Europe - EuroBasket
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by Thobelani Moyo | in EuroBasket Predictions
Lithuania and host nation Latvia are set to lock horns at Xiaomi Arena in Round 16 of the FIBA EuroBasket 2025. This marks the first meeting between these two sides in the EuroBasket since 2015, when Lithuania won 68-49 in the first stage. Who will come out on top in this crucial encounter? Let's head into the match prediction.
Lithuania performed to expectations in the group stages of the FIBA EuroBasket, and there weren't any complaints. Located in Group B, the real challenge out of the four teams in that group was Europe's powerhouse, Germany.
In the group stages, they suffered just one defeat, and that was a damaging 107-88 loss against Germany that ended an impressive two-game winning streak.
After that defeat, the Baltic Giants restored their confidence and beat Finland 81-78 before securing a narrow 74-71 triumph over Sweden on the final day.
Latvia have shown signs of promise in the FIBA EuroBasket, which was expected from them considering they are the host nation.
Latvia did not have a great start to the competition, suffering a 93-73 defeat against Turkey. However, their response to that defeat was three wins in four games (L1).
In the final group stage game against whipping boys Czechia, they secured a 109-75 blowout victory. That result marked their second consecutive win. This saw them settle for third place in Group A.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lithuania v Latvia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.05 | 1.4 |
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3.1 | 1.36 |
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3 | 1.38 |
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2.8 | 1.36 |
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3.05 | 1.38 |
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Who will win the Lithuania vs Latvia Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Latvia match is: Lithuania +8.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lithuania vs Latvia game on 06/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- Lithuania has a 47.51% chance to pick up the win against Latvia according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 3.1.
- There is a probability of 52.49% ⭐ for Latvia to win vs Lithuania with odds of 1.41 at BC Game.
Lithuania vs Latvia Form
Lithuania and Latvia Last Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
15 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
7 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
Lithuania vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Lithuania - Latvia Key Points
- Lithuania have failed to cover the +8.5 point spread in just one of their last five FIBA EuroBasket games.
- Latvia have failed to cover the spread in three of their last five matches in the FIBA EuroBasket.
- Lithuania have covered the +8.5 point spread in three of their last four matches against Latvia.
- Lithuania have lost just one of their last four meetings against Latvia.
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Our Lithuania vs Latvia Prediction
This is a difficult match to call between these two teams, as things could go sideways. Lithuania are the underdogs coming into this clash, but their performance in this competition has been far better than Latvia's.
It also has to be mentioned that they have lost just one of their last four meetings against this opponent. I see them bringing the fight to the host nation, Latvia, this Saturday. That said, picking them up to cover the +8.5 spread sounds like a reasonable pick for this cagey affair. Our Lithuania vs Latvia prediction: Lithuania +8.5.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lithuania vs. Latvia game!
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Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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