Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open

WTA - WTA Australian Open

WTA 5 USA
Jessica Pegula
29/01/2026 05:10
WTA 2 Kazachstan
Elena Rybakina

Prediction :

 

Jessica Pegula wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Sixth seed Jessica Pegula and fifth seed Elena Rybakina will face off next in the semi-finals of the Australian Open. The winner of their seventh career meeting will play Aryna Sabalenka or Elina Svitolina for this year’s title. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Pegula has made it to the semi-finals of a major for only the third time. Her two previous such achievements were achieved at the US Open. A finalist at Flushing Meadows in 2024, the American has blown past her opponents in Melbourne.

Yet to drop a set, Pegula defeated compatriot and fourth seed Amanda Anisimova in the quarter-finals to end her last-eight hoodoo.

The world number six, who, among her opponents in Melbourne, was defending champion Madison Keys, has won three times previously against Rybakina.

Elena Rybakina has won the last two meetings with Pegula. Their most recent battle was in the semi-finals of last year’s WTA Finals.

As she has also been in dominant form in Australia, the Kazakh will be confident of progressing to the championship match once again. Rybakina eliminated second seed, Iga Swiatek, in the quarter-finals for her first top 10 win of the year.

The world number five finished as a runner-up in the 2023 edition.

She is yet to drop a set at the Happy Slam.

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Jessica Pegula v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
2.78 1.44
Betwinner
2.74 1.45
Bet365
2.75 1.44
Roobet
2.68 1.41
BC Game
2.72 1.41
Check all Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina odds

Who will win the Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina match is: Jessica Pegula wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina game on 29/01/2026 of the current WTA Australian Open season:

  • Jessica Pegula has a 37.59% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.87.
  • Elena Rybakina has a 62.41% probability of winning facing Jessica Pegula ⭐ with odds of 1.45 at Betwinner.

Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jessica Pegula has a 37.59 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jessica Pegula37.59 %
Elena Rybakina62.41 %

Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Form

Jessica Pegula and Elena Rybakina Last Matches

Jessica Pegula Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Amanda Anisimova

25 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Madison Keys

23 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Oksana Selekhmeteva

21 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
McCartney Kessler

18 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  0
Anastasia Zakharova

10 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane

Jessica Pegula
0 :  2
Marta Kostyuk
Elena Rybakina Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

26 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

24 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Tereza Valentova

22 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Varvara Gracheva

19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Kaja Juvan

8 Jan 2026 - WTA Brisbane

Elena Rybakina
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jessica Pegula

25 %

Elena Rybakina

75 %

7 Nov 2025 - WTA Doha

Jessica Pegula
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

18 Sept 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

29 Oct 2023 - WTA Doha

Elena Rybakina
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

30 Mar 2023 - WTA Miami

Elena Rybakina
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina Key Points

  1. Rybakina has suffered three defeats against Pegula.
  2. All of Pegula's wins against Rybakina were on hard courts.
  3. Pegula has emerged the winner in eight of her nine matches in 2026.
  4. Pegula has won back-to-back matches against top-seeded players in Melbourne.
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Our Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Prediction

Our prediction for Jessica Pegula v Elena Rybakina is that Jessica Pegula wins. This is bound to be an exciting matchup given the incredible form that these two players are in. Pegula and Rybakina have each lost just once so far in 2026 and have registered eight and seven wins, respectively.

They have also won three times each against one another. Looking at the reward from this, a decider might be required to separate them. Though Pegula has lost recent meetings with Rybakina, she has the head-to-head advantage in hard-court encounters. She has also faced sterner tests this week, defeating top 10 players Madison Keys and Amanda Anisimova.

Prediction :

 

Jessica Pegula wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakina Prediction