Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting Lisbon have had a lively start to the Portuguese Primeira Liga, and they will look to keep it up against Nacional Madeira this weekend. The defending champions sit atop the league standings with a perfect record after two matches, while Nacional are 14th. Below is our prediction for this match.
Nacional have had a tough run in the league, dating back to last season. They didn’t end it well, and neither is their start impressive. Jesus Ramirez scored a late equalizer to end it 1-1 against Rio Ave.
That goal earned them their first point of the season, and tough as it is, they’ll hope to build on it. In seven league matches, Nacional are winless.
Sporting will still go into this game as the favorites despite playing away from home. The champions have recovered well from their 1-0 loss to Benfica in the Super Cup. In the summer they saw the exit of star striker Viktor Gyokeres.
Trincao is fitting in the shoes well, with three goals and an assist in the opening two matches. The visitors are coming off a 6-0 win at home to Arouca, a statement of their intentions. In Primeira Liga action, Sporting last suffered a defeat in December 2024.
Back then they were grappling with the departure of manager Ruben Amorim to Manchester United. Things are going their way right now.
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The Best Betting Odds for Nacional Madeira v Sporting Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9 | 6 | 1.27 |
|
|
11 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
|
9.5 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
8.5 | 5.5 | 1.29 |
|
|
9.5 | 6 | 1.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting wins and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 3.39% for a win of Nacional Madeira against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 11 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon is 14.71% with odds of 6.05 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 81.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.3 at 22bet.
Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
|
14
|
1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
Nacional Madeira and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
24 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
10 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal
12 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Oct 2024 - Portugal League Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 May 2021 - Liga Portugal
8 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2019 - Liga Portugal
Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
I. Fernandes
Ulisses
MidfielderM. Baeza
ForwardL. Joao
M. Nourani
O. Diomande
MidfielderD. Braganca
ForwardN. Santos
M. Araujo
Most goals and assists
Nacional Madeira
Sporting Lisbon
J. Ramirez
(1 Goals)
F. Trincao
(3 Goals)
J. Mendes Gomes
(1 Assists)
G. Quenda
(2 Assists)
Nacional Madeira - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Nacional are winless in their last seven matches.
- Sporting scored eight times in their opening two matches.
- In nine of 10 meetings with Nacional, Sporting emerged winners.
- Sporting scored 11 times in their last three meetings with Nacional.
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Our Nacional Madeira vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
To this game Nacional are not taking a very impressive run, and playing at home will not bear much significance. They have been the underdogs all through, and we may not see a change here, looking at the form Sporting have started the season in.
The hosts have extended their poor run in the final rounds of last season to this, and they are bound to lose at home. As Sporting have been free-scoring, we are also backing a high-scoring game. Our prediction for Nacional v Sporting Lisbon is that Sporting wins and over 3.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Nacional Madeira vs. Sporting Lisbon game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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