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12 May 2024 - 11:30 

- Day 37

England - Premier League

Manchester United
VS
Arsenal

Prediction :

Over 3.5

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Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

 by Ian John | in Premier League Prediction

There’s a massive Premier League clash this weekend at Old Trafford as Manchester United host Arsenal in a game that has huge implications in the title race. A win for Arsenal heaps the pressure on Manchester City ahead of City's trip to Spurs next week. A win or draw would mean Manchester United do Manchester City a massive favour in their quest for a fifth Premier League title win in six years. United need the win to keep pushing for a potential spot in Europe next season which adds an extra dimension to this tie. With so much at stake, plus a recent history of plenty of goals in this game, this should be an enthralling match to watch on Sunday.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Arsenal Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
501 26 1.01
Ladbrokes
5 3.25 1.65
NetBet
6.3 5.2 1.38
Check all Manchester United vs Arsenal odds
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Who will win the Manchester United vs Arsenal Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Manchester United and Arsenal of Premier League on 5/12/24 :

  • There is a probability of 28.43% ⭐ for Manchester United to win this match against Arsenal ⚽ with odds of 501 found at Bet365.
  • Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 26 which implies a probability of 22.02%.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Arsenal to win the match are about 1.65 at Ladbrokes. That means a probability of 49.55%.

Manchester United - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:

Manchester United vs Arsenal prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Manchester United  is favoured to win28.43 %501
Draw22.02 %26
Arsenal wins the game49.55 %1.65

Manchester United vs Arsenal Form

Manchester United and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Arsenal
Arsenal
89 38 28 5 5 62
8
Manchester United
Manchester United
60 38 18 6 14 -1

Manchester United and Arsenal Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
D D D W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4.33
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
2.33
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

6 May 2024 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  0
Manchester United

27 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  1
Burnley

24 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Sheffield United

21 Apr 2024 - FA Cup

Coventry City
3 :  3
Manchester United

13 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Manchester United

7 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
2 :  2
Liverpool
Arsenal
Arsenal Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

4 May 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  0
Bournemouth

28 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  3
Arsenal

23 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Chelsea

20 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  2
Arsenal

17 Apr 2024 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  0
Arsenal

14 Apr 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
0 :  2
Aston Villa

Manchester United against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

50 %

Draw

0 %

Arsenal

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
4
BTTS
83%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
2
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

3 Sep 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Manchester United

22 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
0 :  2
Manchester United

22 Jan 2023 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  2
Manchester United

4 Sep 2022 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  1
Arsenal

23 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Manchester United

2 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Arsenal
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Manchester United - Arsenal: Form Analysis

For the home fans, this game is crucial for their European hopes but it is also a chance for Manchester United to inflict another blow on one of Manchester City’s rivals for the Premier League title. Just as they did when drawing 2-2 with Liverpool just a month or so ago. It is an odd twist of fate that sees Man City’s title hopes likely enhanced with a Man Utd win over Arsenal. While the Gunners title dreams rest on rivals Tottenham beating or drawing with Manchester City in their game in hand next week. On a more mundane level, Manchester United boss Erik Ten Hag needs a reaction from his team after their dismal 4-0 defeat to Crystal Palace last time out. United have won just one of their last seven EPL games though and have dropped down to eighth in the table as a result. 

Arsenal come into this game having bounced back superbly from the shock 2-0 defeat to Aston Villa a few weeks ago. They’ve won all four Premier League games since scoring 13 goals and conceding just two. Last time out, they cantered to a 3-0 win over Bournemouth setting themselves up nicely for this trip to Old Trafford. Mikel Arteta knows his side cannot slip up in their two remaining games and they also need City to drop points in one of their final three matches. For many years this was the premier fixture of the season between the two teams vying for the title. It still is a massive game but this time it is only the visiting Arsenal that have their eyes on the top prize.

