Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

Prediction published on 11/12/2025, 05:56  by Geoffrey Ejiga | Modified on 11/12/2025 at 06:05 in NBA Predictions

We're back to regular-season action after the 3-day break for the NBA Cup quarterfinals, and the Milwaukee Bucks will take on the Boston Celtics in the first game of Friday. With Giannis still out of the picture for the Bucks, the Celtics are our favourites to win with the +6 points spread in this match prediction.

This will be their first meeting after 25 games, and the Celtics are in much better shape to win their six straight games. More importantly, our analysis points to Boston doing so with 6+ points. Boston edges the Bucks in points scored this season, making 117.2 compared to Milwaukee’s 115.2.

But even more telling is their points allowed and +/- for the season. Whereas Boston allows the third-lowest points per game (110.3), the Bucks allow (118.3), which is an 8-point difference. Moreover, the Celtics are fifth on +/- with 6.7, while the Bucks are 19th with -2.9.

Where the Bucks actually edge Boston is in three-point percentage, as Milwaukee leads the league with 40.9%. However, the Celtics remain the sharper offensive team. Besides making more PPG and conceding less than the Bucks, the Celtics lead the league with the lowest turnovers per game (11), underscoring their efficiency when on the move.