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Japan vs Wales Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches

International - Test Matches

Japan
12/07/2025 01:50
Wales

Prediction :

 

Japan win

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Wales trade tackles with Japan in a high-stakes second Test showdown on Saturday at Noevir Stadium in Kobe. The Dragons will aim to avenge their shock defeat to the Brave Blossoms in the first Test and end a prolonged losing streak since February 2024. Follow our prediction for the match below.

Wales dropped two places in the World Rugby Rankings to a record low of 14th following a shock 24-19 defeat to Japan in the first Test in Kitakyushu. The six-time Six Nations champions squandered a 12-point first-half lead following a shocking 17-0 second-half shutout by Eddie Jones’ men. 

Notably, this defeat saw the team lose 17 straight matches against international opposition, dating back to February 2024. Hence, interim manager Matt Sherratt, despite being destined to exit the role after this two-Test series, will be under pressure to end the prolonged losing streak on Saturday.

Japan feasted on Wales’ prolonged misfortunes following the first-Test victory in Kitakyushu. It was their first in 17 successive attempts against Tier 1 rugby nations and a great way to bounce back after a 53-20 loss to Pacific rivals, the Maori All Blacks in a preceding non-test fixture. A win on Saturday could see them consolidate their recent rise.

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The Best Betting Odds for Japan v Wales Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 21 1.53
Betway
2.6 21 1.5
Ladbrokes
2.75 21 1.53
Unibet
2.48 26 1.58
NetBet
2.42 25 1.52
Check all Japan vs Wales odds

Japan vs Wales Form

Japan and Wales Last Matches

Japan
Japan Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

England
59 :  14
Japan

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

France
52 :  12
Japan

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matches

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand

8 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
27 :  39
Argentina

28 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
28 :  22
Samoa
L L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

26 Oct 2024 - Test Matches

Japan
19 :  64
New Zealand

8 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
27 :  39
Argentina

28 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
28 :  22
Samoa

10 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
42 :  12
Chile

29 Jul 2023 - Test Matches

Japan
21 :  16
Tonga
L W W L L L
Wins

0/5 (0%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Losses

5/5 (100%)

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

England
59 :  14
Japan

9 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

France
52 :  12
Japan

17 Sept 2023 - Rugby World Cup

England
34 :  12
Japan

26 Aug 2023 - Test Matches

Italy
42 :  21
Japan

20 Nov 2022 - Test Matches

France
35 :  17
Japan
Wales
Wales Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Wales
14 :  68
England

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
35 :  29
Wales

22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Wales
18 :  27
Ireland

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
22 :  15
Wales

31 Jan 2025 - Six Nations

France
43 :  0
Wales
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Wales
14 :  68
England

22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Wales
18 :  27
Ireland

23 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Wales
12 :  45
South Africa

17 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Wales
20 :  52
Australia

10 Nov 2024 - Test Matches

Wales
19 :  24
Fiji

16 Mar 2024 - Six Nations

Wales
21 :  24
Italy
L W L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
35 :  29
Wales

8 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Italy
22 :  15
Wales

31 Jan 2025 - Six Nations

France
43 :  0
Wales

13 Jul 2024 - Test Matches

Australia
36 :  28
Wales

24 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Ireland
31 :  7
Wales

Japan vs Wales Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

5 Jul 2025 - Test Matches

Japan
24 :  19
Wales

Players list

Japan
Japan
E. Uluiviti W. Dearns S. Lee K. Tamefusa M. Leitch N. Saito K. Ishida F. Makisi S. Nakano Y. Kamimori H. Vailea J. Cornelson D. Riley M. Harada N. Ichigo
Wales
Wales
J. Adams D. Lake A. Wainwright T. Rogers B. Thomas A. Mann A. Griffin K. Hardy J. Williams T. Williams D. Edwards B. Murray N. Smith J. Macleod F. Thomas

Substitutes

Japan
Japan
H. Era W. Raratubua B. Gunter S. Fujiwara K. Ueda S. Greene S. Takeuchi S. Kimura
Wales
Wales
J. Ratti C. Coleman L. Belcher K. Giles G. Thomas T. Plumtree R. Morgan-Williams T. Reffell

Japan - Wales Key Points

  1. Japan have won two of their last three test matches.
  2. Japan have won their last two home test matches, including the first-Test against Wales.
  3. Wales have lost their last 11 away test matches.
  4. Wales have lost their last 17 test matches.
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Our Japan vs Wales Prediction

Japan are still considered underdogs by bookmakers going into this match given their Tier 2 status. However, we expect the Brave Blossoms to put up another formidable performance given their better recent form.

For context, Wales are fast falling down the pecking order following an ugly-looking losing streak since February 2024. The first-Test loss against Japan compounded their woes and they are not likely to reverse this misfortune on Japanese soil on Saturday. Hence, we are tipping Eddie Jones’ men to complete a double over Wales. Our Japan vs Wales prediction is Japan win.

Prediction :

 

Japan win

 
Exclusive Offer
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Use £/€50 free bets for the Japan vs. Wales game!

bet365 welcome offer

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Japan vs Wales Prediction

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