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Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open

ATP - ATP Japan Open

ATP 48 USA
Marcos Giron
24/09/2025 22:00
ATP 74 USA
Sebastian Korda

Prediction :

 

Match to have three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Marcos Giron will play fellow unseeded player Sebastian Korda in the opening round of the 2025 Japan Open. This is their first meeting in three years, and the winner will play Tomas Machac or Sho Shimabukuro next. Read on to find our prediction for this match. 

Marcos Giron is having a shaky season and so far has compiled a nervy 19-22 record. Recently, however, he has seen some improvement and will be keen to keep this form going. 

The American, who won the first-ever meeting with Korda six years ago, is coming off a quarter-final run in Chengdu. Giron, who arrived in Chengdu having won just once in seven outings, has jumped to 48th place in the ATP. 

Sebastian Korda has struggled with his health this year, which in turn has affected his form. The American, who began the year with a runners-up finish in Adelaide, has missed three months of the season with a leg injury. 

This long absence almost saw him drop out of the ATP’s top 100. Currently in 71st place in the live ranking, Korda has contested 27 matches and won 15 times. The 25-year-old, who is making his Tokyo debut, has won the last two meetings with Giron. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Marcos Giron v Sebastian Korda Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
William Hill
2.5 1.53
Betway
2.6 1.5
Ladbrokes
2.6 1.48
Unibet
2.65 1.48
Check all Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda odds
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Who will win the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda match is: match to have three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda game on 24/09/2025 of the current ATP Japan Open season:

  • Marcos Giron has a 34.21% chance to win against Sebastian Korda according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 2.65.
  • Sebastian Korda has a 65.79% probability of winning facing Marcos Giron ⭐ with odds of 1.53 at Bet365.

Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Marcos Giron has a 34.21 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Marcos Giron34.21 %
Sebastian Korda65.79 %

Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda Form

Marcos Giron and Sebastian Korda Last Matches

Marcos Giron Last matches
L W L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

21 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Sonego
0 :  2
Marcos Giron

17 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Benjamin Bonzi
3 :  2
Marcos Giron

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  3
Marcos Giron

19 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Marcos Giron
Sebastian Korda Last matches
W W L L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

20 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Yibing Wu
2 :  1
Sebastian Korda

19 Sep 2025 - ATP Hangzhou Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Cameron Norrie
abort
Sebastian Korda

22 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Korda
withdraw
Marton Fucsovics

21 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Miomir Kecmanovic

20 Aug 2025 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Kamil Majchrzak
1 :  2
Sebastian Korda
Compare Marcos Giron and Sebastian Korda with our comparison tool.

Marcos Giron - Sebastian Korda Key Points

  1. A decider has been played in the last two meetings between Giron and Korda.
  2. Giron has won close to 260 matches on hard courts in his career.
  3. In his career, Korda has won 109 matches on hard courts.
  4. This is the second career meeting on a hard court between Korda and Giron.
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Our Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Our prediction for Marcos Giron v Sebastian Korda is for the match to have three sets. Korda and Giron have had intense duels in the past. Their last two matches have gone the full distance, and as a result, we expect their latest duel to follow suit.

The two countrymen are hard court specialists and have registered the majority of their career victories on such surfaces. It is also important to note that both players are seeking to return to winning ways, which is an aspect that adds more spice.

Prediction :

 

Match to have three sets

 
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Marcos Giron vs Sebastian Korda Prediction
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