Iran vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips - Asian Cup

Asia - Asian Cup

Iran
03/02/2024 06:30
Japan

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions

The penultimate match in the Asian Cup quarter-finals will see Iran taking on Japan at Education City Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The winner of this match will move on to the semi-final, where they will face either Uzbekistan or the host nation Qatar in Doha on February 7. 

Despite a relatively underwhelming group stage, Japan are the bookmakers' favourite to go on to lift the title. Iran have been one of the most impressive teams in the competition so far, but can they overcome the Samurai Blue?

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Iran v Japan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.5 3.05 1.84
1xbet
4.71 3.42 1.83
Melbet
4.31 3.39 1.9
Betwinner
5.25 3.55 1.72
Bet365
4.33 3.4 1.91

What is the prediction for the football match between Iran and Japan?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/02/2024 between Iran and Japan in Asian Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.44% for a win of Iran against Japan with odds of 5.25 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Iran vs Japan is 13.51% with odds of 3.55 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Japan vs Iran with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.

Iran - Japan Prediction and Best Odds:

Iran Japan Prediction Probability Odds
Japan wins 45.05% 1.91 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 74.01% 2.5 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time : Iran / Full-time : Japan 22.2% 81 at Betsson

Iran vs Japan Form

Iran and Japan Last Matches

Iran
Iran Last matches
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iran
1 :  1
Syria

23 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iran
2 :  1
United Arab Emirates

19 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Hong Kong
0 :  1
Iran

14 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iran
4 :  1
Palestine

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Uzbekistan
2 :  2
Iran

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Iran
4 :  0
Hong Kong
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iran
1 :  1
Syria

23 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iran
2 :  1
United Arab Emirates

14 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iran
4 :  1
Palestine

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Iran
4 :  0
Hong Kong

29 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Iran
0 :  1
USA

29 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Iran
2 :  0
Lebanon
W L L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Hong Kong
0 :  1
Iran

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Uzbekistan
2 :  2
Iran

25 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Wales
0 :  2
Iran

21 Nov 2022 - World Cup

England
6 :  2
Iran

24 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Korea Republic
2 :  0
Iran

15 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Morocco
0 :  1
Iran
Japan
Japan Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Bahrain
1 :  3
Japan

24 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Japan
3 :  1
Indonesia

19 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Japan

14 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Japan
4 :  2
Vietnam

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Syria
0 :  5
Japan

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Japan
5 :  0
Myanmar
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

24 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Japan
3 :  1
Indonesia

14 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Japan
4 :  2
Vietnam

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Japan
5 :  0
Myanmar

12 Sept 2023 - International Friendlies

Japan
4 :  2
Turkiye

20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Japan
4 :  1
Peru

15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Japan
6 :  0
El Salvador
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

31 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Bahrain
1 :  3
Japan

19 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup

Iraq
2 :  1
Japan

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Syria
0 :  5
Japan

9 Sept 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
1 :  4
Japan

23 Nov 2022 - World Cup

Germany
1 :  2
Japan

24 Mar 2022 - World Cup

Australia
0 :  2
Japan

Iran - Japan: Form Analysis

This matchup genuinely personifies the term clash of the heavyweights as it pits the two highest-ranked teams in the AFC region against each other. Iran are currently ranked second in the region and 21st in the world, according to FIFA, while Japan are the best-ranked Asian team and sit in 17th place worldwide. Team Melli were flawless during their group stages and were one of only three teams that came through it with the full nine points in their three games. They got their campaign started with a very impressive 4-1 win over Palestine and followed up with a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Hong Kong in match two. The final match saw them go up against the fancied United Arab Emirates, but a brace by Mehdi Taremi on either side of halftime was enough to see off Al Abyad. After beating Syria on penalties in the Round of 16, Iran are now on a six-match winning streak in all competitions and are unbeaten in their last 17, dating back to November 2022. 

Japan were heavily fancied to win Group D heading into the competition, and they looked as though they were on their way to doing so after a solid 4-2 win over Vietnam in the opening match. However, match two proved to be a different story as they came up against a motivated Iraq, who clinched a 2-1 victory and went on to claim the top spot. That loss was the only one that Japan have conceded in their last 14 games - they won the other 13. Nevertheless, that may have been the wake-up call the Samurai Blue needed as they looked much better in their final group-stage match and eased past Indonesia 3-1. In the Round of 16, Japan came up against Bahrain and were the better side as they led at the break 1-0 and added another two in the second half, conceding just once via an own-goal. Japan are unbeaten in their last three matches against this opponent and are the favourties heading into this one.

