France vs Morocco Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
World - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The quarter-finals at the 2026 World Cup kick off in Foxborough on Thursday night with France taking on Morocco for a place in the final four on football’s grandest stage. Les Bleus and the Atlas Lions are averaging 2+ goals per game in this competition, which sees us leaning toward the goals market for our match prediction.
Didier Deschamps’ side kept their hopes of becoming only the second team from Europe to contest three consecutive World Cup finals alive by edging Paraguay to victory in a brutal Round of 16 tie last weekend. Now ranked first in the world, France are not just fancied to win this contest; they are the clear favourites to be crowned champions in North America this month.
However, standing in their way is the highest-ranked team from Africa. Mohamed Ouahbi’s side sent tournament co-hosts Canada packing from the competition in the last round, and they will be out for revenge here, as it was this very opponent that ended their World Cup campaign in the semi-finals in Qatar four years ago. It’s a grudge match for the ages - let’s get into the key stats!
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France v Morocco Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.88 | 6.27 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.8 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.56 | 3.82 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.88 | 6.27 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Morocco?
Our prediction for the France vs Morocco match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/07/2026 between France and Morocco in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 57.31% for a win of France against Morocco with odds of 1.65 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Morocco is 21.47% with odds of 201 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Morocco vs France with odds of 6.65 at 888Starz.
France - Morocco Prediction and Best Odds:
| France Morocco Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| France wins | 57.31% | 1.65 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.02% | 4 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | 2.02 at 22bet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: France | 26.86% | 4.45 at Betsson |
France vs Morocco Form
France and Morocco Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
8 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
29 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - World Cup
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jul 2026 - World Cup
29 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
France vs Morocco Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Dec 2022 - World Cup
France - Morocco: Form Analysis
After breezing through the group stage with a perfect record, France made light work of Sweden in their first knockout-round match (3-0) before ousting Paraguay 1-0 in the Round of 16.
Les Bleus’ attack has been sensational in this World Cup. They have now netted 14 goals in their five games, which is the most of any team in the tournament, while only conceding twice to date.
France are now on a six-match win streak across all competitions and have only lost one of their last 16 matches since June 5 last year. They have also scored two or more goals in all but two matches during this period.
France have the highest xG (10.65) of any team still standing in the 2026 World Cup!
Meanwhile, after taking seven points from their three group-stage matches, Morocco required penalties to overcome the Netherlands in the RO32 before beating Canada 3-0 in the last round.
The Atlas Lions have scored 10 goals in this tournament so far, overperforming their xG of 8.32. However, they have only kept two clean sheets in their last six matches across all competitions.
The North African nation is now on a staggering 34-match unbeaten run across all competitions (W29 D5).
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France against Morocco Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
B. Samba
R. Risser
DefenderI. Konate
M. Lacroix
M. Gusto
L. Hernandez
T. Hernandez
MidfielderA. Tchouameni
R. Cherki
M. Akliouche
N. Kante
W. Zaire-Emery
M. Thuram
J. Mateta
B. Barcola
M. El Kajoui
A. Tagnaouti
DefenderZ. El Ouahdi
Y. Belammari
C. Riad
M. Saadane
R. Halhal
MidfielderS. Amrabat
G. Yassine
S. El Mourabet
I. Saibari
ForwardA. Sbai
A. El Kaabi
S. Rahimi
A. Amaimouni
France & Morocco Squad Analysis
Kylian Mbappe scored the winner to send France into the quarter-final. The French captain is tied with Lionel Messi and Erling Haaland on seven goals, but he leads the Golden Boot standings thanks to his two assists.
Bayern Munich’s Michael Olise has been Les Bleus’ chief supply line, leading the tournament with five assists while creating five clear-cut chances. Ousmane Dembele has four goals and two assists, along with 11 key passes.
Aurelien Tchouameni was forced to sit out France’s 1-0 victory over Paraguay due to a groin issue sustained in training. He trained alone yesterday and is a major doubt for tonight's matchup.
“This game comes too soon for him, but I hope he is not out for the rest of the competition”
Those were the words of head coach Mohamed Ouahbi in his pre-match press conference regarding the fitness of Ismael Saibari, who was substituted after just 22 minutes in the last match.
It is understood that the Bayern Munich-bound attacker is set to undergo an MRI scan ahead of kickoff. If he is unable to feature from the off here, Al Ain’s Soufiane Rahimi is the most likely to lead the line.
Brahim Diaz was the Atlas Lions’ standout performer in the last round. The Real Madrid forward picked up two assists against Canada and has now set up four of his side’s 10 goals in this competition.
Most goals and assists
France
Morocco
K. Mbappe
(10 Goals)
I. Saibari
(3 Goals)
M. Olise
(7 Assists)
B. Diaz
(4 Assists)
France - Morocco Key Points
- France is the highest-scoring team in the World Cup.
- France has scored two or more goals in 14 of their last 16 matches in all competitions.
- FrancWW Morocco are averaging 2.13 and 1.66 xG per 90 in this competition, respectively.
- Four of Morocco’s last six games ended with both teams scoring.
- Two of the three matches between these sides in this century ended with both teams scoring.
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Our France vs Morocco Prediction
France has looked like the best team in the 2026 World Cup, thanks in large part to their rampant attack spearheaded by Kylian Mbappe, who now leads the race for the Golden Boot with seven goals and two assists.
However, with Norway having sent out a second-string side in the final game of the group stage, this is easily Les Bleus’ toughest opponent in this competition to date. With two elite attacking units on display here, we fancy both teams to get on the scoresheet. Our France vs Morocco prediction is BTTS.
France vs Morocco Alternative Predictions
France wins
France is on a six-match win streak in all competitions and is the highest-scoring team in the 2026 World Cup. Additionally, Les Bleus have never lost to Morocco in a recognised international fixture.
Over 2.5 goals
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis France Morocco
| France vs Morocco | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins | 1.56 | 1.65 | +5.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 201 | +4,925.0% |
| Morocco wins | 6 | 6.65 | +10.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- France is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 60.6% (-3.5%)
France vs Morocco - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup quarter-final between France and Morocco will take place on July 9 at 20:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup quarter-final between France and Morocco will be played at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, USA.
The 2026 World Cup quarter-final between France and Morocco will be broadcast on beIN Sports (France) and SNRT (Morocco). UK viewers can tune in to the BBC and ITV.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
