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Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

ATP 35 France
Corentin Moutet
19/10/2025 06:00
ATP 13 Russia
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction :

 

Over 9.5 1st Set Total Games

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

Unsurprisingly, Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev meet in the Almaty Open final after winning all their qualifying games as the favourites. But now, will the favorite once again walk away as the champion, or are we in for a shock defeat? Find out in this Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev match prediction.

After seeing Moutet’s stellar tournament form and considering the fact that he beat Medvedev as the underdog in their last meeting, we're betting on the 1st set total market. To be specific, we expect at least ten games in the first set. Already, this bet has won in one of the only two meetings between Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev.

But what's most telling is their recent games. For Medvedev, all three tournament games featured over 9.5 1st set total games, and this bet has won in his last seven singles. He even lost the first set by 7-6 in his latest outing, before turning it around to beat James Duckworth 2-1 in the semifinal.

On the other hand, this bet also won in Moutet's last three tournament games. And if we zoom out a bit, we also see that six of his last seven singles have featured over 9.5 games in the first set. His last outing saw 12 total 1st games (7-5) in his straight sets victory over Alex Michelsen.

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The Best Betting Odds for Corentin Moutet v Daniil Medvedev Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.2 1.36
William Hill
3.3 1.33
Betway
3 1.38
Ladbrokes
2.87 1.36
Unibet
3.15 1.37
Check all Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev odds

Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev Last Matches

Corentin Moutet Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Corentin Moutet
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

15 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Alexander Shevchenko
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

13 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Bernard Tomic
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Learner Tien

28 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Alexander Zverev
Daniil Medvedev Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

James Duckworth
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

17 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Fabian Marozsan
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

16 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

11 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

10 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

8 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

25 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Corentin Moutet

Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. All three of Medvedev's tournament games featured over 9.5 total games in the first set.
  2. Three of Moutet's tournament games saw at least ten games in the first set.
  3. This bet was won in one of the only two meetings between Moutet and Medvedev.
  4. This bet won in Medvedev's last seven singles.
  5. This bet won in six of Moutet's last seven singles.
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Our Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

It should be a heated Almaty Open final between Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev, despite what the betting odds suggest. So, we're backing a lot of exchanges in the first set that'll see at least ten games in the first set, just like it did in one of their only two meetings.

And we're especially confident, seeing as this bet won in Medvedev's last seven singles and in six of Moutet's last seven. Hence, our Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev prediction is Over 9.5 1st Set Total Games.

Prediction :

 

Over 9.5 1st Set Total Games

 
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Use £/€50 free bets for the Corentin Moutet vs. Daniil Medvedev game!

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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Corentin Moutet vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

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