International - US Darts Masters
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Darts Predictions
The first round at the 2025 US Darts Masters will see Michael van Gerwen taking on Leonard Gates on Friday. The winner of this match between Mighty Mike and Soulger will move on to face either Gerwyn Price or Adam Sevada in the quarter-finals. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Michael van Gerwen had his sixth defeat in a row across all tournaments when he faced Nathan Aspinall on night 16 of the Premier League in Aberdeen.
Despite his poor form of late, Gerwen has won on the 2025 European Tour, securing an 8-5 victory over compatriot Gian van Veen, making this his 11th European tour win since 2013.
MVG has won half of all his games (50) played since February this year. He is averaging 97.30 with a checkout rate of 41.73% over the last 12 months.
Meanwhile, Leonard Gates' last game was back in March at the Modus Super Series, where he faced Andreas Harrysson, who won the match 3-1.
The 54-year-old’s best results for 2025 were at the World Championship, where he finished in the last 64. He also notched up his 11th win on the CDC Pro tour this year.
Over the last 12 months, Gates has maintained an average of 86.85 and a checkout rate of 34.96%, including a highest checkout of 170.
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Michael van Gerwen - Leonard Gates Key Points
- Michael van Gerwen is the number-three-ranked player in the world.
- Michael van Gerwen won a European Tour title this year.
- Michael van Gerwen has won 12 World Series events.
- Leonard Gates has lost three of his last four matches.
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Our Michael van Gerwen vs Leonard Gates Prediction
Michael van Gerwen sustained an injury during the Premier League season and was unable to find his best thereafter. However, foregoing the World Cup may have been just what he needed.
Now well-rested, MVG will be looking to end the year strongly, and a dominant victory in this match could be exactly what he needs to get back on track. We doubt Gates will be able to pull off an upset. Our Michael van Gerwen vs Leonard Gates prediction is Michael van Gerwen -2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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