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22 June 2024 - 21:00 

- Day 1

South America - Copa America

Mexico
VS
Jamaica

Prediction :

Mexico wins the match

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Mexico vs Jamaica Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America

 by Sridhar in Copa America Predictions

Jamaica can create history with a first-ever win in the Copa America competition, but will have to go past Mexico in their inaugural match of the 2024 edition.

This Group B game will be played at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas, on Sunday morning, UK time. With Ecuador and Venezuela being the other teams in this group, a win here could put them in a strong position to qualify for the knockouts.

Mexico are participating in the tournament for the first time since 2016, when they made it to the quarterfinals, while Jamaica played in the 2015 and 2016 editions, losing all six matches without even scoring a goal.

Can Mexico edge out Jamaica, or is there history in the making?

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The Best Betting Odds for Mexico v Jamaica Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.44 4.5 7
Ladbrokes
1.73 2.8 5.5
NetBet
1.55 3.55 5.2
1xbet
1.02 19 501
22bet
1.02 19 501
Betwinner
1.62 3.82 5.8
Stake
1.01 14.75 100
Melbet
1.63 3.74 5.85
Tonybet
1.58 4 6.2
Check all Mexico vs Jamaica odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mexico and Jamaica?

Our prediction for the Mexico vs Jamaica match is: Mexico to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/22/24 between Mexico and Jamaica in Copa America :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.9% for a win of Mexico against Jamaica with odds of 1.73 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mexico vs Jamaica is 23.51% with odds of 19 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 39.59% chance ⭐ for a win of Jamaica vs Mexico with odds of 501 at 1xbet.

Mexico - Jamaica Prediction and Best Odds:

Mexico Jamaica Prediction Probability Odds
Jamaica wins 39.59% 501 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 55.47% 2.23 at Melbet
Both Team To Score 55.83% 1.91 at Bet365
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Jamaica 16.35% 13 at Bet365

Mexico vs Jamaica Form

Mexico and Jamaica's standings in the Copa America

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Mexico
Mexico
4 3 1 1 1 0
4
Jamaica
Jamaica
0 3 0 0 3 -6

Mexico and Jamaica Last Matches

Mexico
Mexico Last matches
L W L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Brazil

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
0 :  4
Uruguay

31 May 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
1 :  0
Bolivia

24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
2 :  0
Mexico

21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Panama
0 :  3
Mexico

16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  3
Colombia
Jamaica
Jamaica Last matches
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

9 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Dominica
2 :  3
Jamaica

6 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Jamaica
1 :  0
Dominican Republic

24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
1 :  0
Panama

21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

USA
3 :  1
Jamaica

3 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Trinidad And Tobago
0 :  0
Jamaica

21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  3
Jamaica

Mexico against Jamaica : Head to Head (H2H)

Mexico

60 %

Draw

40 %

Jamaica

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3
BTTS
80%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
1
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5
20%

12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011

Jamaica
0 :  3
Mexico

26 Mar 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico
2 :  2
Jamaica

14 Jun 2022 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
1 :  1
Mexico

27 Jan 2022 - World Cup

Jamaica
1 :  2
Mexico

2 Sep 2021 - World Cup

Mexico
2 :  1
Jamaica
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Mexico - Jamaica: Form Analysis

Mexico went through a roller-coaster ride in their three warm-up matches before the tournament. They defeated Bolivia 1-0, but went on to lose 4-0 to Uruguay and 3-2 to Brazil.

That is not ideal preparation on paper, but the quality of the opposition should have surely given them a good workout. They are in the Copa America competition for the first time since 2016, when they made it to the quarterfinals, so there’s enough incentive to get back to form. Their FIFA ranking of 14, which is 41 places better than Jamaica, also tells the story of a side that can bring their best game when needed.

El Tri have also won six of their last 11 matches against Jamaica, including a 3-0 win last time in July. This time around, though, Jamaica will come well prepared. They have won their last three matches coming into the tournament, against Panama (1-0), the Dominican Republic (1-0), and Dominica (3-2).

That should keep the spirits high in the camp as they look to notch a first-ever win in the Copa America competition. They have lost all six matches in the two editions in which they participated and even failed to score a goal. That’s history on the line for Jamaica if they can find something in their game to take advantage of Mexico’s generational change.

Jamaica has their own problems to tackle, as the internal squabbles around players from the Premier League not getting enough credit have put them in a spot.

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Mexico against Jamaica Lineups: Starting 11

Mexico

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Gonzalez
2
J. Sanchez
3
C. Montes
5
J. Vasquez
6
G. Arteaga
17
O. Pineda
4
E. Alvarez
24
L. Chavez
15
U. Antuna
11
S. Gimenez
9
J. Quinones
9
M. Antonio
11
S. Nicholson
7
D. Gray
15
J. Latibeaudiere
14
K. Palmer
10
B. Decordova-Reid
22
G. Leigh
5
E. Pinnock
6
D. Bernard
2
D. Lembikisa
23
J. Waite

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Jamaica

Missing players

Mexico
Mexico
Defender

G. Arteaga

Midfielder

E. Alvarez

Jamaica
Jamaica
Goalkeeper

A. Blake

Defender

A. Bell

G. Leigh

Mexico & Jamaica Squad Analysis

Mexico will pin their hopes on the exciting 23-year-old striker Santiago Gimenez, who has four goals to his name on national duty. He has 26 goals and eight assists for Feyenoord in club football and will be their mainstay. Edson Alaverez of West Ham will man the central midfield, while Jorge Sanchez is expected to lead the backline.

Jamaica went through an internal controversy, with striker Leon Bailey refusing to turn up despite being called up. There is still enough depth on the side with West Ham’s Michail Antonio and Demarai Gray. Michael Hector and Damion Lowe could be the ones slated to start at the back.

Mexico - Jamaica Key Points

  1. Mexico won 3-0 against Jamaica in July 2023 when the sides last met
  2. Mexico have two wins and a draw from their last four matches in the Copa America competition
  3. Jamaica have never won a match in the Copa America competition, losing all six
  4. Jamaica have conceded five goals in their last four matches
Up to $150 to bet on Mexico - Jamaica! 

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Our Mexico vs Jamaica Prediction

Mexico’s preparations for the tournament have been far from ideal, losing three of their last four matches. That said, those have come up against tougher teams like the United States, Uruguay, and Brazil. With a historical record of six wins and four draws from their last 11 matches against Jamaica, the Mexicans will look to get their tournament off to a winning start. Our prediction for Mexico vs Jamaica is a win for Mexico.

Prediction :

Mexico wins the match

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Mexico vs Jamaica - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Mexico have leaked goals recently, conceding nine in their last four matches. All those goals came against better-ranked teams like the United States, Uruguay, and Brazil, but Jamaica will pose a scoring threat. The Jamaicans have scored in their last four matches and will fancy their chances here of at least getting one goal.

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mexico Jamaica

Mexico vs Jamaica Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Mexico wins 1.62 1.44 -11.1%
Draw 3.8 4.5 +18.4%
Jamaica wins 5.75 7 +21.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Jamaica is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 21.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 17.4% and is now 14.3% (-3.1%)

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Bet365 Euro superboost

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Mexico vs Jamaica match : Frequently asked questions

The Mexico vs Jamaica Copa America match is scheduled for a 2am UK time kick-off on Sunday, June 23, 2024, which will be 9pm ET Saturday.
This exciting match will be played at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.

The Mexico vs Jamaica Copa America Group B match will be available live on Fox Sports 1 TV Channel in the USA. It can also be streamed live on the Fox Sports app.

Check out our Copa America Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mexico vs Jamaica Prediction
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