Africa - African Nations Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in African Nations Championship Predictions
Madagascar will take on Sudan in the opening semifinal of the African Nations Championship, with both sides on the hunt for their CHAN trophy.. The Barea enter this clash on the back of a strong five-game stretch and will feel confident about extending their unbeaten streak against a Sudanese side known for drawing more than winning in recent games. Read on out who will book a place in the finals from our Madagascar vs Sudan match prediction below.
Madagascar showed their resilience once again in their most recent outing, coming from behind to hold Kenya to a 1-1 draw before winning the penalty shootout. It was the third time in four games that Madagascar avoided defeat, and notably, all three saw over 1.5 goals.
Their head-to-head record also favours Madagascar, who have beaten the Falcons of Jediane 3-0 and 3-1 in two of their last three meetings. Sudan, on the other hand, stunned hosts Algeria with an early second-half opener before holding on for a 1-1 draw and eventually progressing on penalties.
That marked their sixth game unbeaten, but four of those were draws. Given their low scoring ceiling, breaking down the Madagascar could prove challenging, especially if their opponents gain early momentum.
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The Best Betting Odds for Madagascar v Sudan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
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3.4 | 2.63 | 2.38 |
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|
3.4 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
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3.4 | 2.6 | 2.38 |
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3.5 | 2.8 | 2.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Madagascar and Sudan?
Our prediction for the Madagascar vs Sudan match is: Madagascar Win or Draw & Over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/08/2025 between Madagascar and Sudan in African Nations Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.08% for a win of Madagascar against Sudan with odds of 3.6 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Madagascar vs Sudan is 31.83% with odds of 2.8 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Sudan vs Madagascar with odds of 2.52 at 22bet.
Madagascar - Sudan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Madagascar Sudan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sudan wins | 36.1% | 2.52 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.86% | 1.32 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sudan | 17.79% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Madagascar vs Sudan Form
Madagascar and Sudan Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
15 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
15 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
13 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Madagascar vs Sudan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
23 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
Madagascar - Sudan Key Points
- This bet (Madagascar win or draw & over 1.5 goals) has won in two of their last three meetings.
- All three recent H2Hs between Madagascar and Sudan featured over 2.5 goals.
- Madagascar are unbeaten in four of their last five matches, winning or drawing while clearing 1.5 goals in three of those.
- Four of Sudan’s last five games have produced over 1.5 goals.
- Sudan are unbeaten in six games, but four ended as draws.
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Our Madagascar vs Sudan Prediction
With a solid recent record, proven H2H dominance, and momentum from their gritty draw against Kenya, Madagascar should be confident entering this CHAN semifinal. Their ability to both find the net and avoid defeat gives them the edge against a Sudanese team that has drawn the majority of their recent fixtures.
While the Sudan have proven tough to beat, their reliance on narrow margins and low-scoring games may fall short against Madagascar’s attacking threat. Expect another tight contest, but one that should see at least two goals and end with Madagascar either winning or holding on until extra time. Hence, our Madagascar vs Sudan prediction is Madagascar Win or Draw & Over 1.5 goals.Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Madagascar Sudan
| Madagascar vs Sudan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar wins | 2.9 | 3.2 | +10.3% |
| Draw | 2.88 | 2.7 | -6.3% |
| Sudan wins | 2.45 | 2.3 | -6.1% |
At 1 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sudan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 43.5% (2.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Madagascar vs. Sudan game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Madagascar and Sudan? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's African Nations Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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