Ireland vs Israel Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
04/10/2026 14:45
Israel

Prediction :

 

Ireland wins

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Serbia will play host to the controversial matchday four encounter between Ireland and Israel in Group B3 of the UEFA Nations League (UNL).  This match on Sunday between the third-placed ‘Boys in Green’ and the fourth-placed ‘Skyblue and Whites’ is likely to favour the designated hosts, and an Ireland win is our match prediction.

With four points from three games (W1, D1, L1), Ireland start this round just outside the second spot on goal difference. Israel are yet to win in this UNL cycle (D1, L2) and are three points behind Ireland.

Ireland drew 2-2 at home against Austria on Thursday in their matchday three fixture. That was preceded by a 3-0 win over Israel in a neutral venue, and these four points have given a lift to their campaign after starting with a defeat.

While this fixture remains a controversial one, a win will give Ireland a shot at a top-two finish, and three wins from their last six matches (D2, L1) give a slight edge.

Israel could only draw 0-0 against Kosovo on Thursday to recover from defeats on matchdays one and two – 3-1 away at Austria and 3-0 against Ireland at a neutral venue. With five defeats and just two wins from their last ten games, Israel don’t have form on their side to post their first victory of this UNL cycle.

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Ireland v Israel Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.04 3.3 3.5
1xbet
2.09 3.5 3.74
Melbet
2.05 3.42 3.66
Betwinner
1.97 3.48 3.86
22bet
2.05 3.42 3.66
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ireland and Israel?

Our prediction for the Ireland vs Israel match is: Ireland wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2026 between Ireland and Israel in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.94% for a win of Ireland against Israel with odds of 2.12 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ireland vs Israel is 28.9% with odds of 3.5 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Israel vs Ireland with odds of 3.86 at Betwinner.

Ireland vs Israel Form

Ireland and Israel's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Ireland
4 3 1 1 1 +2
4 Israel
1 3 0 1 2 -5

Ireland and Israel Last Matches

Ireland
Ireland Last matches
W W D L W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
2 :  2
Austria

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  3
Ireland

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Kosovo
1 :  0
Ireland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  1
Ireland

28 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
1 :  0
Qatar

16 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
5 :  0
Grenada
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Ireland
2 :  2
Austria

28 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
1 :  0
Qatar

16 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
5 :  0
Grenada

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Ireland
0 :  0
North Macedonia

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
2 :  0
Portugal

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Ireland
1 :  0
Armenia
L W D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  3
Ireland

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Kosovo
1 :  0
Ireland

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
1 :  1
Ireland

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Czechia
2 :  2
Ireland

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Hungary
2 :  3
Ireland

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Portugal
1 :  0
Ireland
Israel
Israel Last matches
W D W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  0
Kosovo

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  3
Ireland

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Austria
3 :  1
Israel

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Israel

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
2 :  2
Israel

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  1
Moldova
L W L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  0
Kosovo

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  3
Ireland

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  1
Moldova

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  5
Italy

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Israel
1 :  0
Slovakia

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Israel
2 :  4
Norway
L L D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Austria
3 :  1
Israel

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Albania
0 :  1
Israel

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
2 :  2
Israel

13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Lithuania
0 :  0
Israel

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Norway
5 :  0
Israel

Ireland vs Israel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ireland

100 %

Draw

0 %

Israel

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
0%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Israel
0 :  3
Ireland
Ireland vs Israel Prediction

Ireland vs Israel last Lineups

Ireland

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
C. Kelleher
15
J. Egan
4
D. O'Shea
3
L. Scales
2
J. Abankwah
11
F. Azaz
14
C. Coventry
18
R. Manning
10
A. Idah
17
J. Moylan
7
T. Parrott
9
T. Baribo
20
L. Abada
10
M. Solomon
15
E. Peretz
21
E. Azoulay
8
D. Peretz
13
N. Stoinov
5
I. Nachmias
4
R. Shlomo
17
A. Khalaili
23
A. Tzur

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Israel

Substitutes

Ireland
Ireland
Goalkeeper

G. Bazunu

M. O'Leary

Defender

J. Dunne

J. O'Brien

L. Kitching

Midfielder

J. Molumby

J. Knight

R. Vata

Forward

C. Ogbene

T. Cannon

K. Phillips

O. Elding

Israel
Israel
Goalkeeper

D. Peretz

O. Glazer

Defender

E. Dasa

G. Mizrahi

I. Feingold

Midfielder

O. Gandelman

O. Gloukh

Y. Levi

G. Kanichowsky

Forward

D. Turgeman

S. Abu Farchi

Y. Shua

Missing players

Ireland
Ireland
Israel
Israel
Midfielder

O. Gandelman

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ireland
CD Huachipato Israel
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland T. Parrott (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Israel S. Abu Farchi (1 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland J. Moylan (1 Assists) , 
Rep. of Ireland J. Abankwah (1 Assists) , 
Rep. of Ireland A. Idah (1 Assists)
Best assists

Ireland and Israel Stats in UEFA Nations League

Ireland
Ireland
Israel
Israel
33%
Wins
0%
33%
Losses
67%
33%
Draws
33%
2.67
Average goals per match
2.33
1.67
Goals scored per match
0.33
1
Goals conceded per match
2
33%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
67%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
33%
No goals conceded
33%
33%
BTTS
33%

Ireland - Israel Key Points

  1. Ireland have won three of their last five home matches.
  2. Ireland have won four of their last seven competitive matches during regular time, losing only once.
  3. Israel lost six of their last nine UNL matches.
  4. Israel lost five of their last ten matches, winning only two.
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Our Ireland vs Israel Prediction

It hasn’t been an ideal start to this UNL cycle for Israel, who remain the only winless side in Group B3. If things don’t improve, they may be dragged into relegation play-offs. Ireland, on the other hand, are still in with a chance to push for promotion play-offs, if not for a direct promotion berth – thanks to picking up four points from the last two matchdays.

Five wins out of their last nine UNL matches isn’t a great record, but Ireland edge their visitors, thanks to that form. Our Ireland vs Israel prediction is Ireland wins.

Prediction :

 

Ireland wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.