Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Prediction & Betting Tips - UFC Fight Night

Prediction published on 04/09/2025, 12:18  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 05/09/2025 at 04:10 in UFC Predictions

The upcoming UFC Fight Night main event in Paris pits two of the middleweight division's most dangerous prospects against each other, as Nassourdine "The Sniper" Imavov faces off against the methodical Caio "The Natural" Borralho. Both fighters are on impressive runs, but our prediction leans towards Borralho securing the victory via a decision. We believe Borralho's undefeated UFC record of 7-0 and his meticulous, grappling-heavy approach provide a clear path to victory over the explosive Imavov.

Borralho’s most recent outing was a unanimous decision win over Jared Cannonier in August 2024, a fight in which he showcased his elite cage control and striking defense, out-striking the veteran 153 to 83. He has a remarkable ability to dictate the pace and location of a fight, absorbing just 2.34 significant strikes per minute, while landing at a 60% accuracy rate.

His takedown accuracy is also impressive at 60%, and he has successfully defended 76% of takedown attempts. While Imavov is a legitimate threat and is coming off a massive TKO win over Israel Adesanya in February 2025, his path to victory relies heavily on a clean knockout.

"The Sniper" has been taken down in a number of his recent fights and holds a career takedown defense of just 78%. While this is still a solid number, Borralho’s superior grappling and ability to rack up control time could prove to be the difference-maker, neutralizing Imavov’s striking and grinding out a victory on the judges’ scorecards.