Japan vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Women's World Cup Predictions
Japan and Spain will meet in a potentially decisive Group A clash at the 2026 Women’s Basketball World Cup on Monday. Japan beat this opponent at the Olympic Games in 2024, and we are leaning toward the value on the underdogs here for our match prediction.
Japan kicked off their World Cup campaign with a spectacular 102-97 victory over Mali, but failed to follow up, losing to tournament hosts Germany 74-58 in their second match on Saturday.
The Japanese were unable to recover after going down 28-11 in Q1 against Germany. They converted just 32% of their shots from the field, with Norika Konno leading the scoring (11 points).
Japan have split their last 10 matches, five wins and five losses in all competitions. Their victory in Paris 2024 was their first against Spain in a competitive matchup.
Meanwhile, Spain got their World Cup campaign started with a commanding 83-53 victory over Germany before suffering one of the biggest shocks of the tournament, losing 82-73 to Mali.
After going into half-time up 34-32, Mali took the lead by outscoring Spain 31-19 in Q3. The Spaniards shot 42% from the field in that match and 18.2% from the three-point line.
Spain have won seven of their last 10 matches across all competitions. None of Spain’s last three wins against this opponent were by 17+ points.
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Japan v Spain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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7.75 | 1.07 |
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5.8 | 1.08 |
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5.8 | 1.08 |
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7 | 1.09 |
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7.5 | 1.08 |
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Who will win the Japan vs Spain Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Japan vs Spain match is: Japan +17.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Japan vs Spain game on 07/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Japan has a 18.86% chance to pick up the win against Spain according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 8.75.
- There is a probability of 81.14% ⭐ for Spain to win vs Japan with odds of 1.09 at Tonybet.
Japan vs Spain Form
Japan and Spain's standings in the Women's World Cup
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Japan and Spain Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
14 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
13 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
14 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
13 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
19 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
14 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
29 Jul 2024 - Olympic Matches Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
22 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
Japan vs Spain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
22 Sept 2018 - Women's World Cup
Players list
N. Todo
K. Tanaka
Y. Miyazawa
M. Cazorla
I. Martin
M. Conde
Substitutes
N. Konno
M. Yamamoto
S. Mawuli
M. Takada
H. Pueyo
M. Ortiz
A. Florez Getino
E. Buenavida
A. Torrens
Japan - Spain Key Points
- Japan won their last competitive match against Spain.
- Japan beat Mali in their opening match, while Spain lost to Mali in their last game.
- None of Spain’s last three wins against this opponent were by 17+ points.
- Spain have lost three of their last four competitive matches.
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Our Japan vs Spain Prediction
Spain made a very impressive start to their World Cup campaign by beating hosts Germany, but they were way off the pace over the weekend against Mali, which has raised a few concerns here.
After years of hurt against Spain, Japan finally got their first victory over them at the Olympic Games and have now lost only one of their last three against this opponent in normal time. We’ll go with the free buckets on offer for the underdogs in this match. Our Japan vs Spain prediction is Japan +17.5.
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Try your luck on this year's Women's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
