Europe - EuroBasket
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions
The final game of the FIBA Eurobasket group stage is here, and France is making one last push against an already eliminated Iceland side to secure qualification, and possibly, finish in first place. See what that smart bet is in our France vs Iceland match prediction.
Everything points to a clear victory for France, but the moneyline isn't offering any value, and the spread seems too high given both teams' recent scoring trends. However, we've identified value in the first-quarter bet and expect France to win it by at least 4 points.
An already eliminated Iceland, with nothing to play for besides a glorious exit, isn't likely to put up much intensity from the start of the game compared to France. On the other hand, this is a must win game for France, who are in 3rd place with just two points separating them from 5th place Germany. Interestingly, France can also finish in first place as nothing separates them from group D leaders Israel. But to do so, France needs a win against Iceland and a big one at that.
But even without the sentiments going into this game, the stats support this bet, as both teams have consistently won and lost the first quarter by more than 4 points in several recent games.
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Iceland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 17.5 |
|
|
1.02 | 15 |
|
|
1.02 | 13 |
|
|
1.02 | 15 |
|
|
1.02 | 14 |
|
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Who will win the France vs Iceland Basketball game?
Our prediction for the France vs Iceland match is: France -3.5 1st Quarter Spread.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the France vs Iceland game on 04/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- France has a 87.85% chance to pick up the win against Iceland according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.02.
- There is a probability of 12.15% ⭐ for Iceland to win vs France with odds of 17.5 at Bet365.
France vs Iceland Form
France and Iceland's standings in the EuroBasket
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
|
6
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
France and Iceland Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
16 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
8 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
4 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
15 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
1/4 (25%)
3/4 (75%)
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
15 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
France - Iceland Key Points
- This bet has won in three of France’s group stage games so far, despite their loss to Israel.
- This bet has also won in their only H2H against Iceland since 2017.
- Iceland has lost the first quarter by over 3.5 points in two of their four group stage games.
- This bet has won against Iceland in three of their last five games.
- Iceland has lost the first quarter in four of their last five games.
- Outside friendlies, France has won the first quarter in seven of their last eight games.
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Our France vs Iceland Prediction
One is eliminated, and the other can top the group table with a win in this game. For Iceland, there's nothing left to play for outside of being one of the few teams that can beat France. A noble goal, but not one we see troubling out 1st quarter spread bet favoring France.
Considering the intensity France is promising to bring, aligning with the first-quarter trends from both teams over their most recent games, the Frenchmen should comfortably cover this spread. Hence, our France vs Iceland prediction is France -3.5 1st Quarter Spread.
Use £/€50 free bets for the France vs. Iceland game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between France and Iceland? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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