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Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Bad Homburg Open

WTA - WTA Bad Homburg Open

WTA 3 USA
Jessica Pegula
28/06/2025 07:30
WTA 8 Poland
Iga Swiatek

Prediction :

 

Iga Swiatek wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

It has taken a whole year for Iga Swiatek to return to a tour final. She will be up against Jessica Pegula, contesting the Bad Homburg title, and what a match we have ahead of Wimbledon! Even as she leads this matchup 6-4, bookie predictions may still split this in half.

The fact remains, we will have a new Bad Homburg champion. Two years ago, Swiatek had her best performance on a grass court – reaching the Bad Homburg semi-final.

In beating Jasmine Paolini in the semis, she has just bettered her previous best. Now she is one game away from another record.

In their 10 previous meetings, none was on grass. In fact, nine were on hard courts and just one on clay. That was in the French Open, and Swiatek definitely won.

Now Pegula has the chance to set her own terms, with a first win in their first grass match. She did win their latest meetup, at the US Open. To book her slot here, the American came from behind to beat Linda Noskova in three sets.

She dropped a set in each of her last two matches, meaning she spent more time on the court than Swiatek. Pegula has been to four finals this year, and lost twice.

Up to $150 to bet on Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.75 1.44
William Hill
2.75 1.44
Betway
2.75 1.44
Ladbrokes
2.62 1.44
Unibet
2.75 1.45
Check all Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek odds
Up to $150 to bet on Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek! 

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Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek game on 28/06/2025 of the current WTA Bad Homburg Open season:

  • Jessica Pegula has a 35.41% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 2.93.
  • Iga Swiatek has a 64.59% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 1.5 at 22bet.

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 35.41 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jessica Pegula35.41 %
Iga Swiatek64.59 %

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Form

Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek Last Matches

Jessica Pegula Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Linda Noskova

26 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Emma Navarro

24 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Katerina Siniakova

18 Jun 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Liudmila Samsonova
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

2 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open

Lois Boisson
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

31 May 2025 - WTA French Open

Marketa Vondrousova
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula
Iga Swiatek Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jasmine Paolini

26 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

24 Jun 2025 - WTA Bad Homburg Open

Victoria Azarenka
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

5 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open

Aryna Sabalenka
2 :  1
Iga Swiatek

3 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open

Elina Svitolina
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

1 Jun 2025 - WTA French Open

Elena Rybakina
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jessica Pegula

33 %

Iga Swiatek

67 %

4 Sep 2024 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

6 Nov 2023 - WTA Doha

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

12 Aug 2023 - WTA National Bank Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

18 Feb 2023 - WTA Doha

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

7 Sep 2022 - WTA US Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

1 Jun 2022 - WTA French Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula
Compare Jessica Pegula and Iga Swiatek with our comparison tool.

Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Pegula spent an hour more on the court than Swiatek in the semi-finals.
  2. Swiatek leads this matchup 6-4 in head-to-head numbers.
  3. Pegula lost twice in the final this season.
  4. In her last nine final matches, Swiatek has a 9-0 record.
  5. Swiatek lost just three of her 25 championship matches.
Up to $150 to bet on Jessica Pegula - Iga Swiatek! 

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Our Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Bad Homburg has already been massive for Swiatek. Here she bagged her 300th tour-level win; now she’s attained her first final on grass and will be looking to earn her maiden title on the surface. While Swiatek has had a tough campaign, the entire European tour hasn’t been great for Pegula.

The American is seeking her third title, but first outside home soil. Dropping two sets in her last two matches means she’s spent longer on the court, and that could work against her. She also trails Swiatek in head-to-head numbers. As such, our prediction for Jessica Pegula v Iga Swiatek is that Iga Swiatek wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Iga Swiatek wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
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