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Lithuania vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Lithuania
06/09/2025 08:30
Latvia

Prediction :

 

Lithuania +8.5

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in EuroBasket Predictions

Lithuania and host nation Latvia are set to lock horns at Xiaomi Arena in Round 16 of the FIBA EuroBasket 2025. This marks the first meeting between these two sides in the EuroBasket since 2015, when Lithuania won 68-49 in the first stage. Who will come out on top in this crucial encounter? Let's head into the match prediction. 

Lithuania performed to expectations in the group stages of the FIBA EuroBasket, and there weren't any complaints. Located in Group B, the real challenge out of the four teams in that group was Europe's powerhouse, Germany.

In the group stages, they suffered just one defeat, and that was a damaging 107-88 loss against Germany that ended an impressive two-game winning streak. 

After that defeat, the Baltic Giants restored their confidence and beat Finland 81-78 before securing a narrow 74-71 triumph over Sweden on the final day.

Latvia have shown signs of promise in the FIBA EuroBasket, which was expected from them considering they are the host nation. 

Latvia did not have a great start to the competition, suffering a 93-73 defeat against Turkey. However, their response to that defeat was three wins in four games (L1).

In the final group stage game against whipping boys Czechia, they secured a 109-75 blowout victory. That result marked their second consecutive win. This saw them settle for third place in Group A.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lithuania v Latvia Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.05 1.4
William Hill
3.1 1.36
Betway
3 1.38
Ladbrokes
2.8 1.36
Unibet
3.05 1.38
Check all Lithuania vs Latvia odds
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Who will win the Lithuania vs Latvia Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Latvia match is: Lithuania +8.5.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lithuania vs Latvia game on 06/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Lithuania has a 47.51% chance to pick up the win against Latvia according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 3.1.
  • There is a probability of 52.49% ⭐ for Latvia to win vs Lithuania with odds of 1.41 at BC Game.

Lithuania vs Latvia Form

Lithuania and Latvia Last Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
74 :  71
Sweden

1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
96 :  83
Iceland
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
74 :  71
Sweden

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
96 :  83
Iceland

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
81 :  84
Turkiye

15 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
94 :  72
Slovenia
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
105 :  109
Lithuania

7 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Turkiye
70 :  91
Lithuania

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Poland
48 :  82
Lithuania

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

North Macedonia
67 :  82
Lithuania
Latvia
Latvia Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Czechia
75 :  109
Latvia

1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Portugal
62 :  78
Latvia

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Latvia
80 :  84
Serbia

29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Estonia
70 :  72
Latvia

27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Latvia
73 :  93
Turkiye

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Latvia
80 :  84
Serbia

27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Latvia
73 :  93
Turkiye

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
100 :  88
Slovenia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
105 :  109
Lithuania

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Latvia
83 :  66
Spain
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Czechia
75 :  109
Latvia

1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Portugal
62 :  78
Latvia

29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Estonia
70 :  72
Latvia

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Slovakia
68 :  89
Latvia

Lithuania vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lithuania

50 %

Latvia

50 %

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
105 :  109
Lithuania

9 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Latvia
98 :  63
Lithuania

Lithuania - Latvia Key Points

  1. Lithuania have failed to cover the +8.5 point spread in just one of their last five FIBA EuroBasket games.
  2. Latvia have failed to cover the spread in three of their last five matches in the FIBA EuroBasket.
  3. Lithuania have covered the +8.5 point spread in three of their last four matches against Latvia.
  4. Lithuania have lost just one of their last four meetings against Latvia.
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Our Lithuania vs Latvia Prediction

This is a difficult match to call between these two teams, as things could go sideways. Lithuania are the underdogs coming into this clash, but their performance in this competition has been far better than Latvia's. 

It also has to be mentioned that they have lost just one of their last four meetings against this opponent. I see them bringing the fight to the host nation, Latvia, this Saturday. That said, picking them up to cover the +8.5 spread sounds like a reasonable pick for this cagey affair. Our Lithuania vs Latvia prediction: Lithuania +8.5. 

Prediction :

 

Lithuania +8.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lithuania vs Latvia Prediction
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