Estonia vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
06/10/2026 14:45
Iceland

Prediction :

 

Draw & under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Estonia and Iceland remain unbeaten in Group C4 of the Nations League, ahead of their next meeting. Heading into Round 4 of matches, hosts Estonia are second in the group with five points, two behind Iceland. In the first group meeting they drew, a result this prediction will be fronting again.

Estonia have lately hit a purple patch, with only two losses posted in their last 10 matches. They are actually unbeaten in the last five, winning three and only conceding one goal.

Estonia’s race in this group started with back-to-back draws; 1-1 against Iceland and 0-0 in Bulgaria. They broke through in their latest, beating Luxembourg 1-0 and a similar result here will see them rise to the group summit.

Iceland are also enjoying a good turn of fortune. The only match they’ve failed to win in three outings was their UNL opener against Estonia.

That ended in a 1-1 draw before they registered identical 3-0 wins over Luxembourg and most recently, Bulgaria. The visitors will be keen on sustaining this run as they had gone winless in seven matches before they felled Luxembourg.

Iceland have only posted two wins on the road in their last 10 outings. Having avoided defeat in the last two visits to Estonia, they will be confident as they embark on this trip.

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Estonia v Iceland Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.3 3.8 1.94
1xbet
5.41 3.99 1.68
Melbet
5.25 3.9 1.65
Betwinner
5.25 3.9 1.65
22bet
5.2 4 1.64
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What is the prediction for the football match between Estonia and Iceland?

Our prediction for the Estonia vs Iceland match is: draw & under 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/10/2026 between Estonia and Iceland in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.92% for a win of Estonia against Iceland with odds of 5.41 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estonia vs Iceland is 41.8% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Estonia with odds of 1.94 at Stake.

Estonia vs Iceland Form

Estonia and Iceland's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Iceland
7 3 2 1 0 +6
2 Estonia
5 3 1 2 0 +1

Estonia and Iceland Last Matches

Estonia
Estonia Last matches
L W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
1 :  0
Luxembourg

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  0
Estonia

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Lithuania

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Faroe Islands

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Rwanda
2 :  0
Estonia
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Estonia
1 :  0
Luxembourg

9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Lithuania

6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup

Estonia
1 :  0
Faroe Islands

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  1
Moldova

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Estonia
0 :  0
Andorra
L W D L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Bulgaria
0 :  0
Estonia

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Rwanda
2 :  0
Estonia

27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series

Kenya
1 :  1
Estonia

18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
2 :  4
Estonia

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Norway
4 :  1
Estonia
Iceland
Iceland Last matches
D L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
3 :  0
Bulgaria

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
0 :  3
Iceland

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Japan
1 :  0
Iceland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
1 :  1
Iceland
L W L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
3 :  0
Bulgaria

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  2
France

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
3 :  5
Ukraine

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Iceland
5 :  0
Azerbaijan

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  3
Kosovo
L D D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg
0 :  3
Iceland

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  0
Iceland

31 May 2026 - International Friendlies

Japan
1 :  0
Iceland

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Haiti
1 :  1
Iceland

28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Canada
2 :  2
Iceland

25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies

Mexico
4 :  0
Iceland

Estonia vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Estonia

0 %

Draw

100 %

Iceland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
1 :  1
Estonia
Estonia vs Iceland Prediction

Estonia vs Iceland last Lineups

Estonia

Formation : 5 - 1 - 3 - 1

12
M. Igonen
6
R. Peetson
3
M. Paskotsi
2
M. Kuusk
18
K. Mets
19
M. Schjonning-Larsen
20
M. Poom
10
K. Palumets
14
P. Kristal
4
M. Kait
17
M. Mannilaan
21
A. Sigurdsson
9
O. Oskarsson
11
J. Thorsteinsson
7
H. Haraldsson
6
A. Baldursson
8
I. Johanneson
19
M. Ellertsson
23
H. Magnusson
17
A. Gunnarsson
18
M. Anderson
12
H. Valdimarsson

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Iceland

Substitutes

Estonia
Estonia
Goalkeeper

Andre Karl Vallner

K. Hein

Defender

E. Tougjas

J. Tamm

F. Liivak

J. Saliste

Midfielder

M. Skvortsov

M. Ainsalu

M. Soomets

Forward

K. Mustmaa

R. Saarma

A. Tamm

Iceland
Iceland
Goalkeeper

R. Runarsson

A. Einarsson

Defender

V. Palsson

D. Gretarsson

L. Tomasson

Midfielder

G. Sigurdsson

S. Thordarson

B. Andersen Willumsson

T. Helgason

I. Thorvaldsson

Forward

D. Gudjohnsen

A. Gudjohnsen

Missing players

Estonia
Estonia
Goalkeeper

K. Hein

Iceland
Iceland

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Estonia
CD Huachipato Iceland
Top Goalscorer
Estonia M. Paskotsi (1 Goals) , 
Estonia R. Peetson (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iceland O. Oskarsson (3 Goals)
Best assists
Estonia R. Peetson (1 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland H. Haraldsson (2 Assists) , 
Iceland O. Oskarsson (2 Assists)

Estonia and Iceland Stats in UEFA Nations League

Estonia
Estonia
Iceland
Iceland
33%
Wins
67%
0%
Losses
0%
67%
Draws
33%
1
Average goals per match
2.67
0.67
Goals scored per match
2.33
0.33
Goals conceded per match
0.33
100%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
67%
67%
No goals conceded
67%
33%
BTTS
33%

Estonia - Iceland Key Points

  1. Estonia have drawn twice in their latest three matches.
  2. Iceland are winless in five of their last seven matches, drawing three.
  3. Each of the last four meetings between these nations ended in draws.
  4. Each of the last six meetings between these two had under 2.5 goals.
  5. The last three meetings between these nations hosted by Estonia had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Estonia vs Iceland Prediction

This fixture hasn’t produced many wins in the nations’ recent encounters. Iceland have had the edge in this fixture with three wins in their eight meetings. However, the last six times the two nations faced off, each managed one win.

The last four meetings ended in draws though and their matches have also been highlighted by low scores. None of their last six head-to-head encounters produced more than two goals and we feel the same will happen here. Our prediction for Estonia v Iceland is for a draw & under 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Draw & under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.