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Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP 36 USA
Learner Tien
06/10/2025 04:00
ATP 33 Great Britain
Cameron Norrie

Prediction :

 

Over 21.5

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

Teenager Learner Tien has continued his good form this week. Round three of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters sees him take on the 30th seed Cameron Norrie. Here's our match prediction.

Tien reached the last eight in Hangzhou and then he was the runner-up in Beijing. There were wins over Lorenzo Musetti and Daniil Medvedev before losing in the final to Jannik Sinner.

So far in Shanghai, the 19-year-old has beaten Miomir Kecmanovic and Corentin Moutet. In both matches he had to come from a set down to win the match  He's 37th in the live rankings and has a 25-12 hard court record in 2025.

This is the third match between the pair. They are level at 1-1 with Tien winning the most recent match in Acapulco this year. Both were played on hard courts. For the winner of this third meeting, their last 16 opponent will be either 16th seed Daniil Medvedev or 18th-seeded Alejandro Davidovich-Fokina.

Cameron Norrie had a marathon three-setter in the last round. The British player had to go to a third set tie-break to beat Arthur Cazaux. He took the first set but lost the second 6-0. He's 12-15 on hard courts this year.

The win ended a run of three successive losses in singles tournaments. Norrie is up to 32nd in the live rankings.

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The Best Betting Odds for Learner Tien v Cameron Norrie Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 2
William Hill
1.8 2
Betway
1.8 2
Ladbrokes
1.8 1.95
Unibet
1.77 2.06
Check all Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie odds
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Who will win the Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie match is: over 21.5 games to be played.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie game on 06/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Learner Tien has a 56.03% chance to win against Cameron Norrie according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.83.
  • Cameron Norrie has a 43.97% probability of winning facing Learner Tien ⭐ with odds of 2.11 at 22bet.

Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Learner Tien has a 56.03 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Learner Tien56.03 %
Cameron Norrie43.97 %

Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Form

Learner Tien and Cameron Norrie Last Matches

Learner Tien Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Learner Tien

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Learner Tien
2 :  1
Miomir Kecmanovic

1 Oct 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Learner Tien

30 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
abort
Daniil Medvedev

29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Learner Tien
abort
Lorenzo Musetti

27 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Learner Tien
Cameron Norrie Last matches
W W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Arthur Cazaux
1 :  2
Cameron Norrie

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

17 Sep 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Cameron Norrie
1 :  2
Yi Zhou

29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Novak Djokovic
3 :  1
Cameron Norrie

27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Cameron Norrie
3 :  1
Francisco Comesana

25 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Cameron Norrie
abort
Sebastian Korda

Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Learner Tien

50 %

Cameron Norrie

50 %

24 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

30 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  0
Learner Tien
Compare Learner Tien and Cameron Norrie with our comparison tool.

Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie Key Points

  1. In three sets matches, seven of Norrie's last ten have seen over 21.5 games played.
  2. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would be good news for our prediction. Norrie has played at least one in
  3. Over 21.5 games have been played in four of Tien's last five matches.
  4. Tien's last ten matches have seen seven go to a third and final set.
  5. The three matches these two players have had in this tournament have had 87 games played.
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Our Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Learner Tien is enjoying an excellent Asian hard court campaign. The 19-year-old has won eight of his ten matches and made it to the final in Beijing. He's had two tough matches so far in Shanghai, both going to a third set.

Cameron Norrie also had to go to three sets and won't want to lose another set to love. They are 1-1 in previous meetings and they included a couple of 7-5 and 7-6 sets. Our Learner Tien v Cameron Norrie prediction is over 21.5 games to be played.

Prediction :

 

Over 21.5

 
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Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie Prediction
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