Japan vs Mali Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Women's World Cup Predictions
World No. 10 Japan will begin their 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup campaign against 18th-ranked Mali on Friday at Uber Arena in Berlin. Mali have lost five of their last six matches against higher-ranked opponents, with four of those defeats coming by double-digit margins, hence our prediction favoring Japan to cruise to victory.
Japan's hopes of qualifying for the 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup nearly slipped away after they lost their opening three fixtures at the Istanbul Qualifying Tournament. However, a late turnaround in their final two matches, including an 83–39 demolition of Argentina in their last qualifying game, saw them secure their place at the competition.
Corey Gaines' team went 2–2 in their World Cup preparation games against other national teams. They defeated Mali 89–56 when the teams last met in the 2022 FIBA Women's World Cup.
Two wins from five games in the Wuhan Qualifying Tournament, including a 97–74 victory over South Sudan in the final fixture, were enough to secure Mali's place in the 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup.
However, Oumarou Sidiya's team were handed a reality check in their warm-up game against sixth-ranked Spain last week, suffering a heavy 97–58 defeat. They have lost five of their six matches against higher-ranked teams, with four of those defeats coming by wide margins.
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Japan v Mali Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.05 | 8.5 |
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1.07 | 6.2 |
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1.07 | 6.2 |
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1.06 | 8.2 |
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1.05 | 9 |
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Who will win the Japan vs Mali Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Japan vs Mali match is: Japan –14.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Japan vs Mali game on 04/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Japan has a 82.76% chance to pick up the win against Mali according to Roobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.07.
- There is a probability of 17.24% ⭐ for Mali to win vs Japan with odds of 10.5 at Shangrila.
Japan vs Mali Form
Japan and Mali Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
13 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
14 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
13 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
20 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
19 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
14 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
29 Jul 2024 - Olympic Matches Women
5 Oct 2023 - Asian Games, Women, Group X
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
1/5 (20%)
4/5 (80%)
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
24 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
23 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
25 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
21 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
Japan vs Mali Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
21 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
Japan - Mali Key Points
- Japan have won four of their last six matches against other national teams.
- Japan defeated Mali by 39 points in their previous World Cup meeting.
- Mali have lost five of their last six matches against higher-ranked teams, with four of those defeats coming by wide margins.
- Mali have lost their last three matches against higher-ranked opposition.
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Our Japan vs Mali Prediction
Mali have done little to suggest they could challenge Japan in this match. They head into this clash having lost five of their last six matches against higher-ranked teams, and most of those defeats have come by heavy margins.
Japan have been installed as favorites, and rightly so. They sit eight places above Mali in the rankings and will draw confidence from their dominant victory over Mali in their previous encounter. Our Japan vs Mali prediction : Japan –14.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
