FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's Champions League
Europe - Women's Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Women's Champions League Predictions
The queens of Europe will be crowned on Saturday at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo, where Barcelona will take on Olympique Lyonnais in the UEFA Women’s Champions League final. Blaugrana and Lyonnes are averaging 3.7 and 2.6 goals per 90, respectively, in this competition, which leads us to lean toward the goals market as our main prediction in this match.
Barca Femeni are set to feature in a record-breaking sixth straight UWCL final this weekend and their seventh in the last eight seasons. Before losing to Arsenal last year, the Liga F champions won the title in 2021, 2023 and 2024, with the latter coming against this very opponent (2-0) at Estadio San Mames.
Still, no team has enjoyed greater success in Europe’s elite club competition than OL. The French giants have lifted the trophy eight times in total, but not since 2022 when they overcame Barca 3-1 in Turin. These sides have met five times in the past, and Lyon have emerged victorious in four of those matches - let’s get into the key stats!
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FC Barcelona v Olympique Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.35 | 5.4 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.57 | 4.68 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.45 | 7.29 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between FC Barcelona and Olympique Lyon?
Our prediction for the FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/05/2026 between FC Barcelona and Olympique Lyon in Women's Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.31% for a win of FC Barcelona against Olympique Lyon with odds of 1.6 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon is 15.21% with odds of 5.45 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Olympique Lyon vs FC Barcelona with odds of 7.29 at Betwinner.
FC Barcelona - Olympique Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Barcelona Olympique Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona wins | 62.31% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.19% | |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : FC Barcelona/FC Barcelona | 30.51% | 2 at Bet365 |
FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon Form
FC Barcelona and Olympique Lyon Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Copa de la Reina
10 May 2026 - Liga F
6 May 2026 - Liga F
3 May 2026 - Women's Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Liga F
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Copa de la Reina
6 May 2026 - Liga F
3 May 2026 - Women's Champions League
6 Apr 2026 - Liga F
2 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Liga F
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Liga F
25 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Liga F
29 Mar 2026 - Liga F
25 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Liga F
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Division 1, Women
10 May 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
6 May 2026 - Division 1, Women
2 May 2026 - Women's Champions League
29 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 May 2026 - Division 1, Women
6 May 2026 - Division 1, Women
2 May 2026 - Women's Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
2 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
18 Mar 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
29 Apr 2026 - Division 1, Women
26 Apr 2026 - Women's Champions League
5 Apr 2026 - Coupe de France, Women
28 Mar 2026 - Division 1, Women
24 Mar 2026 - Women's Champions League
FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 May 2024 - Women's Champions League
21 May 2022 - Women's Champions League
FC Barcelona - Olympique Lyon: Form Analysis
Barcelona came through the League Phase of this season’s UEFA Women’s Champions League with flying colours, finishing top of the standings with 16 points in their six matches (W5 D1 L0).
Blaugrana were the joint-top scorers in the group stage with 20 goals and conceded the joint-fewest (3). They then netted 17 goals combined against Real Madrid and Bayern Munich in the quarter and semi-finals.
The Spaniards have already secured their 11th league title this season and enter this match after lifting the Copa de la Reina trophy last weekend, beating Atletico Madrid 3-1 in the final.
Barcelona W are unbeaten in their last 34 matches across all competitions (W31 D3)!
Meanwhile, Olympique Lyonnais ended the League Phase of the UWCL with the same record as their upcoming opponents, but they scored two fewer goals (18) and conceded two more (5).
OL’s knockout-stage matches were much more closely contested than Barca’s. They needed extra time to defeat Wolfsburg (quarter-final) before pulling off a comeback to get by Arsenal 4-3 on aggregate in the semis.
Lyonnes secured the Coupe de France title against PSG on May 10 and are unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions. They are set to face Paris FC in the Division 1 Feminine final next week.
