Moldova vs Slovakia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Predictions Odds Live

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
06/10/2026 14:45
Slovakia

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

It’s a top-of-the-table clash on matchday four at Stadionul Zimbru in Chisinau, as Moldova look to halt the unbeaten start of Group C3 leaders Slovakia in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) campaign. This match on Tuesday between the second-placed ‘Tricolours’ and the first-placed ‘Falcons’ could throw up an entertaining result with over 2.5 goals, our match prediction.

With four points (W1, D1, L1), Moldova are one point above the Faroe Islands. Three points above them are Slovakia (W2, D1) who are unbeaten and are currently primed for promotion.

Moldova edged Kazakhstan 2-1 away from home last Friday, making it four points from two games, having drawn 1-1 against the Faroe Islands before. These results helped them bounce back from a 2-0 matchday one defeat away at Slovakia.

Home form brings no comfort, though, as Moldova have failed to win their last eight home matches (D2, L6). That said, they are unbeaten in their last three home UNL games (W2, D1), which could be a ray of hope.

Slovakia drew 1-1 away at the Faroe Islands last Friday to remain unbeaten in six consecutive games (W4, D2). Those were their first dropped points in this UNL cycle, though, following two wins immediately before. Away form is a big concern though, as Slovakia have just one win from their last eight trips (D1, L6).

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Moldova v Slovakia Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
6.8 4.6 1.4
1xbet
7.75 4.85 1.44
Melbet
7.5 4.74 1.41
Betwinner
7.5 4.74 1.41
22bet
7.5 4.74 1.41
Check all Moldova vs Slovakia odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Moldova and Slovakia?

Our prediction for the Moldova vs Slovakia match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/10/2026 between Moldova and Slovakia in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.33% for a win of Moldova against Slovakia with odds of 7.75 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Moldova vs Slovakia is 25% with odds of 4.85 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 46.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Slovakia vs Moldova with odds of 1.44 at 1xbet.

Moldova vs Slovakia Form

Moldova and Slovakia's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Slovakia
7 3 2 1 0 +3
2 Moldova
4 3 1 1 1 -1

Moldova and Slovakia Last Matches

Moldova
Moldova Last matches
L D D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Kazakhstan
1 :  2
Moldova

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
1 :  1
Faroe Islands

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Moldova

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
3 :  2
Moldova
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Moldova
1 :  1
Faroe Islands

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
0 :  2
Lithuania

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  4
Israel

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
2 :  3
Estonia
D L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Kazakhstan
1 :  2
Moldova

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Moldova

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
3 :  2
Moldova

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  1
Moldova

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  1
Moldova
Slovakia
Slovakia Last matches
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Faroe Islands
1 :  1
Slovakia

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  1
Kazakhstan

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Moldova

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  2
Montenegro

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  1
Malta

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  0
Romania
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  1
Kazakhstan

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Moldova

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  2
Montenegro

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  1
Malta

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  0
Romania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Slovakia
3 :  4
Kosovo
L L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Faroe Islands
1 :  1
Slovakia

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Germany
6 :  0
Slovakia

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Slovakia

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovakia

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Israel
1 :  0
Slovakia

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  1
Slovakia

Moldova vs Slovakia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Moldova

0 %

Draw

0 %

Slovakia

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
2 :  0
Moldova
Moldova vs Slovakia Prediction

Moldova vs Slovakia last Lineups

Moldova

Formation : 5 - 3 - 2

12
D. Celeadnic
8
I. Revenco
4
V. Baboglo
18
I. Iovu
6
M. Gherasimencov
2
O. Reabciuk
14
V. Fratea
22
V. Rata
9
S. Perciun
20
N. Clescenco
15
P. Popescu
7
L. Sauer
9
R. Bozenik
20
D. Duris
19
T. Rigo
22
S. Lobotka
10
T. Suslov
2
I. Mesik
14
M. Skriniar
3
D. Vavro
4
M. Valjent
23
D. Greif

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Slovakia

Substitutes

Moldova
Moldova
Goalkeeper

A. Cojuhar

E. Timbur

Defender

C. Cucos

D. Dumbravanu

Midfielder

D. Forov

O. David

N. Mospan

D. Mandricenco

V. Stina

S. Cojocari

M. Stefan

Forward

S. Bodisteanu

Slovakia
Slovakia
Goalkeeper

M. Dubravka

D. Takac

Defender

L. Satka

D. Hancko

Midfielder

O. Duda

L. Haraslin

P. Pokorny

Forward

A. Kapralik

I. Schranz

E. Prekop

D. Strelec

T. Bobcek

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Moldova
CD Huachipato Slovakia
Top Goalscorer
Moldova S. Perciun (1 Goals) , 
Moldova P. Popescu (1 Goals) , 
Moldova N. Clescenco (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Slovakia I. Schranz (1 Goals) ,  Slovakia O. Duda (1 Goals) ,  Slovakia D. Hancko (1 Goals) ,  Slovakia L. Sauer (1 Goals)
Best assists
Moldova S. Perciun (1 Assists)
Best assists
Slovakia T. Suslov (1 Assists) , 
Slovakia O. Duda (1 Assists)

Moldova and Slovakia Stats in UEFA Nations League

Moldova
Moldova
Slovakia
Slovakia
33%
Wins
67%
33%
Losses
0%
33%
Draws
33%
2.33
Average goals per match
2.33
1
Goals scored per match
1.67
1.33
Goals conceded per match
0.67
67%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
33%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
0%
No goals conceded
33%
67%
BTTS
67%

Moldova - Slovakia Key Points

  1. Five of Slovakia’s last eight matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  2. Four of Moldova’s last eight games have seen three or more goals.
  3. Two of Slovakia’s last four UNL matches have seen more than two goals.
  4. Slovakia have scored 2+ goals in their last two matches against Moldova.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Moldova vs Slovakia Prediction

Slovakia have already built up a three-point lead at the top of the standings, and another win here over Moldova would put them closer towards promotion. Moldova will be keen to avenge the loss on matchday one against Slovakia and have the extra incentive of replacing their visitors at the top, although recent form suggests that may be a tough ask.

The reverse fixture ended in a 2-0 win for Slovakia, but the goals this time could go against the trend. Our Moldova vs Slovakia prediction is over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Moldova vs. Slovakia game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Moldova and Slovakia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.