Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - DFB Pokal
Germany - DFB Pokal
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in DFB Pokal Predictions
Freiburg will look to repeat their last season's DFB Pokal win over Fortuna Dusseldorf when the sides meet in the first round of the 2026-27 season. This match on Sunday at Merkur Spiel-Arena between ‘F95’ and the ‘Breisgau Brazilians’ could be a low-scoring affair, with our match prediction backing under 3.5 goals.
Dusseldorf made it to at least the second round in ten of their last 11 appearances of this competition. That included a 3-1 loss to Freiburg in the second-round last year. Freiburg reached the semis last year and have made it past the first round in every appearance since 2011-12.
A 2-0 away loss at Hoffenheim II last weekend meant that Dusseldorf started their league campaign, in the third division, with consecutive defeats. In fact, ‘F95’ have lost four of their last five games (W1), including three defeats in a row.
Even at home, three defeats in their last five home competitive matches put them on the back foot.
Freiburg won 3-1 away at Motherwell in the UEFA Conference League playoff with the return leg fixed for next week. Having won five of their last six matches (L1), including four victories in a row, the visitors are understandably favourites to win here.
Away form is slightly concerning, as Freiburg were beaten in four of their last five away competitive matches.
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Fortuna Dusseldorf v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6.2 | 4.6 | 1.39 |
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6.93 | 4.9 | 1.39 |
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6.93 | 4.9 | 1.39 |
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6.79 | 4.85 | 1.4 |
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6.93 | 4.9 | 1.39 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2026 between Fortuna Dusseldorf and Freiburg in DFB Pokal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.08% for a win of Fortuna Dusseldorf against Freiburg with odds of 7 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg is 3.77% with odds of 5 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs Fortuna Dusseldorf with odds of 1.47 at Shangrila.
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg Form
Fortuna Dusseldorf and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - 3. Liga
7 Aug 2026 - 3. Liga
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - 3. Liga
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
24 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
10 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - 3. Liga
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2026 - Europa League
16 May 2026 - Bundesliga
7 May 2026 - Europa League
3 May 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2026 - Europa League
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
Fortuna Dusseldorf - Freiburg Key Points
- Seven of Dusseldorf’s last nine competitive games saw under 3.5 goals scored.
- Ten of Dusseldorf’s last 13 home competitive matches have also produced three or fewer goals.
- Five of Freiburg’s last seven games have seen at most three goals scored.
- Ten of Freiburg’s last 14 away competitive matches saw fewer than four goals scored.
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Our Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg Prediction
Can Dusseldorf avenge last season’s loss? It was in the second round that they lost to Freiburg, but it looks unlikely that they could change the result this time. Four defeats in their last five matches (W1) mean the home side are struggling for momentum, while Freiburg are buzzing with confidence from a positive pre-season.
Dusseldorf were beaten 3-1 in the second round of this competition last year, but this time out the goals may not be as many. Our Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Freiburg prediction is under 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