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Players list
C. Coll
DefenderI. Paredes
M. Leon
O. Batlle
MidfielderC. Serrajordi
A. Putellas
P. Guijarro
ForwardE. Brugts
S. Paralluelo
E. Pajor
C. Graham Hansen
C. Endler Mutinelli
DefenderA. Lawrence
S. Bacha
W. Renard
MidfielderJ. Brand
L. Yohannes
D. Dumornay
L. Heaps
I. Engen
ForwardV. Becho
A. Hegerberg
Substitutes
M. Font Oliveras
G. Font
DefenderA. Casanovas
A. Camara
M. Torrejon Moya
MidfielderK. Nazareth
Carla Julia
A. Bonmati
V. Lopez
S. Schertenleib
M. Fenger
C. Pina
L. Marchal
F. Belhadj
DefenderA. Sombath
R. Rafalski
Tarciane
MidfielderI. Benyahia
A. Korbin
M. Fathallah
D. Egurrola
S. Svava
ForwardT. Chawinga
M. Katoto
FC Barcelona & Olympique Lyon Squad Analysis
Ewa Pajor enters the final as the joint-top scorer in this competition with nine goals. A victory here would be extra special for the Poland international, having lost the final in each of her last five attempts, once with Barca and four times with Wolfsburg.
Alexia Putellas has been Blaugrana’s best player in this competition, scoring eight goals and providing four assists. This could be her final UWCL appearance for Barca, with her contract set to run out at the end of this season.
Aitana Bonmati is expected to be part of the squad this week, having recovered from a back injury. However, Laia Aleixandri is still sidelined, and Caroline Graham Hansen is listed as a doubt.
Pajor has scored five goals in her last four starts in this competition!
For Lyon, Melchie Dumornay has once again been their greatest attacking threat in the Champions League. She leads the team with five goals in this competition and bagged a brace in their 8-0 thumping of Nantes last weekend.
Jule Brand was incredible in the semi-final, scoring in both legs against outgoing champions Arsenal, and her importance in this match will be even greater given the absence of Kadidiatou Diani on the opposite flank.
Diani missed the Coupe de France final and underwent surgery on her knee last week. She will join Liana Joseph (ruptured anterior cruciate ligament) on the sidelines for the remainder of the season.
Most goals and assists
FC Barcelona
Olympique Lyon
E. Pajor
(11 Goals)
D. Dumornay
(5 Goals)
FC Barcelona - Olympique Lyon Key Points
- Five of Barcelona’s last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Barcelona have scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 matches in this competition.
- Five of Olympique Lyonnais’ last six games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Olympique Lyonnais have also scored two or more goals in eight of their 10 matches in this competition.
- Both teams scored in three of the last four matches between these sides across all competitions.
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Our FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon Prediction
Barcelona have been incredible this season, and it is no surprise to see them installed as massive favourites here, given their devastating attacking unit and 34-match unbeaten run dating back to December last year.
However, Olympique Lyonnais have plenty of fight in them, and their never-say-die attitude was on full display in the semi-final, when they came back from 2-1 down to knock out Arsenal. This should be an entertaining watch, and we fancy both sides to get on the scoresheet. Our FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyonnais prediction is BTTS.
FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Barcelona and Olympique Lyonnais are averaging 3.7 and 2.6 goals per 90 in this competition, respectively. Both teams have netted two or more goals in eight of their 10 UWCL matches this season.
FC Barcelona wins
Barcelona are unbeaten in their 34 matches in all competitions since last December and defeated this opponent 2-0 in their last encounter (2024 UWCL final).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis FC Barcelona Olympique Lyon
| FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Barcelona wins | 1.3 | 1.6 | +23.1% |
| Draw | 5 | 5.45 | +9.0% |
| Olympique Lyon wins | 6.5 | 7.29 | +12.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- FC Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 62.5% (-14.4%)
FC Barcelona vs Olympique Lyon - FAQs
The UEFA Women’s Champions League final between Barcelona and Olympique Lyonnais will take place on May 23 at 16:00 UTC.
The UEFA Women’s Champions League final between Barcelona and Olympique Lyonnais will be played at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo.
The UEFA Women’s Champions League final between Barcelona and Olympique Lyonnais will be broadcast on Disney+ across Europe.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Women's Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
