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Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Finals Singles

ATP - ATP Finals Singles

Jannik Sinner
15/11/2025 08:30
Alex de Minaur

Prediction :

 

Under 19.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Could it be lucky 13 for Alex de Minaur? He has lost all 12 of his previous matches against Jannik Sinner and now faces him in the last four of the ATP Finals. Read our match prediction below.

De Minaur has had a rollercoaster run in this indoor hard court tournament in Turin. The Australian lost his opening match to Carlos Alcaraz and then also lost to Lorenzo Musetti. He recovered to beat Taylor Fritz and narrowly scrape his way into the semi-finals.

He’s been so consistent this year but has a terrible record against Sinner. All 12 previous matches have been won by the Italian. All but one were on hard courts and seven indoors. They have met three times this year, most recently in the Erste Open final.

Jannik Sinner is the defending champion in Turin. He won all three of his group matches but still he lost his world number one ranking to Carlos Alcaraz.

Sinner has beaten Felix Auger-Aliassime, Alexander Zverev and Ben Shelton, all in straight sets. He’s on a 13-match winning streak and a win here will take him into his tenth final of the year with five titles won.

We tip under 19.5 games.

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Jannik Sinner - Alex de Minaur Key Points

  1. Sinner has won all 12 of his previous matches against de Minaur.
  2. Six of Sinner's last eight wins saw under 19.5 games played.
  3. In their last eight best of three sets matches, Sinner has won with under 19.5 games played.
  4. De Minaur has already lost twice in this tournament.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

It's a bit strange that Alex de Minaur can lose two out of three group games and still reach the semi-finals. That is just what has happened though and he's in the knockout stages of the ATP Finals for the first time.

To reach the final, he must end a run of 12 successive losses to Jannik Sinner. His opponent is no longer world number one but has won all three of his matches so far this week. Our Jannik Sinner v Alex de Minaur prediction is under 19.5 games.

Prediction :

 

Under 19.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

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