Germany vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Germany will hope to make their first World Cup knockout since 2014 be a successful one, as they face Paraguay in the last 32 stage of the 2026 edition. The winner of this match between the 'Die Mannschaft' and 'La Albirroja' will go on to face either France or Sweden in the round of 16. While the Germans are heavy favorites to win, can Paraguay turn in and deliver a worthy performance?
Two wins out of three (L1) plus a better head-to-head record over Ivory Coast saw Germany top Group E. Their goal tally of ten was boosted by seven strikes against Curacao, while a leaky unit that conceded in all those three games should be a concern.
Can Paraguay take advantage of Germany's poor defensive record? The South Americans had an even record in the group stages (W1, D1, L1) and qualified as one of the eight best-ranked third-placed sides, although scoring only two goals. Can they overcome those scoring woes to turn up against the European powerhouses? Our match predictions will bring you team analysis and news.
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Germany v Paraguay Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5 | 7.4 |
|
|
1.4 | 5.4 | 7.42 |
|
|
1.35 | 5.2 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.1 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.33 | 5 | 7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Germany and Paraguay?
Our prediction for the Germany vs Paraguay match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/06/2026 between Germany and Paraguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.63% for a win of Germany against Paraguay with odds of 1.41 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Germany vs Paraguay is 12.63% with odds of 5.4 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Germany with odds of 9.25 at LSbet.
Germany - Paraguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Germany Paraguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 62.63% | 1.41 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.94% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | 2.28 at Stake |
| Half-time / Full-time : Germany/Germany | 28.27% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Germany vs Paraguay Form
Germany and Paraguay Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
12 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
Germany - Paraguay: Form Analysis
Germany failed to make their early lead count in a 2-1 defeat against Ecuador on matchday three of the group stage. It was the first loss for the Germans after 11 consecutive victories since their last loss in September 2025.
Leaky defense continues to be a concern for Julian Nagelsmann's side, as they conceded in six of their last seven matches, including all three group games. The German head coach will hope that his side can channel the hurt of missing out on the knockouts for two consecutive World Cups.
Germany has an xG of 7.38 in this tournament.
Paraguay drew 0-0 with Australia on matchday three, carrying both teams to the knockouts. Only goal difference saw Paraguay drop to third, partly because of their poor scoring record of just two goals.
Since the World Cup qualification ended, Paraguay's record has been indifferent, with just four wins out of ten games (W4, D2, L4). They could still test the German defense, having scored exactly once in four of their last six matches, including on matchdays one and two.
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Germany against Paraguay Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Substitutes
A. Nuebel
O. Baumann
DefenderD. Raum
M. Thiaw
W. Anton
A. Stiller
J. Leweling
J. Musiala
A. Ouedraogo
L. Goretzka
P. Gross
N. Amiri
M. Beier
N. Woltemade
G. Fernandez
G. Olveira
DefenderA. Maidana
O. Alderete
G. Velazquez
F. Balbuena
B. Ojeda
Mauricio
R. Sosa
G. Caballero
A. Romero Gamarra
I. Pitta
A. Arce
A. Sanabria
Missing players
N. Schlotterbeck
D. Gomez
Germany & Paraguay Squad Analysis
Germany have a lengthy list of injuries, with Nathaniel Brown, Lennart Karl, and Nico Schlotterbeck unavailable for this game. That saw Germany line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation with David Raum and Leroy Sane working as wingbacks against Ecuador in their 2-1 defeat on the final matchday.
If Germany go back to their 4-2-3-1 system, they may have to make a decision on starting with Kai Havertz or Deniz Undav. Havertz has two goals in this competition, but Undav could upgrade him.
Undav has three goals and two assists in 86 minutes in this World Cup.
Paraguay will be without Diego Gomez, who is suspended, while Omar Alderete remains a doubt. In terms of formations, the Paraguayans may have to decide between being too defensive or sticking to their original formation.
They lined up in a defensive 5-3-2 formation against Australia, while the usual 4-2-2-2 system was in place in their previous games. The low block could continue as they look to frustrate Germany, but all eyes will be on Julio Enciso, who has been their best creative outlet with two assists.
Most goals and assists
Germany
Paraguay
K. Havertz
(3 Goals)
,
D. Undav
(3 Goals)
Mauricio
(1 Goals)
,
M. Galarza
(1 Goals)
,
J. Enciso
(1 Goals)
F. Wirtz
(3 Assists)
J. Enciso
(2 Assists)
Germany - Paraguay Key Points
- Germany’s last eight matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Germany’s last six World Cup matches have seen three or more goals scored.
- Three of Paraguay’s last five matches saw more than two goals scored each time.
- Paraguay conceded at least two goals in five of their last ten matches.
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Our Germany vs Paraguay Prediction
A 2-1 defeat to Ecuador on matchday three didn't change Germany's group stage standing, which was already confirmed before that round. It was their first defeat after 11 consecutive wins, so it's not all doom for the Germans. This is the first World Cup knockout match for Germany since 2014, while Paraguay are making their first knockout appearance since 2010, and there should be enough motivation for both teams to give it their all.
Germany's xG of 7.38 in this competition suggests another high-scoring game, so our Germany vs Paraguay prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Germany vs Paraguay Alternative Predictions
Germany wins
Paraguay's recent form has been up and down in recent times, with four wins, four losses, and one draw in their last nine games. Germany are on a better run of form, with this being their only defeat since September 2025, winning 11 and losing one. The Germans are more likely to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Germany Paraguay
| Germany vs Paraguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 1.39 | 1.41 | +1.4% |
| Draw | 5.28 | 5.4 | +2.3% |
| Paraguay wins | 7.42 | 9.25 | +24.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Germany is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.9% and is now 70.9% (-1.0%)
Germany vs Paraguay - FAQs
The Germany vs Paraguay World Cup match will be shown live on ARD, ZDF, and Magenta Sport in Germany, while Trece and GEN TV are the official broadcasters in Paraguay. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
