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25 June 2024 - 12:00 

- Day 3

Europe - Euro

France
VS
Poland

Prediction :

France Over 1.5

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France vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Euro Predictions

It’s crunch time in Group D at the 2024 European Championship!  France will be looking to book their place in the knockout round of Euro 2024 when they face Poland at the BVB Stadion in Dortmund on Tuesday afternoon.

Les Bleus are currently second in the group, tied with the Netherlands on four points, and a win here will guarantee them qualification to the next round. Poland, on the other hand, are at the bottom of the group and will be taking their final bow in the competition in this match. But, can the Poles crush French hopes before they take their exit? 

Our prediction for the France vs Poland match is: France Over 1.5!

Up to $150 to bet on France - Poland! 

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The Best Betting Odds for France v Poland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
12 1.05 29
Ladbrokes
1.3 5.5 9
1xbet
11.8 1.05 31
22bet
11.8 1.05 31
Betwinner
1.24 5.95 12.5
Stake
8 1.07 30
Melbet
1.26 5.7 11
Tonybet
1.24 6.6 12
Check all France vs Poland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Poland?

Our prediction for the France vs Poland match is: France Over 1.5!

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 6/25/24 between France and Poland in Euro :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.14% for a win of France against Poland with odds of 12 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Poland is 16.64% with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 13.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Poland vs France with odds of 31 at 1xbet.

France - Poland Prediction and Best Odds:

France Poland Prediction Probability Odds
France wins 70.14% 12 at Bet365
Over 2.5 goals 63.59% 10.4 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 52.08% 2.05 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : France/France 41.96% 1.95 at Bet365

France vs Poland Form

France and Poland's standings in the Euro

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
France
France
5 3 1 2 0 1
4
Poland
Poland
1 3 0 1 2 -3

France and Poland Last Matches

France
France Last matches
L W W D W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
1.83
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
0.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

21 Jun 2024 - Euro

Netherlands
0 :  0
France

17 Jun 2024 - Euro

Austria
0 :  1
France

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  0
Canada

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  0
Luxembourg

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  2
Chile

23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

France
0 :  2
Germany
Poland
Poland Last matches
W D W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.33
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

21 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  3
Austria

16 Jun 2024 - Euro

Poland
1 :  2
Netherlands

10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  1
Turkey

7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Poland
3 :  1
Ukraine

26 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Poland
5 :  1
Estonia

France against Poland : Head to Head (H2H)

4 Dec 2022 - World Cup

France
3 :  1
Poland
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

France - Poland: Form Analysis

France entered the tournament not only as one of the favourites to top this group but to go on to lift the title as well. 

However, they face a nervy situation now, having to play their final match and needing a result to guarantee their progress. They are currently one point above third-place Austria. 

Les Bleus played out a goalless draw in their opening match against the Netherlands and followed up with a 1-0 win over Austria. While they won that match, it was a far from convincing performance as they needed an own goal to get the victory. 

A draw here will leave them at risk of being overtaken into second place if Austria win their match against the Netherlands. 

France have dominated this fixture in recent times and are unbeaten in the last seven encounters with Poland!

Meanwhile, for Poland, it is just about playing for pride and possibly leaving their mark on the competition if they can cause an upset here. 

They were beaten 2-1 by the Netherlands in game 1 before their qualification hopes were dashed by Austria in game two, which they lost 3-1. 

Poland have now scored in each of their last four games in all competitions and have only failed to find the back of the net once in their last ten matches, dating back to October last year. 

This match is all about pride for the Poles, but they will be up against it, from a France side that will likely throw everything they have into this one.

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France against Poland Lineups: Starting 11

France

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

16
M. Maignan
5
J. Kounde
4
D. Upamecano
17
W. Saliba
22
T. Hernandez
8
A. Tchouameni
13
N. Kante
14
A. Rabiot
11
O. Dembele
10
K. Mbappe
25
B. Barcola
26
K. Urbanski
9
R. Lewandowski
20
S. Szymanski
21
N. Zalewski
10
P. Zielinski
8
J. Moder
19
P. Frankowski
14
J. Kiwior
3
P. Dawidowicz
5
J. Bednarek
12
L. Skorupski

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Poland

Missing players

France
France
Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Poland
Poland
Forward

R. Lewandowski

France & Poland Squad Analysis

The big question in this match will be whether Kylian Mbappe will feature for France after missing out against the Netherlands last time out. Reports suggest he will play and French fans will breathe a sigh of relief if he takes the pitch. 

The defensive partnership of William Saliba and Dayot Upamecano has been rock solid for Les Bleus and should remain unchanged here. 

France have yet to concede a goal in the competition! 

Didier Deschamps may look to change things up in midfield to find a spark and that could allow Eduardo Camavinga to return to the starting 11.

For Poland - the knock to Robert Lewandowski has visibly affected them, but the Barcelona forward did feature off the bench in the last match and could make the starting lineup here. 

Should Lewandowski start, it will likely see Adam Buksa drop to the bench, with Krzysztof Piatek continuing in attack alongside the Poland number nine. 

France - Poland Key Points

  1. France have scored over 1.5 goals in four of their last six competitive matches
  2. France scored 29 goals in eight Euro 2024 qualifying matches
  3. France beat this opponent 3-1 in the 2022 FIFA World Cup
  4. A win will guarantee France a spot in the next round
  5. Poland conceded two or more goals in their first two matches of the competition
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Our France vs Poland Prediction

From a French perspective, the equation is simple - Win at all costs!

Les Bleus need to find a big performance here, and that’s exactly what we expect to see from them. Not to mention, they will want to send a message to the rest of the sides in the competition!

Poland have been gutsy, as we’ve come to expect, but they are likely to struggle against a French attack that will be throwing everything forward in this one. Our France vs Poland prediction: France Over 1.5!

Prediction :

France Over 1.5

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France vs Poland - Other Interesting Predictions

Over 2.5

Barring the first two games where Mbappe got injured in game 1 and then missed the next, when France score, they usually score in bulk. Poland have also found the net in their last four games in all competitions. 

Kylian Mbappe to score anytime

If Les Bleus' skipper starts, this is the type of situation he thrives in. Mbappe scored nine goals in the qualifying campaign, only behind Cristiano Ronaldo (10) and Romelu Lukaku (14). 

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Poland

France vs Poland Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
France wins 1.33 12 +802.3%
Draw 5 1.05 -79.0%
Poland wins 9.5 29 +205.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • France is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 802.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 8.3% (-66.9%)

France vs Poland match : Frequently asked questions

The Euro 2024 match between France and Poland will take place on June 25 at 17:00 GMT. 

The Euro 2024 match between France and Poland will be played at the BVB Stadion in Dortmund. 

The match between France and Poland will be broadcast live on BBC One. 

Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Euro 2024 Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
There have been 17 matches between these sides. France have won nine times. Poland have won three games and five matches ended level.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

France vs Poland Prediction
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