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Iran against Japan Lineups: Starting 11

Iran

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Beiranvand
23
R. Rezaeian
13
H. Kanaani
4
S. Khalilzadeh
5
M. Mohammadi
14
S. Ghoddos
6
S. Ezatolahi
7
A. Jahanbakhsh
8
O. Ebrahimi
21
M. Mohebi
20
S. Azmoun
25
D. Maeda
9
A. Ueda
10
R. Doan
5
H. Morita
6
W. Endo
20
T. Kubo
21
H. Ito
22
T. Tomiyasu
4
K. Itakura
16
S. Maikuma
23
Z. Suzuki

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Japan

Substitutes

Iran
Iran
Goalkeeper

P. Niazmand

H. Hosseini

Defender

S. Fallah

E. Hajsafi

Midfielder

A. Yousefi

R. Cheshmi

S. Ghoddos 90'

A. Gholizadeh

Forward

M. Torabi

M. Mohebi 90'

M. Ghaedi

R. Asadi

Shahriar

K. Ansarifard

S. Azmoun 90'

Japan
Japan
Goalkeeper

D. Maekawa

Defender

K. Machida

Y. Sugawara

T. Watanabe

Y. Nakayama

S. Taniguchi

Midfielder

K. Nakamura

K. Mitoma

D. Maeda 67'

K. Sano

T. Minamino

T. Kubo 67'

Forward

M. Hosoya

H. Morita 90'

T. Asano

R. Doan 90'

Iran & Japan Squad Analysis

Iran will be without the services of their leading goal scorer in this tournament, Mehdi Taremi, who was sent off in the dying moments of the match against Syria last week. Karim Ansarifard and Omid Ebrahimi are among those who are expected to step into the first team in place of Porto attacker. Bayer Leverkusen’s Sardar Azmoun should continue to lead the line alongside Feyenoord forward Alireza Jahanbakhsh. 

Japan were dealt an injury blow in the last match, with Celtic midfielder Reo Hatate being forced off in the first half, and he is likely to remain sidelined for at least a few weeks. Brighton & Hove Albion’s Kaoru Mitoma had not played a single minute in the group stages due to injury but came off the bench against Bahrain, and he could replace Hatate in the starting 11 for this match. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Iran
CD Huachipato Japan
Top Goalscorer
Iran M. Taremi (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan A. Ueda (4 Goals)
Best assists
Iran S. Azmoun (3 Assists)
Best assists
Japan W. Endo (1 Assists)
Japan T. Minamino (1 Assists)
Japan T. Kubo (1 Assists)
Japan R. Hatate (1 Assists)
Japan R. Doan (1 Assists)
Japan S. Maikuma (1 Assists)

Iran - Japan Key Points

  1. Three of Iran’s four matches in this competition have ended with both teams scoring
  2. Iran have scored in 17 consecutive matches heading into this one
  3. Each of Japan’s last five matches have ended with both teams scoring
  4. Japan have scored two or more goals in nine of their last ten matches
  5. Both teams have scored in three of the last four matches between these sides
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Our Iran vs Japan Prediction

Japan are massive favourites to go on to claim this year’s Asian Cup title but they have not been as dominant in the competition as many would have expected. They now face their toughest opponent to date, who are unbeaten in this competition. It’s difficult to rule out Iran here based on their performances to date, and while Japan have the personnel to dominate this match, we feel that the Iranians will go toe-to-toe with them in this encounter. Therefore, our Iran vs Japan prediction: Both teams to score. 

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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Iran vs Japan - FAQs

The AFC Asian Cup match between Iran and Japan will take place on Saturday, February 3, at 11:30 GMT.

Iran and Japan will face off at the Education City Stadium in Al-Rayyan, Qatar. 

The top two teams in each group and the four best-ranked third-placed teams advanced to the last 16. 

In Australia, the game will be televised live on Network 10 as well as streamed live via both 10 Play and Paramount+.

TV viewers in the United States will be able to watch the game on Paramount+, FuboTV

UK: Asian Cup matches will be shown on subscription streaming service TrillerTV

African viewers can tune in to DSTV, Supersport, or the Nigerian Television Authority for live broadcasts. 

India: Streaming service FanCode is the place to go for AFC Asian Cup matches.

You can also catch all the up-to-the-minute action of all the AFC Asian Cup 2024 matches on our livescore page if you are not near a TV set.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Iran vs Japan Prediction