Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores

South America - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
14/10/2026 20:30
Palmeiras

Prediction :

 

Fluminense wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Copa Libertadores Predictions

Fluminense meets Palmeiras in all-Brazilian affair in the Copa Libertadores semi-finals, the first leg, which will be played at the Maracana. Hosting this match, Fluminense will be keen on taking advantage, having already beaten Palmeiras this season. A dominant home record persuades us to back Fluminense in this prediction.

A 1-0 loss to Flamengo in their last outing all but confirmed Fluminense are out of the Serie A title race. They now trail leaders Flamengo by 14 points with eight matches to go and will be better advised to focus on the Libertadores.

With a 3-2 aggregate win, Fluminense saw off Platense to proceed to the semis. Here they will be banking on their six-game unbeaten run at home. That run includes five straight wins.

Palmeiras have been focusing a lot on Serie A, and here they will be forced to split their attention. They are coming off back-to-back league wins, most recently beating Corinthians 4-1.

Their last Copa Libertadores outing ended in a 3-2 defeat at LDU Quito, but they eventually won on penalties after the tie ended 3-3 on aggregate. That remains their only loss in 12 matches, as before that they had lost 3-2 to Fluminense.

Palmeiras have struggled on the road in recent times, and this match could be coming at a wrong time for them. In the last eight away matches, they posted just one win, losing three.

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Fluminense v Palmeiras Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.85 2.95 2.65
1xbet
2.98 2.91 2.76
Melbet
2.95 2.88 2.73
Betwinner
2.95 2.88 2.73
22bet
2.96 2.90 2.73
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fluminense and Palmeiras?

Our prediction for the Fluminense vs Palmeiras match is: Fluminense wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2026 between Fluminense and Palmeiras in Copa Libertadores :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.13% for a win of Fluminense against Palmeiras with odds of 2.98 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fluminense vs Palmeiras is 33.46% with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs Fluminense with odds of 2.76 at 1xbet.

Fluminense vs Palmeiras Form

Fluminense and Palmeiras Last Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
4 :  0
Coritiba

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  3
Fluminense

15 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Platense
2 :  1
Fluminense

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  1
Fluminense

8 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
2 :  0
Platense
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
4 :  0
Coritiba

8 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
2 :  0
Platense

5 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

22 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Remo

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras

11 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
0 :  0
Independiente Rivadavia
D D L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Fluminense

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Corinthians
1 :  3
Fluminense

15 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Platense
2 :  1
Fluminense

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
3 :  1
Fluminense

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico Paranense
3 :  3
Fluminense

18 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Independiente Rivadavia
1 :  1
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Palmeiras Last matches
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Corinthians

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Bahia

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
0 :  0
Palmeiras

16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
3 :  2
Palmeiras

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Corinthians

8 Oct 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
1 :  0
Bahia

12 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  0
SAO Paulo

9 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
1 :  0
LDU Quito

26 Aug 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Palmeiras
3 :  0
Santos

23 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
4 :  1
Vasco Da Gama
W D D D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Gremio
0 :  0
Palmeiras

16 Sept 2026 - Copa Libertadores

LDU Quito
3 :  2
Palmeiras

6 Sept 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Botafogo
0 :  0
Palmeiras

2 Sept 2026 - Copa do Brasil

Santos
0 :  0
Palmeiras

30 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
1 :  1
Palmeiras

19 Aug 2026 - Copa Libertadores

Cerro Porteno
0 :  1
Palmeiras

Fluminense vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Fluminense

50 %

Draw

17 %

Palmeiras

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
3 :  2
Palmeiras

25 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
2 :  1
Fluminense

22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  0
Fluminense

23 Jul 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  2
Palmeiras

8 Dec 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Palmeiras
0 :  1
Fluminense

24 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
1 :  0
Palmeiras
Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction

Fluminense vs Palmeiras last Lineups

Fluminense

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
Fabio
2
S. Xavier
4
Ignacio
29
J. Millan
13
G. Arana
16
Nonato
8
M. Martinelli
17
A. Canobbio
32
L. Acosta
30
Y. Soteldo
19
R. Castillo
9
V. Roque
42
J. Lopez
11
J. Arias
22
J. Piquerez
30
L. Evangelista
8
A. Pereira
4
A. Giay
2
A. Barboza
15
G. Gomez
26
Murilo
1
C. Miguel

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Palmeiras

Substitutes

Fluminense
Fluminense
Goalkeeper

Vitor Eudes

Defender

J. Freytes

Guga

T. Silva

I. Rabello

Midfielder

Otavio

Hercules

J. Savarino

Ganso

Forward

K. Serna

Wesley Nata

Hulk

Palmeiras
Palmeiras
Goalkeeper

M. Lomba

Defender

Khellven

B. Fuchs

A. Santana Marcolino

Midfielder

L. Pacheco da Costa

M. Freitas

Mauricio

L. Ferreira dos Santos

R. Sosa

E. Martinez

Forward

Paulinho

F. Anderson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fluminense
CD Huachipato Palmeiras
Top Goalscorer
Brazil J. Kennedy (2 Goals) , 
Uruguay A. Canobbio (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Lopez (3 Goals) ,  Colombia J. Arias (3 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Hulk (2 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina J. Lopez (4 Assists)

Fluminense and Palmeiras Stats in Copa Libertadores

Fluminense
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
30%
Wins
50%
30%
Losses
20%
40%
Draws
30%
2.1
Average goals per match
2.4
1.1
Goals scored per match
1.5
1
Goals conceded per match
0.9
60%
Under 2.5 goals
70%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
30%
No goals conceded
30%
60%
BTTS
60%

Fluminense - Palmeiras Key Points

  1. Fluminense have beaten Palmeiras six times in their last 10 home meetings.
  2. Palmeiras have only won three of their last 10 meetings with Fluminense.
  3. Fluminense have posted five straight wins ahead of this encounter.
  4. In their last eight away matches, Palmeiras managed just one win.
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Our Fluminense vs Palmeiras Prediction

Palmeiras are on a strong push for the Serie A title in Brazil and will be looking to progress in the same way in the Copa Libertadores. However, this draw doesn’t favor them at all. The visitors have a poor run against Fluminense, especially when playing away from home.

Six times in the last nine matches at home to Palmeiras, Fluminense claimed wins. Coming here, they have already beaten their visitors this season, and there is a feeling this trend will continue here. Our prediction for Fluminense v Palmeiras is that Fluminense wins.

Prediction :

 

Fluminense wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.