France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
League leaders Marseille will have a stern test when they head to Lens for their next Ligue 1 game. Both teams have made strong starts to the season, and Lens only trails Marseille by two points. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Lens have suffered two defeats so far this season, and both came against top-five opponents. They will be looking to avoid that here. As they have no European assignments this season, Lens will be looking to make the most of the opportunity.
In this game they will be defending their four-game unbeaten run. That started with a win against Lille and went all the way to the latest, a 2-1 home win against Paris FC. Three times in the last five meetings, they beat Marseille.
Marseille are coming off a loss in their trip to Sporting in the Champions League. They fell 2-1 in Portugal, and there won’t be much time to rest as they head straight to Lens.
This should be a much easier assignment for the side with a five-match winning run in the league. Marseille have only lost to Lyon and Rennes this season in Ligue 1.
Last time out in the competition, they thrashed Le Havre 6-2 with Mason Greenwood scoring four times. It was the fifth time in all competitions this season that they scored 3+.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lens v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.45 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.4 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Marseille match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/10/2025 between Lens and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.74% for a win of Lens against Marseille with odds of 2.85 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Marseille is 7.04% with odds of 3.66 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lens with odds of 2.7 at Bet365.
Lens - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 54.74% | 2.85 at Betobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.65% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 49.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lens | 28.72% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Lens vs Marseille Form
Lens and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
34 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 13 |
|
3
|
29 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 20 |
Lens and Marseille Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
6 May 2023 - Ligue 1
22 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Players list
R. Risser
DefenderJ. Gradit
S. Baidoo
M. Sarr
S. Abdulhamid
M. Udol
MidfielderM. Sangare
A. Thomasson
ForwardA. Sima
M. Guilavogui
R. Fofana
G. Rulli
DefenderA. Gomes
B. Nadir
N. Aguerd
Emerson
MidfielderP. Hojbjerg
A. Vermeeren
ForwardI. Paixao
M. Greenwood
L. Balerdi
P. Aubameyang
Substitutes
R. Gurtner
DefenderI. Ganiou
S. Abdulhamid
D. Machado
MidfielderA. Bulatovic
ForwardF. Sotoca
R. Fofana
M. Guilavogui
A. Sima
J. De Lange
DefenderL. Balerdi
C. Egan Riley
U. Garcia
MidfielderB. Nadir
P. Hojbjerg
A. Gomes
D. Bakola
ForwardP. Aubameyang
Missing players
A. Bermont
F. Medina
MidfielderH. Traore
G. Kondogbia
ForwardA. Gouiri
Most goals and assists
Lens
Marseille
W. Said
(6 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(13 Goals)
A. Thomasson
(5 Assists)
P. Aubameyang
(9 Assists)
Lens - Marseille Key Points
- Three of the last five meetings between these two had over 2.5 goals.
- All of Marseille’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- In five of their 11 matches this season, Marseille scored 3+ goals.
- Three of Lens’ last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Lens vs Marseille Prediction
This match has a high-scoring outcome written all over it. Marseille have scored the most goals in the league so far, and it is not like they are the most solid defensively.
While they will trouble Lens here, their hosts will surely find pockets to exploit, since Roberto De Zerbi prefers attacking football. Lens have also been good in attack, and that should show in this game. Our prediction for Lens v Marseille is for the match to produce more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Marseille
| Lens vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 2.88 | 2.45 | -14.9% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Marseille wins | 2.35 | 2.7 | +14.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 14.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.7% and is now 40.8% (6.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lens vs. Marseille game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lens and Marseille when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
