England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Bound by history, divided by pride - two titans of the Premier League are set to reignite English football’s fiercest feud under the floodlights at Anfield on Sunday - it’s Liverpool vs. Manchester United. The Reds enter this clash in second place in the top-flight, while the Red Devils are 10th after seven games. Check out our match prediction below!
Liverpool’s league triumph in 2024-25 under Arne Slot was more than just a victory; it was a reclamation of their legacy, as it brought them level with their old foes on 20 top-flight titles. However, that triumph not only balanced the all-time title ledger but also brought with it the pressure to defend their crown - a feat that only the Manchester clubs and Chelsea have accomplished in the Premier League era.
Since Sir Alex Ferguson’s departure, Man United have experienced the harsh sting of steady decline, forced to navigate turbulent tides, while drifting from dominance to inconsistency. Enter Ruben Amorim, the man tasked with restoring hope and reigniting the spark beneath this fallen giant, and what better way to do so than beating the best in the land?
Two cities, one cause: supremacy! Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Manchester United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.4 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.66 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Manchester United match is: over 2.5 & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Liverpool and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.04% for a win of Liverpool against Manchester United with odds of 2.35 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Manchester United is 18.18% with odds of 4.75 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Liverpool with odds of 5.3 at 22bet.
Liverpool - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 61.04% | 2.35 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76.85% | 1.44 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | 1.53 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Liverpool/Liverpool | 34.87% | 2.6 at Bet365 |
Liverpool vs Manchester United Form
Liverpool and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
15 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
|
9
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 |
Liverpool and Manchester United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sep 2025 - Champions League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
17 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Premier League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2025 - Premier League
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Liverpool vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Apr 2024 - Premier League
17 Mar 2024 - FA Cup
17 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Liverpool - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Liverpool enter this matchup as massive favourites, but their confidence has been jolted in recent weeks, having lost their last three matches across all competitions - a first for Arne Slot in his managerial career.
The Reds’ most recent defeat came against Chelsea 2-1 ahead of the international break, but the one major factor to consider is that all three of their losses during this period came on the road.
At Anfield, the hosts have been flawless this season, winning all five of their matches across all competitions. They also scored two or more goals in four of those games, but only kept one clean sheet.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last nine home league games against United!
Meanwhile, Manchester United secured a much-needed 2-0 victory over league newcomers Sunderland ahead of the international break, which was a result that many feel saved Ruben Amorim’s job.
However, consistency has not been a strong point for the Red Devils in recent times, as they have not won back-to-back league games since the Portuguese tactician arrived at the club last year.
United’s away record is particularly poor, now winless in their last eight league games on the road (D2 L6), dating back to a 3-0 victory over Leicester City in March. Their last win against a side still in the top flight was in January versus Fulham.
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Liverpool against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Alisson
DefenderS. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
L. Martinez
Liverpool & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Liverpool will have to make do without the services of Alisson Becker this week, with the Brazilian set for a spell on the sidelines after sustaining an injury against Galatasaray in the Champions League.
Giorgi Mamardashvili will feature in goal for the Reds, while Ibrahima Konate has resumed training, and Ryan Gravenberch has been cleared fit. Both outfielders are in contention to start this weekend.
Will the Egyptian King rediscover his form against his favourite opponent?
Indeed, Mohamed Salah has been a long way from his best this season, but this is a fixture he always turns up in, as no player in Prem history has more goal involvements against United than him (19).
Given that only Burnley and West Ham have conceded more away goals than Amorim’s side this season, Salah will be licking his lips at the prospect of adding to his tally here.
However, the visitors have renewed hopes of improvement in that regard, following the impressive debut of Senne Lammens, who kept United’s first clean sheet of the season against the Black Cats.
Amorim confirmed that defensive duo Noussair Mazraoui and Ayden Heaven are doubts, and Lisandro Martinez is ruled out for this weekend as he continues his recovery from an ACL injury.
Summer signing Benjamin Sesko has scored in his last two matches and should lead the line for the visitors in this one.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Manchester United
H. Ekitike
(4 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(3 Goals)
M. Salah
(3 Assists)
B. Mbeumo
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Dorgu
(1 Assists)
, 
H. Maguire
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Dalot
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Diallo
(1 Assists)
,
B. Fernandes
(1 Assists)
Liverpool - Manchester United Key Points
- Liverpool have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last six matches in all competitions.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in four of their five home games this season.
- Five of Man United’s last six matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Man United have conceded three goals in each of their last three away games.
- Man United have the highest xG per 90 in the Premier League this season (1.70).
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in each of the last four competitive matches between these sides.
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Our Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction
Given their excellent record at Anfield so far this season, the odds are firmly stacked in favour of Liverpool here, and following three defeats on the bounce, they are under major pressure to return to winning ways.
The one concern for the reigning champions is that they have not been as solid in defence as we’ve seen in previous seasons, and we feel that the visitors will be able to get on the scoresheet in this one. Our Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS.
Liverpool vs Manchester United - Other Interesting Predictions
Liverpool wins the match
Liverpool have won all five of their home games across all competitions this season and have not lost to this opponent at Anfield since 2016. Additionally, Man United have not won an away game as yet this season, with their last league victory on the road coming against Leicester in March.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Manchester United
| Liverpool vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.33 | 1.67 | +25.6% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 4.33 | -3.8% |
| Manchester United wins | 8 | 4.33 | -45.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 59.9% (-15.3%)
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Liverpool vs Manchester United match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Man United will take place on October 19 at 16:30 BST.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Man United will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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