Galatasaray vs Liverpool Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
The red rivalry will be renewed at a rocking Rams Park when the Round of 16 in the Champions League kicks off with Galatasaray taking on Liverpool on Tuesday night. The winner of this tie between Cimbom and the Reds will face either Paris Saint-Germain or Chelsea in the quarter-finals. Check out our match prediction below!
After an exhilarating Knockout Playoff clash against Juventus, the Lions are set to return to the last 16 of Europe’s premier cup competition for the first time in 12 seasons. Okan Buruk’s side will know they have to make home advantage count here, after it was confirmed last week that their fans have been banned from the second leg at Anfield due to crowd disturbances in Turin last month.
The Merseysiders were eliminated at this very stage last season by eventual winners PSG on penalties. Arne Slot’s charges are clear favourites in this contest, but they were beaten by this opponent on Matchday 2 at this venue - one of only two defeats they suffered during the League Phase of the competition. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Galatasaray v Liverpool Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.4 | 4.1 | 1.75 |
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4.38 | 4.04 | 1.73 |
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4.38 | 4.04 | 1.73 |
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4.33 | 4.1 | 1.73 |
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4.4 | 4 | 1.73 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Galatasaray and Liverpool?
Our prediction for the Galatasaray vs Liverpool match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/03/2026 between Galatasaray and Liverpool in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.52% for a win of Galatasaray against Liverpool with odds of 4.56 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Galatasaray vs Liverpool is 9.84% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Liverpool vs Galatasaray with odds of 1.79 at 888Starz.
Galatasaray - Liverpool Prediction and Best Odds:
| Galatasaray Liverpool Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray wins | 54.52% | 4.56 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.58% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Galatasaray/Galatasaray | 23.13% | 7 at Bet365 |
Galatasaray vs Liverpool Form
Galatasaray and Liverpool Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
28 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
4 Feb 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
1 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Super Lig
3 Mar 2026 - Turkiye Kupasi
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
8 Feb 2026 - Super Lig
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
24 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Galatasaray vs Liverpool Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
Galatasaray - Liverpool: Form Analysis
After winning three of their first four games in this season’s UCL League Phase, Galatasaray only managed one draw in their final four games, which saw them finish 20th with 10 points (W3 D1 L4).
However, Cimbom survived a mighty comeback against Juventus in the Knockout Playoffs to progress 7-5 on aggregate. They enter this match following a 1-0 victory over Besiktas in the Istanbul Derby on Sunday afternoon.
The hosts are on a five-match win streak at home and have lost only one of their last 10 European matches at Rams Park (W6 D3), which came against Union Saint-Gilloise on MD5 of this competition.
Gala have scored three or more goals in eight of their last 13 home games in Europe!
Meanwhile, Liverpool booked their spot in the UCL RO16 by finishing third in the League Phase with 18 points (W6 L2). Their two losses came at this venue (1-0) and at home to PSV (4-1) on MD5.
After a shock defeat to Wolves in the Premier League in midweek, the Reds ousted the Old Gold from the FA Cup 3-1 at the weekend and have now won five of their last six games in all competitions.
The visitors won three of their four away games during the League Phase of this season’s UCL and have recorded nine victories in their last 12 round of 16 ties in European competition (L3).
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Galatasaray against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Sen
G. Guvenc
DefenderS. Boey
E. Elmali
I. Gundogan
K. Ayhan
L. Sane
ForwardY. Akgun
A. Kutucu
Y. Asprilla
M. Icardi
R. Sallai
K. Misciur
F. Woodman
DefenderJ. Frimpong
A. Nallo
A. Robertson
C. Jones
K. Morrison
T. Nyoni
ForwardC. Gakpo
R. Ngumoha
Missing players
P. Frankowski
A. Unyay
C. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
Galatasaray & Liverpool Squad Analysis
Victor Osimhen is having a sensational season. The Nigerian international has seven goals and two assists in this competition and scored what turned out to be the winner against this opponent back on MD2.
Leroy Sane provided the assist for Osimhen's goal before he was sent off in the Istanbul Derby at the weekend, but the former Bayern Munich man should feature from the off here before starting his domestic ban.
The visitors will be without Metehan Baltaci, who is still serving his suspension from the sports court, while Enes Emre Buyuk, Arda Unyay and Batuhan Sen are ruled out due to injury.
Osimhen has 11 goal contributions in his last seven matches across all competitions!
Dominik Szoboszlai has been Liverpool’s standout performer in this season’s UCL, racking up four goals and four assists in his eight games. He has also scored in each of his team’s last three away games in this competition.
It’s set to be a memorable night for Mohamed Salah, who will become the Reds' most capped player in the UCL proper if he features in this match. The Egyptian King has 49 goals in the competition and could also become the first African to reach a half-century if he scores.
Florian Wirtz returned from injury at the weekend and should start this match. The confirmed absentees for the visitors in this clash include Conor Bradley, Wataru Endo and Alexander Isak.
Most goals and assists
Galatasaray - Liverpool Key Points
- Six of Galatasaray’s last nine games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Galatasaray have only failed to score in one of their last 12 home matches.
- Six of Liverpool’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool have only failed to score in one of their last 12 away matches.
- Liverpool scored nine goals in their last three away games in the UCL this season.
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Our Galatasaray vs Liverpool Prediction
Liverpool are the clear favourites in this tie, but winning this match is far from guaranteed for the Reds, as they have been plagued by inconsistency all season and were beaten at this venue on MD2.
With their fans banned from the second leg, Gala will know that they have to make the most of this home leg and try to take a lead to Anfield next week. This should be a much more open contest than the last, and we are expecting a few goals before the final whistle. Our Galatasaray vs Liverpool prediction is BTTS.
Galatasaray vs Liverpool Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Galatasaray have scored three or more goals in each of their last five home games, while Liverpool have only failed to score in one of their last 12 away matches across all competitions.
Galatasaray wins
Galatasaray are on a five-match win streak and unbeaten in their last seven home matches in all competitions. They also beat this opponent at this venue on Matchday 2 of the League Phase.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Galatasaray Liverpool
| Galatasaray vs Liverpool | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray wins | 4.33 | 4.56 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 4.12 | 4.2 | +1.9% |
| Liverpool wins | 1.85 | 1.79 | -3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Galatasaray is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 21.9% (-1.2%)
Galatasaray vs Liverpool - FAQs
The Champions League round of 16 first leg between Galatasaray and Liverpool will take place on March 10 at 17:45 GMT.
The Champions League round of 16 first leg between Galatasaray and Liverpool will be played at Rams Park in Istanbul.
The Champions League round of 16 first leg between Galatasaray and Liverpool will be broadcast on TNT Sports (UK) and TRT (Turkiye).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.