France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille will hope to step up their recent performances when they welcome struggling Metz in their next Ligue 1 match. A win last time out saw Lille scale back into the European slots while Metz remain bottom. We have a prediction for this match below.
Lille have recently put up an inconsistent run of results, which they will hope to address here. The latest of them had the team battle from 3-0 down in the Europa League, only to lose 4-3 at home to Panathinaikos.
They had, however, won their last league match, 2-0 at Nantes, and they are just three points below second spot. That was their first win in four league matches.
Metz ensured they didn’t stay in the second tier longer than needed, but it seems their topflight return was too soon. The newly promoted side are left on their own at the foot of the league standings, still winless after eight games.
It isn’t just the wins that aren’t forthcoming; the goals have dried up as well. The visitors have only managed five goals in the league.
They failed to score in the last three matches and have managed only two points, placing them six points below safety. There isn’t much to look forward to in this match, as Metz are winless in nine matches against Lille.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Metz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.25 | 8.5 |
|
|
1.32 | 5.6 | 9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Metz?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Metz match is: Lille wins with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Lille and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.45% for a win of Lille against Metz with odds of 1.33 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Metz is 15.85% with odds of 5.6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Lille with odds of 9.5 at Bet365.
Lille vs Metz Form
Lille and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
|
18
|
2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -15 |
Lille and Metz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sep 2025 - Europa League
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Lille vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
13 Sep 2020 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Metz last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
O. Toure
Alexsandro
MidfielderN. Mukau
N. Bentaleb
U. Mboula
ForwardM. Mbaye
Most goals and assists
Lille
Metz
H. Igamane
(6 Goals)
G. Hein
(1 Goals)
, 
H. Diallo
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Gbamin
(1 Goals)
,
S. Sane
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Traore
(1 Goals)
F. Correia
(4 Assists)
G. Hein
(2 Assists)
Lille and Metz Stats in Ligue 1
Lille - Metz Key Points
- At home in the last 10 matches, Lille posted seven wins.
- In six of nine matches against Lille, Metz failed to score.
- Metz scored only five times in Ligue 1 this season.
- Metz haven't scored in their last three matches.
- Lille posted six wins in their last 10 matches.
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Our Lille vs Metz Prediction
If Lille even wanted a softer landing after their seven-goal thriller in the Europa League, then against Metz they have it. Les Dogues haven't lost in their last nine meetings with Metz and have managed six clean sheets in those nine games.
Playing at home will also work perfectly for Lille, who boast seven wins in the last 10 games there. The fact that Metz are still in search of their first win of the season means they still come here as underdogs. Our prediction for Lille v Metz is that Lille wins with a clean sheet.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
