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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Holger Rune will hope his fitness issues don’t hamper his London ambitions as he goes into the grass season. He starts his campaign at ATP London with a first-round contest against Matteo Arnaldi. Read on for our prediction of the match.
This will be the second meeting pitting the two, and the winner will proceed to meet Mackenzie McDonald or Gael Monfils. Rune’s fitness issues forced him to retire early at Acapulco, Monte Carlo, and Madrid.
In his last seven matches, Rune won in straight sets just once. He won his only meeting with Arnaldi.
Arnaldi suffered an early exit for the second tournament running when he fell to Jan-Lennard Struff at the Stuttgart Open last week. He heads to London hoping for a longer run.
His highlight for the season was the Delray Beach semi-final. The Italian has suffered five losses in the last eight matches and will come here with his confidence dented.
His straight-sets loss to Struff in Stuttgart left him on a shaky 15-14 record across all surfaces. Arnaldi has lost most of his matches in the first round this season, and that will cause him jitters. Falling at that stage in Stuttgart was the sixth time it happened.
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The Best Betting Odds for Holger Rune v Matteo Arnaldi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 4 |
|
|
1.25 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.26 | 3.9 |
|
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Who will win the Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi match is: Rune to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 16/06/2025 of the current ATP Queen's season:
- Holger Rune has a 75.9% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.29.
- Matteo Arnaldi has a 24.1% probability of winning facing Holger Rune ⭐ with odds of 4 at William Hill.
Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Holger Rune has a 75.9 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Holger Rune | 75.9 % |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 24.1 % |
Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Form
Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
1 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
30 May 2025 - ATP French Open
28 May 2025 - ATP French Open
26 May 2025 - ATP French Open
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 Jun 2025 - ATP Stuttgart Open
29 May 2025 - ATP French Open
27 May 2025 - ATP French Open
22 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
21 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
19 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
29 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters
Holger Rune - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points
- Arnaldi suffered five losses in his last eight matches.
- Four of Arnaldi’s last five losses were in straight sets.
- Arnaldi has 14 losses in 19 matches against top 10 players.
- Rune won seven of his last 10 matches.
- Rune’s sole win over Arnaldi was in straight sets.
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Our Holger Rune vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi will be facing off for the second time in their careers. While Rune returns after his French Open disappointment, Arnaldi has already suffered another early exit. The Italian is increasingly struggling to win even a set in his matches, and it is bound to get worse against a top-10 player.
He hasn’t done well against such opposition. Though Rune has also found it hard winning in straights, this looks like a game he’ll dominate. Our prediction for Holger Rune v Matteo Arnaldi is for Rune to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Holger Rune vs. Matteo Arnaldi game!
When you place a bet on the match between Holger Rune and Matteo Arnaldi you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Holger Rune or Matteo Arnaldi , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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