Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Both of these clubs are closing in on qualification for next season's Champions League. The Red Devils are third in the Premier League and are a place and three points above visitors Liverpool. This is a fixture that usually sees a few goals scored. Read more in our matchar prediction below.
Manchester United won 2-1 against Brentford on Monday to go 11 points clear of sixth place. There are only four games to play in this season's Premier League and qualification for the 2026-27 UCL is looking very likely for United.
Liverpool won't be winning any trophies this season and their reign as Premier League champions is over. The Reds are eight points above sixth place so Champions League qualification is close. They have won their last two league games and in each of them, there were more than 2.5 goals scored in those matches. They will be looking for some revenge after losing the reverse game at Anfield 2-1.
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Manchester United v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.75 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.68 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.72 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.7 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.7 | 2.72 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Liverpool match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2026 between Manchester United and Liverpool in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.24% for a win of Manchester United against Liverpool with odds of 2.43 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Liverpool is 10.81% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Manchester United with odds of 2.95 at 888Starz.
Manchester United - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 58.24% | 2.43 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.19% | 1.58 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Manchester United/Manchester United | 23.48% | 4 at Bet365 |
Manchester United vs Liverpool Form
Manchester United and Liverpool's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
5
|
60 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 |
Manchester United and Liverpool Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
Manchester United vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Sept 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
Manchester United - Liverpool: Form Analysis
Last season saw Manchester United earn just 42 league points. That was exactly half the total of Liverpool who won the title. Nearly 12 months later, United have improved and Liverpool taken a few steps backward. The Red Devils lead their opponents by three points after 34 games of the season.
Monday saw them beat Brentford 2-1 at Old Trafford and that was their 11th home league win of the season with only three defeats. Only one of their last five games has been lost and that was a home loss to Leeds United.
Plenty of goals have been scored in recent United games.
Six of their last seven home games have been won. Both teams have scored with more than 2.5 goals in five of their last six home fixtures. The reverse fixture against Liverpool saw them win 2-1 at Anfield.
Ten of the last 11 competitive fixtures between these two giants of English football have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. That statistic has also come up in three of the last four away games Liverpool have played.
The Reds have won their last two league fixtures with victories against Everton and Crystal Palace. Only one of their last four games has been lost and that was to PSG in the UCL. They will want to get their own back on the Reds for beating them at Anfield.
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Manchester United against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bayindir
DefenderN. Mazraoui
L. Yoro
T. Malacia
P. Dorgu
M. Ugarte
M. Mount
ForwardA. Diallo
J. Zirkzee
A. Pecsi
DefenderE. Mor Talla Ndiaye
M. Kerkez
J. Gomez
MidfielderF. Chiesa
T. Nyoni
K. Morrison
ForwardR. Ngumoha
W. Wright
Missing players
M. De Ligt
Alisson
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderC. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
ForwardM. Salah
A. Isak
H. Ekitike
Manchester United & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Manchester United will confirm their return to the Champions League if they can beat Liverpool. They will have Mattheus Cunha available again for this match after missing the Brentford game due to a sore hip flexor.
He is a possible replacement for Amad Diallo as United look to control the midfield against their great rivals Luke Shaw is doubtful for this match and Lisandro Martinez is still serving a suspension.
Big stat on the way for Fernandes.
Bruno Fernandes has had an excellent season and another assist will see him equal the record of 20 in a league season.
Liverpool still have a little bit of work to do to guarantee Champions League football next season. Alisson is likely to be in goal for the visitors, if not then it will be Freddie Woodman between the sticks as was the case last weekend against Palace.
Joe Gomez may come back into the side but soon to depart Mo Salah is unlikely to be playing at Old Trafford this weekend. Alexander Isak has made a good comeback from injury and has linked up well with Florian Wirtz.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Liverpool
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
H. Ekitike
(11 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
M. Salah
(7 Assists)
, 
D. Szoboszlai
(7 Assists)
Manchester United - Liverpool Key Points
- Only one of the last 11 competitive games between Manchester United and Liverpool hasn't seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
- Five of United's last six home games have seen more than 2.5 goals in the match.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in three of Liverpool's last four away games.
- The last two Premier League games Liverpool have played saw more than 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction
This is one of the most heated rivalries in English football. Both clubs have had their ups and downs this season with no silverware being won. However, qualification for next season's UCL is looking very likely and that's great news for United.
The home side would love to finish above Liverpool in the final league table trailing them by 42 points last term. This fixture regularly produces a fair few goals and our main Manchester United v Liverpool prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Manchester United vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
Manchester United wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Liverpool
| Manchester United vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 2.34 | 2.43 | +3.8% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.9 | +5.4% |
| Liverpool wins | 2.7 | 2.95 | +9.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.7% and is now 41.2% (-1.6%)
Manchester United vs Liverpool - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