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Manchester United against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

24
A. Onana
20
D. Dalot
18
Casemiro
35
J. Evans
29
A. Wan-Bissaka
37
K. Mainoo
4
S. Amrabat
16
A. Diallo
39
S. Mctominay
17
A. Garnacho
11
R. Hojlund
19
L. Trossard
29
K. Havertz
7
B. Saka
41
D. Rice
5
T. Partey
8
M. Odegaard
18
T. Tomiyasu
6
Gabriel
2
W. Saliba
4
B. White
22
D. Raya

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Arsenal

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Defender

T. Malacia

L. Shaw

V. Lindelof

R. Varane

H. Maguire

Midfielder

M. Mount

Forward

A. Martial

Arsenal
Arsenal
Defender

J. Timber

Midfielder

B. Saka

Manchester United & Arsenal Squad Analysis

Hosts Manchester Unitde have a number of players ruled out for the game. Tyrell Malacia is out for the rest of the season, as is Harry Maguire. However Raphael Varane, Luke Shaw, Victor Lindelof and Lisandro Martinez are getting close to a return, while Marcus Rashford, Scott McTominay and Bruno Fernandes all have knocks but should be fit to play. Youngster Willy Kambwala however is ruled out, but United could welcome back Anthony Martial after a lengthy spell out with injury. Kobbie Mainoo should continue in midfield as the youngster seeks to earn a spot in the England squad for the European Championships.

Arsenal's sole injury worry remains Jurrien Timber. The ex-Ajax defender has missed the entire season with an ACL injury after geing hurt during the pre-season. He is close to a return but it is doubtful that he will be thrust straight into the first team at this crucial point of the season. Other than that, Mikel Arteta has a very healthy and fully fit Arsenal squad to pick from. Declan Rice has been one of Arsenal's star players this season and his anchoring role in midfield has been key to the Gunners success this season.

Manchester United - Arsenal Key Points

  1. Five of Manchester United's last six games have seen Over 3.5 Goals scored.
  2. Two of Arsenal's last three Premier League games have seen over 3.5 goals scored.
  3. Arsenal have scored 16 goals in their last 6 Premier League games.
  4. All of the last five games between Man Utd and Arsenal have seen Over 3.5 Goals scored. That includes this season's 3-1 win for Arsenal when the teams met back in September.
  5. Both team's league games this season average comfortably over 3 goals per game (3.22 for Arsenal, 3.06 for Man Utd)
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Our Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction

While picking a winner between Manchester United and Arsenal can be tricky, despite the fact the data does trend towards an Arsenal victory, what is most notable about this game and the two teams is the sheer number of goals these games produce. Add to that the fact that both teams must go for the win here, a draw does not do either any good, and the fact that the home side have been sloppy defensively all season long and you have the ingredients for a game packed with chances and hopefully goals, Therefore, our Manchester United v Arsenal prediction is for there to be Over 3.5 Goals scored in this game.

Prediction :

Over 3.5

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Manchester United vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions

Arsenal to win and both teams to score

Our initial prediction highlighted the fact that we expect there to be plenty of goals in this game. The data also suggests that both teams will find the net in the match but that it will be title-chasing Arsenal that come out on top. So our second prediction for the Man Utd v Arsenal game is for Arsenal to win and for both teams to score.

Martin Odegaard (Arsenal) to score at any time

Our second bet for Man Utd v Arsenal is on the Arsenal playmaking midfielder Martin Odegaard to score at any time. The Norwegian has been in outstanding form this season and he is overdue a goal having netted eight this season, alongside his eight assists. He does tend to save his goals to the big games, and he is a decent value bet to find the net here.
Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction

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Manchester United vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions

Paul Tierney will be the official for the Manchester United v Arsenal Premier League clash this weekend.

This will be Mr. Tierney’s 25th game refereed of the season in the Premier League. The second most of all officials. He has awarded 86 yellow cards in the previous 24 matches, as well as three red cards.

Mr. Tierney will be assisted by Scott Ledger and Mat Wilkes as his assistant referees and Darren Bond as the fourth official. John Brooks will be on VAR duty, assisted by Constantine Hatzidakis.

Manchester United take on Arsenal at Old Trafford in the Premier League on Sunday 12th May. Kick off is 4.30pm UK time.

Sky Sports will be showing the Manchester United v Arsenal game live on its Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier channels. 

Additionally, for real-time statistics and data updates from the game, along with text commentary check out Sportytrader’s Premier League Live page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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