France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lorient will next host Toulouse in Ligue 1, hoping for a third win of the season. Six points stand between the two, and below is our match prediction.
Lorient have gone winless in their last five league matches and lost three in the process. In the said three defeats, they failed to score.
This weakness in attack has derailed much of their progress, the latest being in the 3-0 defeat to Lens. That made it 25 goals conceded in Ligue 1 action, complicating their push to stay up.
Kept in the relegation region by a poor goal difference, manager Olivier Pantaloni by now knows the problem has more to do with their defending.
Les Merlus should also be concerned at the pace Metz, the side below them, is closing in.
This match comes at a time Toulouse are enduring a tough period in the league. With 15 points, Les Violets will feel there were missed opportunities in their back-to-back draws ahead of this game.
The most recent was the 0-0 outcome against Le Havre, attempting 18 shots in the match but failing to score. That capped a frustrating period in which they failed to win in three outings.
Only six of their points came in away matches, and one of their defeats on the road was against Auxerre. That should cause the visitors a few concerns as they face another bottom-three side.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorient v Toulouse Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.1 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.1 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.2 | 2.38 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Lorient vs Toulouse match is: Toulouse wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Lorient and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.29% for a win of Lorient against Toulouse with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Toulouse is 28.16% with odds of 3.3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lorient with odds of 2.4 at Betfred.
Lorient - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lorient Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 38.29% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.16% | 2.28 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lorient | 17.33% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Lorient vs Toulouse Form
Lorient and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
|
17
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -12 |
Lorient and Toulouse Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Lorient vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
21 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
31 Oct 2018 - Coupe de la Ligue
8 Feb 2017 - Ligue 1
Lorient against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
I. Toure
A. Faye
MidfielderB. Fadiga
P. Katseris
ForwardT. Sanusi
B. Dieng
N. Schmidt
ForwardA. Donnum
I. Azizi
Most goals and assists
Lorient
Toulouse
P. Pagis
(4 Goals)
F. Magri
(4 Goals)
T. Le Bris
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Hidalgo
(2 Assists)
Lorient - Toulouse Key Points
- Toulouse only lost once in their last six matches.
- Lorient are winless in their last five league matches.
- Lorient lost their last two home matches against Toulouse.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in their last seven Ligue 1 meetings with Lorient.
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Our Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction
Toulouse have already lost on the road against a side in the bottom three and will be keen to avoid the same again. They come here desperate for a return to winning ways while looking to also keep their place in the top half.
With only one loss in their last six matches, the visitors will be confident of bagging three points from this one. They have a good run against Lorient to help with that and are definite favorites here. Our prediction for Lorient v Toulouse is that Toulouse wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Toulouse
| Lorient vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 2.8 | 3.1 | +10.7% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.3 | 0% |
| Toulouse wins | 2.5 | 2.38 | -4.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lorient is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 32.3% (-3.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lorient vs. Toulouse game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
