan Ake at left-back. However, now with a clean slate, the Liverpool-linked defender should return to the starting XI here.
Keep an eye on Liverpool's Virgil van Dijk in this match. As we saw against Tunisia, the Dutch skipper has been a menace for opponents at set-pieces, where two of the Oranje’s goals came from dead-ball situations.
Can Ismael Saibari continue his rich vein of form in the Round of 32?
The Bayern Munich-bound attacker has been Morocco’s standout performer in this competition, scoring in all three group-stage matches - the first African player to achieve the feat. He also netted the fastest goal of the 2026 World Cup, scoring after just 70 seconds against Scotland.
Koeman picked out Achraf Hakimi as the primary threat to his side for this match. The PSG right-back was the star of the show in the Atlas Lions' win against Haiti, scoring the team’s opener before setting up Saibari for their second.
Ouahbi opted to rest rising star Ayyoub Bouaddi in the last match, but the Lille teenager is firmly expected to return to Morocco’s engine room for this clash, likely in place of Real Betis’ Sofyan Amrabat.
Most goals and assists
Netherlands
Morocco
C. Gakpo
(3 Goals)
,
B. Brobbey
(3 Goals)
I. Saibari
(3 Goals)
R. Gravenberch
(2 Assists)
,
D. Dumfries
(2 Assists)
,
C. Summerville
(2 Assists)
B. Diaz
(4 Assists)
Netherlands - Morocco Key Points
- All three of the Netherlands’ group-stage matches ended with both teams scoring.
- The Netherlands averaged 3.3 goals per game during the group stage.
- The Netherlands have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven matches in all competitions.
- Morocco averaged 2.0 goals per game during the group stage.
- Morocco has scored in nine consecutive matches ahead of this one.
- The Netherlands have the best attack of the World Cup with 10 goals.
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Our Netherlands vs Morocco Prediction
The Netherlands have looked very impressive in attack in this year’s World Cup, having progressed to the Round of 32 as the joint-top-scoring team in the group stage of the competition with 10 goals.
However, they have needed to be clinical in attack, having failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their three games. Morocco have plenty of firepower in attack too, and we feel that both teams will get on the scoresheet in this match. Our Netherlands vs Morocco prediction is BTTS.
Netherlands vs Morocco Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
All three of the Netherlands’ group-stage games ended with over 2.5 goals. Additionally, the Netherlands and Morocco are averaging 3.3 and 2.0 goals per 90 in this competition, respectively.
Morocco wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Netherlands Morocco
| Netherlands vs Morocco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 2.11 | 2.4 | +13.7% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.28 | +0.9% |
| Morocco wins | 3.6 | 3.58 | -0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Netherlands is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 41.7% (-5.7%)
Netherlands vs Morocco - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between the Netherlands and Morocco will take place on June 30 at 01:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between the Netherlands and Morocco will be played at Estadio Monterrey in Guadalupe, Mexico.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between the Netherlands and Morocco will be broadcast on NSO (Netherlands) and SNRT (Morocco). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
