France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille will hope to step up their recent performances when they welcome struggling Metz in their next Ligue 1 match. A win last time out saw Lille scale back into the European slots while Metz remain bottom. We have a prediction for this match below.
Lille have recently put up an inconsistent run of results, which they will hope to address here. The latest of them had the team battle from 3-0 down in the Europa League, only to lose 4-3 at home to Panathinaikos.
They had, however, won their last league match, 2-0 at Nantes, and they are just three points below second spot. That was their first win in four league matches.
Metz ensured they didn’t stay in the second tier longer than needed, but it seems their topflight return was too soon. The newly promoted side are left on their own at the foot of the league standings, still winless after eight games.
It isn’t just the wins that aren’t forthcoming; the goals have dried up as well. The visitors have only managed five goals in the league.
They failed to score in the last three matches and have managed only two points, placing them six points below safety. There isn’t much to look forward to in this match, as Metz are winless in nine matches against Lille.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Metz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.22 | 6.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.25 | 10.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Metz?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Metz match is: Lille wins with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2025 between Lille and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.89% for a win of Lille against Metz with odds of 1.4 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Metz is 15.61% with odds of 6.85 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Lille with odds of 12.2 at 888Starz.
Lille - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 65.89% | 1.4 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.05% | 1.66 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 44.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lille | 32.46% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Lille vs Metz Form
Lille and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 |
|
18
|
11 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -19 |
Lille and Metz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Lille vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
3 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
18 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
8 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1
9 Apr 2021 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2020 - Ligue 1
Players list
B. Ozer
DefenderT. Meunier
C. Mbemba
N. Ngoy
R. Perraud
MidfielderN. Mukau
S. Diaoune
H. Haraldsson
ForwardN. Bentaleb
M. Broholm
O. Sahraoui
J. Fischer
DefenderT. Yegbe
C. Melieres
B. Stambouli
MidfielderG. Tsitaishvili
J. Gbamin
G. Hein
I. Guerti
M. Bokele
ForwardI. Sane
H. Diallo
Substitutes
A. Bodart
DefenderC. Verdonk
N. Ngoy
N. Bentaleb
N. Mukau
O. Sahraoui
M. Broholm
U. Raghouber
ForwardS. Diaoune
J. Fischer
M. Colin
I. Sane
C. Melieres
J. Asoro
I. Guerti
B. Munongo
ForwardG. Hein
M. Bokele
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
A. Ribeiro
U. Mboula
F. Ballo-Toure
MidfielderB. Traore
ForwardM. Mbaye
S. Sane
Most goals and assists
Lille
Metz
H. Igamane
(9 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
G. Hein
(2 Assists)
Lille - Metz Key Points
- At home in the last 10 matches, Lille posted seven wins.
- In six of nine matches against Lille, Metz failed to score.
- Metz scored only five times in Ligue 1 this season.
- Metz haven't scored in their last three matches.
- Lille posted six wins in their last 10 matches.
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Our Lille vs Metz Prediction
If Lille even wanted a softer landing after their seven-goal thriller in the Europa League, then against Metz they have it. Les Dogues haven't lost in their last nine meetings with Metz and have managed six clean sheets in those nine games.
Playing at home will also work perfectly for Lille, who boast seven wins in the last 10 games there. The fact that Metz are still in search of their first win of the season means they still come here as underdogs. Our prediction for Lille v Metz is that Lille wins with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Metz
| Lille vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.38 | 1.22 | -11.6% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 6.5 | +36.8% |
| Metz wins | 7.5 | 11 | +46.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 72.5% and is now 82.0% (9.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lille vs. Metz game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
