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23 March 2023 - 15:45 

- Day 1

Europe - Euro

Italy
VS
England

Prediction :

Italy draw no bet

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Italy vs England Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

 by Joseph King | in Euro Prediction

A blockbuster matchup in the first round of the Euro 2024 qualifiers sees defending champions Italy taking on England at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. This is the first of eight matches that each team in Group C will play, with Ukraine, Malta and North Macedonia rounding out the rest of the group. Both England and Italy will be expected to secure the two qualifying positions that are up for grabs and will likely find themselves battling it out for the top spot. These two teams have a good bit of recent history, most notably with the Italians besting the Three Lions to claim the Euro 2021 crown at Wembley.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v England Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.9 3.1 2.55
1xbet
3.24 3.18 2.45
22bet
3.24 3.18 2.45
Betwinner
2.95 3.08 2.57
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The odds for this one are fairly close across the board although the bookmakers are leaning slightly towards England to get a result. You can back Gareth Southgate’s men at odds of 2.60 to walk away from Naples with the three points. Those looking to back the home side can get Italy at very tempting odds of 2.80 for the win. If you think the match will ultimately end in a stalemate you can get a price of 3.10 for the draw.

Who will win the Italy vs England Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Italy and England of Euro on 3/23/23 :

  • There is a probability of % ⭐ for Italy to win this match against England ⚽ with odds of 3.24 found at 1xbet.
  • 1xbet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.18 which implies a probability of %.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for England to win the match are about 2.57 at Betwinner. That means a probability of %.

Italy vs England Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
England
England
20 8 6 2 0 18
2
Italy
Italy
14 8 4 2 2 7

Italy and England Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
D L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Austria
2 :  0
Italy

16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Albania
1 :  3
Italy

26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Hungary
0 :  2
Italy

23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  0
England

14 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Germany
5 :  2
Italy

11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

England
0 :  0
Italy
England
England Last matches
D W D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.67
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

10 Dec 2022 - World Cup

England
1 :  2
France

4 Dec 2022 - World Cup

England
3 :  0
Senegal

29 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Wales
0 :  3
England

25 Nov 2022 - World Cup

England
0 :  0
USA

21 Nov 2022 - World Cup

England
6 :  2
Iran

26 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

England
3 :  3
Germany

Italy against England : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

25 %

Draw

75 %

England

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1.25
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.75
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.5
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%

23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  0
England

11 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

England
0 :  0
Italy

11 Jul 2021 - Euro

Italy
1 :  1
England

27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  1
Italy
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Italy - England: Form Analysis

Italy’s most recent run of form has seen them have an extremely positive 2022-24 UEFA Nations League group stage. Up against the likes of Germany, Hungary and their opponents today, England, Italy would finish with three wins, two draws and one defeat to top Group A3 with 11 points. Roberto Mancini’s side has not played much since those Nations League matches, partaking in only two friendlies towards the end of 2022. The Azzurri would go on to record a 3-1 away victory over Albania before falling 2-0 away from home to Austria in their most recent outing. Italy was able to hold England to a 0-0 draw at the Molineux Stadium when the two sides met in the Nations League. The defending European champions would then go on to record a 1-0 victory in the return fixture against England thanks to a 68th minute Giancomo Raspadori strike at the San Siro in September. 

England takes the field together for the first time since their heartbreaking 2-1 loss to France in the quarterfinals of the World Cup back in December of 2022. There was plenty to be encouraged about during that tournament as the Three Lions put on a number of impressive attacking displays including a 6-2 win over Iran and back-to-back 3-0 wins over Wales and Senegal. However, England’s abysmal performance in the Nations League cannot be ignored as the team would fail to register a single win in six group stage matches. The result was a bottom-place finish in Group A3 meaning that Southgate’s men will be playing the next iteration of the tournament in League B.

