Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Predictions Odds Live

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
03/10/2026 12:00
Bulgaria

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

In one of the matchday three activities in League C of the Nations League, Iceland will be hosting Bulgaria. Unbeaten Iceland lead Group C3 with four points, three ahead of winless Bulgaria, who are bottom of the pool. Both teams scored in their past four meetings, and our prediction will go for the same.

A former League A side, Iceland seem to be finding their comfort zone in League C. They come into this encounter having posted a 1-1 draw with Estonia on matchday one and most recently beating Luxembourg 3-0.

The win was only their third in their UNL history of 24 outings. It also ended a winless run of seven matches. While they’ve scored in each of their last 10 home outings, the last seven have only produced one win.

These two nations meet for the first time in over two decades. The last time Bulgaria visited Iceland, they won 3-1. That remains one of their four unbeaten matches against this host.

While they would like to extend the same here, the visitors aren’t in great form and might see their undefeated run come to an end.

Bulgaria suffered a matchday one upset, falling 2-1 against Luxembourg but recovered to draw 0-0 with Estonia. There is a feeling that this will be a tougher encounter, especially as they are winless in the last four matches.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Iceland v Bulgaria Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.4 4.6 7
1xbet
1.44 4.66 8.3
Melbet
1.41 4.56 8.1
Betwinner
1.41 4.56 8.1
22bet
1.41 4.56 8.1
Check all Iceland vs Bulgaria odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Iceland and Bulgaria?

Our prediction for the Iceland vs Bulgaria match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/10/2026 between Iceland and Bulgaria in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.86% for a win of Iceland against Bulgaria with odds of 1.44 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Iceland vs Bulgaria is 23.04% with odds of 4.66 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Bulgaria vs Iceland with odds of 8.3 at 1xbet.

Iceland vs Bulgaria Form

Iceland and Bulgaria's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Iceland
4 2 1 1 0 +3
4 Bulgaria
1 2 0 1 1 -1

Iceland and Bulgaria Last Matches

Iceland
Iceland Last matches
D D L L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
0 :  3
Iceland

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Japan
1 :  0
Iceland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
1 :  1
Iceland

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  2
Iceland
L L W L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  3
Kosovo

14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  4
Turkiye
L D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
0 :  3
Iceland

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Japan
1 :  0
Iceland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
1 :  1
Iceland

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  2
Iceland

25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  0
Iceland
Bulgaria
Bulgaria Last matches
W W L D L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  0
Estonia

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Luxembourg

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Montenegro

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Indonesia
0 :  1
Bulgaria

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Solomon Islands
2 :  10
Bulgaria
L L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  0
Estonia

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
1 :  2
Luxembourg

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Bulgaria
0 :  1
Montenegro

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
2 :  1
Georgia

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
1 :  6
Turkiye

4 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Bulgaria
0 :  3
Spain
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Indonesia
0 :  1
Bulgaria

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Solomon Islands
2 :  10
Bulgaria

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Turkiye
2 :  0
Bulgaria

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Spain
4 :  0
Bulgaria

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Georgia
3 :  0
Bulgaria
Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction

Iceland vs Bulgaria last Lineups

Iceland

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

12
H. Valdimarsson
4
V. Palsson
16
S. Thordarson
3
D. Gretarsson
2
L. Tomasson
10
G. Sigurdsson
8
I. Johanneson
7
H. Haraldsson
22
A. Gudjohnsen
9
O. Oskarsson
19
M. Ellertsson
16
M. Petkov
20
L. Petkov
10
Z. Dimitrov
22
C. Stoyanov
4
I. Gruev
7
B. Tsonev
21
D. Velkovski
13
S. Velkov
5
K. Dimitrov
19
I. Turitsov
1
D. Naumov

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Bulgaria

Substitutes

Iceland
Iceland
Goalkeeper

R. Runarsson

A. Einarsson

Defender

H. Magnusson

Midfielder

T. Helgason

A. Gunnarsson

J. Thorsteinsson

A. Sigurdsson

M. Anderson

B. Andersen Willumsson

A. Baldursson

I. Thorvaldsson

Forward

K. Ingason

Bulgaria
Bulgaria
Goalkeeper

A. Bozhev

D. Mitov

Defender

E. Tsenov

H. Petrov

A. Hristov

Midfielder

Y. Stoyanov

K. Balov

P. Panayotov

A. Chandarov

M. Minchev

A. Kraev

Forward

S. Ivanov

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Iceland
CD Huachipato Bulgaria
Top Goalscorer
Iceland A. Gudjohnsen (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Bulgaria A. Chandarov (1 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland H. Haraldsson (1 Assists) , 
Iceland G. Sigurdsson (1 Assists) , 
Iceland O. Oskarsson (1 Assists) , 
Iceland A. Gudjohnsen (1 Assists)
Best assists
Bulgaria D. Velkovski (1 Assists)

Iceland and Bulgaria Stats in UEFA Nations League

Iceland
Iceland
Bulgaria
Bulgaria
50%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
50%
50%
Draws
50%
2.5
Average goals per match
1.5
2
Goals scored per match
0.5
0.5
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
50%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

Iceland - Bulgaria Key Points

  1. Both sides scored in these nations' last four meetings.
  2. Bulgaria managed one clean sheet in their last four games.
  3. Iceland have kept one clean sheet in their last eight matches.
  4. In seven of Iceland’s last 10 home matches, both teams scored.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction

For the first time in more than two decades, Iceland and Bulgaria meet to renew their rivalry, with sights set at promotion to League B. This will be the first time in five that they face off in a match that is not a World Cup qualifier.

In the earlier four meetings, Iceland are winless, and though Bulgaria dominated, they failed to keep a single clean sheet. With both nations struggling defensively ahead of this encounter, we are likely to have an entertaining end-to-end affair. Our prediction for Iceland v Bulgaria is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Iceland vs. Bulgaria game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Iceland and Bulgaria? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.