New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Kenya vs Madagascar Prediction & Betting Tips - African Nations Championship

Africa - African Nations Championship

Kenya
22/08/2025 10:00
Madagascar

Prediction :

 

Kenya wins the match

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Kennedy Kechula | in African Nations Championship Predictions

After their blistering run at the 2025 African Nations Championship (Chan), co-hosts Kenya are set to meet Madagascar in the quarter-finals. In the first of four quarters, Kenya will welcome Madagascar at Kasarani. We have the prediction for the match below.

The Harambee Stars topped Group A, which was otherwise christened the toughest, bagging 10 points from a possible 12. Beating two-time Chan champions Morocco and DR Congo were the highlights for the debutants.

They also drew with Angola (1-1) and beat Zambia (1-0) in the other matches. Kenya has beaten Madagascar in four of their last 11 meetings, the latest being in 2019. Current skipper Abud Omar and goalkeeper Farouk Shikhalo are the remaining members of that 2019 squad.

Madagascar will be switching from Dar es Salaam, where they played their group matches, to Nairobi. The Islanders finished second in a Group B that was topped by other hosts, Tanzania.

Two wins, a loss, and a draw saw them finish on seven points. Their only defeat was inflicted by Tanzania on matchday two. A run of just three wins across their last 10 matches means Madagascar will enter this game as the underdogs.

That’s despite having the head-to-head advantage over Kenya, with five wins from 11 previous meetings. They’ve suffered five losses in their previous 10 games.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Kenya v Madagascar Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 2.9 4.5
Betfred
1.95 2.88 4.33
William Hill
1.85 2.9 4.4
Betway
1.91 2.8 4.5
Unibet
1.87 2.85 4.5
Check all Kenya vs Madagascar odds
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

What is the prediction for the football match between Kenya and Madagascar?

Our prediction for the Kenya vs Madagascar match is: Kenya wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2025 between Kenya and Madagascar in African Nations Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.13% for a win of Kenya against Madagascar with odds of 1.95 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kenya vs Madagascar is 23.36% with odds of 3.13 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Madagascar vs Kenya with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.

Kenya vs Madagascar Form

Kenya and Madagascar Last Matches

Kenya
Kenya Last matches
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Zambia
0 :  1
Kenya

10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Kenya
1 :  0
Morocco

7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Angola
1 :  1
Kenya

3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Kenya
1 :  0
DR Congo

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
2 :  1
Chad

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  0
Chad
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Kenya
1 :  0
Morocco

3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Kenya
1 :  0
DR Congo

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
2 :  1
Chad

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  0
Chad

23 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Kenya
1 :  2
Gabon

19 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Kenya
0 :  0
Namibia
W L D D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Zambia
0 :  1
Kenya

7 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Angola
1 :  1
Kenya

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Gambia
3 :  3
Kenya

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Zimbabwe
1 :  1
Kenya

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Cameroon
4 :  1
Kenya

10 Sep 2024 - AFCON

Namibia
1 :  2
Kenya
Madagascar
Madagascar Last matches
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Burkina Faso
1 :  2
Madagascar

13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  0
Central African Republic

9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
2 :  1
Madagascar

3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
0 :  0
Mauritania

15 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Madagascar
0 :  1
Comoros

13 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Angola
4 :  1
Madagascar
L L D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
2 :  0
Central African Republic

3 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Madagascar
0 :  0
Mauritania

15 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Madagascar
0 :  1
Comoros

9 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Madagascar
1 :  1
Eswatini

24 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Madagascar
0 :  3
Ghana

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Madagascar
2 :  3
Tunisia
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Burkina Faso
1 :  2
Madagascar

9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship

Tanzania
2 :  1
Madagascar

13 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Angola
4 :  1
Madagascar

8 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

DR Congo
3 :  1
Madagascar

7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup

Tanzania
0 :  1
Madagascar

19 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Central African Republic
1 :  4
Madagascar
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Kenya - Madagascar Key Points

  1. Madagascar lost five times in their last 10 matches.
  2. Across their last 15 matches, Madagascar won just five.
  3. Kenya are unbeaten in the last six matches, winning four.
  4. Kenya suffered only three defeats in their last 15 matches.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Kenya vs Madagascar Prediction

Kenya was one of the two nations to score more than six points and finish unbeaten at the group stage. The other was Tanzania, who beat Madagascar. The host nation has done well, with vocal home support and political goodwill. This will be another match the Harambee Stars approach high in confidence.

They have a better run compared to Madagascar, and playing in front of home fans should lift them again. Madagascar have had their shaky moments in this competition already, and this could be the farthest they get. Our prediction for Kenya v Madagascar is that Kenya wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Kenya wins the match

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use the Kenya vs. Madagascar game in an acca to gain up to a 100% bonus!

acca gold vbet

Are you looking to use the match between Kenya and Madagascar in an upcoming accumulator bet? If so, you'll want to join Vbet to place that acca. There is an odds bonus of up to 100% when you place accumulators which contain at least three selections that are all odds of 1.3 or bigger. Look at the other games in the African Nations Championship and start to build those accas!

Place your African Nations Championship accas with Vbet!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Kenya vs Madagascar Prediction
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer