Italy vs China Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Women's World Cup Predictions
Second spot in Group D of the 2026 FIBA Women's Basketball World Cup is up for grabs as Italy and China play on matchday three. This match at Max-Schmeling-Halle Arena in Berlin between the 2nd-placed Italians and the 3rd-placed Chinese could see a confident Italy continue their upsurge, so our match prediction is a win for Italy.
Both teams have three points (W1, L1) after two games and are guaranteed to finish second or third. That gives both teams a place in the knockout qualification round, although a higher spot and winning momentum could be in focus ahead of the knockouts. The United States and the Czech Republic are the other two teams in the group.
Italy stretched the USA in their 52-55 defeat on matchday two. There's no shame in losing to the top favorites and even the losing margin should give confidence for a side that won 63-54 over Czechia earlier. They have six wins across the last eight matches (L2) as they look to extend their momentum into the knockouts.
China are yet to win during regular time this season, as they were level at 64-64 against Czechia on matchday two, before winning 74-70 in additional overtime. That was a remarkable comeback for a side that were thrashed 94-61 by 'Team USA' on matchday one.
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Italy v China Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.38 | 2.8 |
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1.42 | 2.54 |
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1.4 | 2.6 |
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1.39 | 2.7 |
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1.4 | 2.85 |
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Who will win the Italy vs China Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Italy vs China match is: Italy wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs China game on 07/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Italy has a 71.53% chance to pick up the win against China according to Roobet ⭐ with the odds of 1.42.
- There is a probability of 28.47% ⭐ for China to win vs Italy with odds of 3.1 at Shangrila.
Italy vs China Form
Italy and China's standings in the Women's World Cup
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Italy and China Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
28 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
16 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
24 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
28 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
16 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
1 Sept 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
12 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
12 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
20 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
1 Sept 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
Italy vs China Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Italy - China Key Points
- China lost four of their last five matches.
- Italy won six of their last eight matches.
- Italy won 88-76 when these sides last met in a friendly in August.
- Italy won six of their last eight competitive matches.
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Our Italy vs China Prediction
China surprised quite a few in Berlin with their considerable height, plus their resilience. The win after overtime could increase their morale as they come up against the impressive Italians. They stretched the United States in their last match, and the narrow three-point margin was the lowest for 'Team USA' in 20 years.
That should give them confidence to pick up a win here to finish second in the group. This fixture could be tight, but still sway Italy's way, so our Italy vs China prediction is Italy wins.
If your team in the Italy and China game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Italy vs China game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