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Italy against England Lineups: Starting 11

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
G. Donnarumma
2
G. Di Lorenzo
3
R. Toloi
15
F. Acerbi
4
L. Spinazzola
18
N. Barella
8
Jorginho
6
M. Verratti
11
D. Berardi
9
M. Retegui
10
L. Pellegrini
10
J. Grealish
20
H. Kane
7
B. Saka
10
J. Bellingham
4
D. Rice
11
K. Phillips
3
L. Shaw
6
H. Maguire
5
J. Stones
2
K. Walker
1
J. Pickford

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

England

Missing players

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

I. Provedel

England
England
Forward

O. Watkins

Italy & England Squad Analysis

Mancini will be unable to call upon his recently preferred striker Giacomo Raspadori to lead the line. Raspadori netted the winner against England in the last outing and will be a big miss for Italy as he had begun to establish his place in the starting 11, getting the nod in five consecutive matches. The 58-year-old former Manchester City boss will also be without the services of experienced Lazio striker Ciro Immobile but will be able to call upon Juventus’ Federico Chiesa, who could shoulder a large portion of the attacking responsibilities. 

As for England, Gareth Southgate will unfortunately be without the in-form Marcus Rashford, who had to withdraw from the squad due to injury. Mason Mount and Nick Pope will also miss out here. Harry Kane will lead the line here and will likely be flanked by Bukayo Saka on the right and one of either Phil Foden or Jack Grealish on the left. Expect the midfield pairing of Jude Bellingham and Declan Rice behind, with the possibility of Jordan Henderson also getting the start should Southgate opt for a 4-3-3 formation instead of the 3-4-3.

Italy - England Key Points

  1. Italy is unbeaten against England in the last six meetings between the two sides.
  2. The Italians took four points out of a possible six against England in the Nations League just a few months ago, recording a 1-0 win at home.
  3. Italy has a record of seven wins, three draws and two defeats on home soil dating back to the Euro 2021 tournament.
  4. Italy manager Roberto Mancini has an overall record of two wins, one draw and zero defeats against England manager Gareth Southgate.
  5. Due to the team’s disastrous Nations League performance, England has recorded only three wins in its last 11 outings across all competitions.
  6. Ignoring the neutral venues of the World Cup, England has only won three of its last seven away matches, with two of those wins coming against 211th ranked San Marino and 153rd ranked Andorra.
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Our Italy vs England Prediction

Four of the last five meetings between Italy and England have resulted in a draw so getting the push protection on a stalemate provides a nice safety blanket here. As previously mentioned, It will be interesting to see how England respond here in their first match since the World Cup quarterfinals defeat. A 1-1 draw could definitely be on the cards here but we believe Italy can pull out a win enough of the time to make this a profitable bet. Our Italy vs England prediction: Italy draw no bet

Prediction :

Italy draw no bet

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$150 offered for betting!

Italy vs England - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Both teams have a history of finding the net in this encounter. Five of the last seven matches between these two teams have finished with both teams finding the net. With the firepower that both sides possess, expect at least a 1-1 scoreline here.

1-1 exact score

Could be worth a small punt here at this price. Three of the last five matches between these two nations have finished with a 1-1 scoreline. Both managers would likely take a draw if offered before the match as neither will want to kick off their qualifying campaigns with a loss. The bookmakers odds also suggest we’re in for a close match here.
Italy vs England Prediction

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Italy vs England match : Frequently asked questions

The match between Italy and England is being played at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, home of Serie A club Napoli in the south of the country.

Those in the UK can watch the Italy vs England match live on Channel 4. The match can also be viewed on live stream for free on All 4 or you can follow along with the action using SportyTrader’s Livescore tool.

The Euro 2024 qualifying match between Italy and England kicks off at 7:45 pm local time with coverage on Channel 4 starting at 7 pm.

The referee for the match will be 36-year-old Serbian official Srdjan Jovanovich. Jovanovich refereed the Inter vs Porto Champions League round of 16 match as well as the Manchester United vs Real Betis Europa League clash.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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