LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

South America - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
16/09/2026 18:00
Palmeiras

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Copa Libertadores Predictions

Ecuadorian giants LDU Quito will look to overturn their 1–0 deficit as they welcome Brazilian champions Palmeiras to Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado in the second leg of their Copa Libertadores quarter-final on Wednesday. The two teams have been involved in predominantly low-scoring matches of late, making us favour a tight, low-scoring affair in our prediction.

LDU Quito came off second best in a largely one-sided contest in the first leg last week. They managed just one shot on target against Palmeiras’ eight and had just 39% possession. 

Despite the clear disparity in performance, it took defender Agustin Giay’s goal in the 26th minute to separate the two teams. For LDU Quito, it was their eighth match in 11 outings across all competitions to produce no more than two goals. They drew 1–1 with Deportivo Cuenca in domestic league action at the weekend, extending their run of home matches with fewer than three goals to six.

Palmeiras have just one task in Wednesday's clash: to preserve their one-goal lead from the first leg and progress to the next round. Alviverde have conceded just one goal in their last six matches.

They defeated Sao Paulo 2–0 in the Brazilian top division at the weekend, extending their run of matches with under 2.5 goals to five. Each of their last four away matches has also ended with fewer than three goals.

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LDU Quito v Palmeiras Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.5 3 2.95
1xbet
2.52 3.14 3.07
Melbet
2.5 3.1 3.04
Betwinner
2.5 3.1 3.04
Bet365
2.45 3.2 3
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What is the prediction for the football match between LDU Quito and Palmeiras?

Our prediction for the LDU Quito vs Palmeiras match is: under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between LDU Quito and Palmeiras in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.14% for a win of LDU Quito against Palmeiras with odds of 2.6 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between LDU Quito vs Palmeiras is 36.33% with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.53% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs LDU Quito with odds of 3.1 at Shangrila.

LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Form

LDU Quito and Palmeiras Last Matches

LDU Quito
LDU Quito Last matches
W L D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
1 :  1
CD Cuenca

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

4 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

CD Tecnico Universitario
1 :  3
LDU Quito

1 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

29 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Guayaquil City FC
2 :  1
LDU Quito

26 Aug 2026 - Copa Ecuador

LDU Quito
1 :  0
SD Aucas
L D W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
1 :  1
CD Cuenca

1 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

26 Aug 2026 - Copa Ecuador

LDU Quito
1 :  0
SD Aucas

23 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
2 :  0
Emelec

20 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
0 :  0
Mirassol

7 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

LDU Quito
0 :  2
CSD Independiente Del Valle
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

4 Sept 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

CD Tecnico Universitario
1 :  3
LDU Quito

29 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Guayaquil City FC
2 :  1
LDU Quito

16 Aug 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

SD Aucas
0 :  1
LDU Quito

13 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Mirassol
1 :  1
LDU Quito

26 Jul 2026 - LigaPro Serie A

Barcelona SC
0 :  1
LDU Quito
Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W D D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Vasco Da Gama

12 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  1
Cerro Porteno

9 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Internacional
L L W D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  1
Palmeiras

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras

5 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Fortaleza
3 :  2
Palmeiras

LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

LDU Quito

33 %

Draw

0 %

Palmeiras

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

30 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
4 :  0
LDU Quito

23 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
3 :  0
Palmeiras
LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Prediction

Players list

LDU Quito
LDU Quito
Goalkeeper

A. Dominguez

Defender

L. Quinonez

G. Allala Menendez

J. Carabali

R. Mina

Midfielder

I. Zambrano

J. Rodriguez

E. Velasco

S. Gonzalez

Forward

A. Alvarado

Deyverson

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

C. Miguel

Defender

Murilo

G. Gomez

B. Fuchs

A. Giay

Midfielder

A. Pereira

L. Evangelista

J. Piquerez

J. Arias

Forward

J. Lopez

V. Roque

Substitutes

LDU Quito
LDU Quito
Goalkeeper

G. Valle

Defender

L. Segovia

R. Ade

Josue Cuero

M. Weigandt

Midfielder

R. Mina

L. Rodriguez

F. Cornejo

J. Pretell

Forward

J. Corozo

M. Estrada

Y. Quinonez

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

B. Bertinato

M. Lomba

Defender

Khellven

A. Santana Marcolino

L. Benedetti

Midfielder

E. Martinez

L. Ferreira dos Santos

L. Pacheco da Costa

Forward

M. Bilong

F. Anderson

Heittor

E. Bele

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato LDU Quito
CD Huachipato Palmeiras
Top Goalscorer
Ecuador Y. Quinonez (2 Goals)
Brazil Deyverson (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Lopez (3 Goals) Colombia J. Arias (3 Goals)
Best assists
Ecuador J. Corozo (3 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina J. Lopez (4 Assists)

LDU Quito and Palmeiras Stats in Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
LDU Quito
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
44%
Wins
56%
33%
Losses
11%
22%
Draws
33%
1.78
Average goals per match
2.11
1
Goals scored per match
1.44
0.78
Goals conceded per match
0.67
89%
Under 2.5 goals
78%
11%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
44%
No goals conceded
33%
22%
BTTS
56%

LDU Quito - Palmeiras Key Points

  1. Nine of LDU Quito’s last 11 matches have produced no more than two goals.
  2. LDU Quito's last six home matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  3. Palmeiras’ last five matches have finished with fewer than three goals.
  4. Palmeiras' last four away matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
  5. Palmeiras have kept a clean sheet in five of their last six matches.
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Our LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Prediction

This match promises to be a keenly contested clash with just a goal separating the two teams. LDU Quito still stand a chance of turning things around after falling 1–0 behind in the first leg but Palmeiras will prove a tough side to take down. 

The Brazilian giants have conceded just one goal in their last six matches and will be out to finish the job. Meanwhile, both teams have seen most of their recent matches end with low scorelines. Our LDU Quito vs Palmeiras prediction: under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.