France vs Sweden Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
MetLife Stadium in New Jersey sets the stage for the 2026 World Cup Round of 32 clash between France and Sweden on Tuesday night. Matches involving Les Bleus and Blagult in this competition have produced 26 goals in total, which sees us leaning toward a high-scoring outcome here in our match prediction.
France has fully lived up to expectations at the World Cup so far this year, having come through the group stage with flying colours, capped off with a 4-1 victory over Norway on Friday. Champions in 2018 and runners-up in Qatar four years ago, Didier Deschamps' side looks set for another deep run on football’s grandest stage here in North America.
Sweden were drawn into one of the toughest groups in this tournament and stamped their ticket to the knockout stage as the second-best third-placed team after a thrilling 1-1 draw against Japan. Graham Potter has acknowledged that his side are massive underdogs in this clash - but can they pull off what would be the biggest shock of the RO32 so far? Let’s get into the key stats!
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France v Sweden Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 6 | 9.4 |
|
|
1.31 | 6.61 | 10.3 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.35 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.26 | 6.35 | 9.9 |
|
|
1.3 | 6 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Sweden?
Our prediction for the France vs Sweden match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/06/2026 between France and Sweden in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.96% for a win of France against Sweden with odds of 2.8 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Sweden is 12.15% with odds of 6.61 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Sweden vs France with odds of 11 at Bet365.
France - Sweden Prediction and Best Odds:
| France Sweden Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 69.96% | 2.8 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.62% | 1.82 at Roobet |
| Both Team To Score | 71.88% | 2.05 at Stake |
| Half-time / Full-time : France/France | 40.18% | 1.92 at Stake |
France vs Sweden Form
France and Sweden Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
20 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
France vs Sweden Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2020 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2017 - World Cup
11 Nov 2016 - World Cup
France - Sweden: Form Analysis
France looked a class above the rest of their opponents in Group I, as they clinched top spot with a perfect record of three wins from three games, beating Senegal 3-1, Iraq 3-0, and Norway 4-1.
Along with the Netherlands and Germany, Les Bleus ended the group stages as the joint-top scoring team with 10 goals. However, their result against Iraq was the only clean sheet they’ve kept in their last eight matches.
The 2018 world champions have now won 12 of their last 14 matches across all competitions (D1 L1). Their only defeat in this period came against the Ivory Coast in a friendly leading up to this tournament.
France have scored two or more goals in 14 of their last 15 matches across all competitions!
Meanwhile, Sweden won their opening match 5-1 against Tunisia, then lost by the same scoreline to the Netherlands in match two, before holding Japan to a 1-1 draw in their final fixture.
Despite ending with a goal difference of zero (0), Blagult finished as the highest-ranked third-placed team from the group stage, thanks to their four-point tally and scoring seven goals.
The Blue and Yellows have only won three of their last 10 matches in all competitions (D3 L4), and have not kept a clean sheet in over a year since beating Hungary 2-0 in a friendly on June 6, 2025.
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France against Sweden Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
R. Risser
B. Samba
DefenderI. Konate
M. Lacroix
M. Gusto
L. Hernandez
T. Hernandez
R. Cherki
M. Kone
M. Akliouche
W. Zaire-Emery
N. Kante
ForwardD. Doue
J. Mateta
M. Thuram
V. Johansson
K. Nordfeldt
DefenderH. Ekdal
H. Johansson
A. Bernhardsson
C. Starfelt
E. Smith
MidfielderB. Zeneli
B. Nygren
M. Svanberg
K. Sema
J. Karlstrom
ForwardT. Ali
G. Nilsson
Missing players
I. Hien
France & Sweden Squad Analysis
Ousmane Dembele was the star of the show for France against Norway. The PSG forward became just the sixth player in World Cup history to score a first-half hat-trick and the first to do so since 1994.
Kylian Mbappe was unable to add to his four-goal tally in this competition in the last match, but he picked up two assists and is now just the third player to record 20+ World Cup goal contributions after Lionel Messi and Miroslav Klose.
Deschamps confirmed in the lead-up to this match that Inter Milan's Marcus Thuram has been ruled out due to a "small muscular injury."
France only have one injury concern for their RO32 clash against Sweden!
Unfortunately for Blagult, they are dealing with a similar situation as Atalanta centre-back Isak Hien sustained a hamstring tear in their match against Japan and has now been ruled out of the remainder of this World Cup.
Anthony Elanga was the standout performer for Potter’s side in the last two matches, having scored their consolation against the Dutch before netting the crucial equaliser against Japan that secured them a spot in the knockout stage.
Most goals and assists
France
Sweden
K. Mbappe
(10 Goals)
Y. Ayari
(2 Goals)
,
A. Elanga
(2 Goals)
M. Olise
(7 Assists)
A. Isak
(3 Assists)
France - Sweden Key Points
- Each of France’s three matches in this competition ended with over 2.5 goals.
- France have scored two or more goals in 14 of their last 15 matches in all competitions.
- Each of Sweden’s three matches in this competition ended with 2+ goals scored.
- France and Sweden are averaging 3.33 and 2.33 goals per game in this competition, respectively.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in three of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our France vs Sweden Prediction
While there have been a few question marks around France’s defence in this competition, that has largely been overlooked due to the incredible firepower they have in attack, spearheaded by Kylian Mbappé and the reigning Ballon d'Or winner, Ousmane Dembélé.
Sweden have a massive task on their hands here, but they have proven that they can score goals, currently averaging 2.33 per 90 in this competition. Given the stats above, we are expecting plenty of chances and a few goals in this match. Our France vs Sweden prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
France vs Sweden Alternative Predictions
BTTS
France and Sweden are averaging 3.33 and 2.33 goals per game in this competition, respectively. Les Bleus have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight matches, while Blagult have gone 14 games without a shutout.
France wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Sweden
| France vs Sweden | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0% |
| Draw | 1.62 | 6.61 | +308.0% |
| Sweden wins | 10.2 | 11 | +7.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 35.7% (0.0%)
France vs Sweden - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between France and Sweden will take place on June 30 at 21:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between France and Sweden will be played at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey.
The 2026 World Cup Round of 32 match between France and Sweden will be broadcast on beIN Sports (France) and SVT (Sweden). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
