Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Ian John | in Football Predictions
Our next match prediction takes in a vital Brazilian Serie A top of the table clash between Flamengo and Palmeiras. Filipe Luis' Scarlet and Black have struggled to win at home of late and Abel Ferrara's Big Green have taken advantage to take top spot in the title race. This should be a cracker between Brazil's top two.
Heading into this fixture, these two teams are not only top in the Brazilian league, but they are also semi-finalists in the Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras lead the way in Serie A with 61 points from 27 games. Flamengo have also played 27 matches and have amassed 58 points. Both are well clear of Cruzeiro in third on 53 points from 28 games.
Flamengo's home form this season sees them unbeaten, but they have drawn all their last three at the legendary Maracana. That includes a 0-0 draw with Cruzeiro in their last home game which was followed by a 1-0 defeat away to Bahia but on Wednesday last week they travelled to Botafogo and earned an impressive 3-0 win.
Palmeiras have won four straight in Serie A starting with a 3-0 home win over Vasco De Gama, followed by a 3-2 away win over Sao Paulo. They then put together two more home wins; a 4-1 demolition of Juventude which was followed on Wednesday night last week with a 5-1 thrashing of Bragantino.
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The Best Betting Odds for Flamengo v Palmeiras Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.25 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.86 | 3.4 | 4.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Flamengo and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs Palmeiras match is: Flamengo wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Flamengo and Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.25% for a win of Flamengo against Palmeiras with odds of 1.98 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Flamengo vs Palmeiras is 29.67% with odds of 3.54 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs Flamengo with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
Flamengo - Palmeiras Prediction and Best Odds:
| Flamengo Palmeiras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 37.25% | 1.98 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 58.35% | 2.2 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 46.25% | 2.07 at Unibet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Flamengo | 16.97% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Flamengo vs Palmeiras Form
Flamengo and Palmeiras's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
61 | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 27 |
|
2
|
61 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 41 |
Flamengo and Palmeiras Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
21 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
18 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
14 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sep 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sep 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
Flamengo vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
21 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
8 Nov 2023 - Brasileirão Serie A
Flamengo against Palmeiras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Most goals and assists
Flamengo
Palmeiras
G. De Arrascaeta
(18 Goals)
V. Roque
(17 Goals)
G. De Arrascaeta
(13 Assists)
Mauricio
(9 Assists)
Flamengo - Palmeiras Key Points
- Flamengo are unbeaten at home in the league this season (W9, D5).
- Palmeiras have won just two of their last five away games (D2, L1).
- Flamengo have conceded just four goals in 14 home games this season, scoring 33.
- Flamengo have won three of the last six between the teams (D2, L1). That includes a 2-0 win away to Palmeiras this season.
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Our Flamengo vs Palmeiras Prediction
Our prediction for the Flamengo vs. Palmeiras Brazilian Serie A match is: Flamengo wins the match.
A win for either team in this fixture would give their title hopes a huge boost, but the data seems to suggest Flamengo will be the team to back here. The home team have an incredible record at home this season defensively, conceding just four goals in 14 games. They have beaten Palmeiras earlier this season and despite three draws in a row at home, they know a win would take them top of the table on goal difference. As such, back Flamengo here.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Flamengo Palmeiras
| Flamengo vs Palmeiras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo wins | 1.9 | 1.95 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Palmeiras wins | 4.1 | 4 | -2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Flamengo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 51.3% (-1.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Flamengo vs. Palmeiras game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Flamengo and Palmeiras? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Brasileirão Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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