England vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
World - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
The Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta sets the stage for a blockbuster in midweek when England take on Argentina in the semi-finals of the 2026 World Cup. La Albiceleste and the Three Lions are averaging over two goals per game in this competition, which is something we are factoring heavily into our match prediction.
Lionel Scaloni’s side kept their hopes of becoming the first team to defend the World Cup title since 1962 alive by beating Switzerland in extra time in the quarter-finals on Saturday. La Selección have needed dramatic comebacks, late winners, and extra-time heroics to reach the final four - a testament to both their mental fortitude and championship pedigree.
Thomas Tuchel’s team also needed extra time to get past Norway in their quarter-final clash last weekend. England have matched their record of winning five games in a single World Cup campaign - they are now set to feature in their fourth World Cup semi-final and their second in the last three editions. Let’s get into the key stats!
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England v Argentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 2.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
151 | 8 | 1.09 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.87 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.93 | 3.01 |
|
|
201 | 9 | 1.07 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Argentina?
Our prediction for the England vs Argentina match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/07/2026 between England and Argentina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.81% for a win of England against Argentina with odds of 201 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Argentina is 16.77% with odds of 21 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 44.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Argentina vs England with odds of 3.5 at Stake.
England - Argentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| England Argentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 44.41% | 3.5 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 52.58% | 2.21 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | 1.94 at 1xbet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Argentina/Argentina | 18.92% | 5.3 at Shangrila |
England vs Argentina Form
England and Argentina Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
7 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
7 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3 Jul 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
England - Argentina: Form Analysis
After getting the better of DR Congo and Mexico in the Rounds of 32 and 16, respectively, England overturned a 1-0 deficit to beat Norway 2-1 in a thrilling quarter-final contest on Saturday night.
The Three Lions have scored 13 goals in this competition and are overperforming their xG of 10.93. However, they have now conceded in the first half in each of their last three matches ahead of this one.
England are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions (W7 D1), and they have not lost any of their last 17 competitive games dating back to October 2024 against Greece in the Nations League.
England beat Argentina 3-2 in their last encounter back in November 2005!
Meanwhile, Argentina enter this match off the back of a 3-1 victory over Switzerland, which was the second time in the knockout rounds of the 2026 World Cup that they needed extra time to progress.
La Albiceleste have massively overperformed their xG (12.78) and are the highest-scoring team in this competition with 17 goals, though they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four games.
The reigning world champions are now riding a remarkable 13-match win streak across all competitions since early September last year. They failed to score 2+ goals in a single match during this winning run.
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England against Argentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
D. Henderson
J. Trafford
DefenderT. Chalobah
E. Konsa
D. Burn
N. O'Reilly
E. Eze
J. Henderson
K. Mainoo
ForwardM. Rashford
B. Saka
N. Madueke
O. Watkins
I. Toney
J. Musso
G. Rulli
DefenderG. Montiel
F. Medina
N. Otamendi
E. Palacios
M. Senesi
G. Lo Celso
V. Barco
R. De Paul
N. Gonzalez
L. Martinez
N. Paz
T. Almada
J. Lopez
England & Argentina Squad Analysis
Jude Bellingham scored both England’s goals against Norway after his double against Mexico. He is now the first player since Diego Maradona to score braces in consecutive knockout games at a single World Cup campaign.
Nine of Bellingham’s 12 international goals have now come at major tournaments. Beyond his goals against the Vikings, the Real Madrid midfielder also recorded the most touches in the opposition box (6) and won the most duels (8) and fouls (4) for his team.
Anthony Gordon notched up his third assist of the tournament on Saturday and seems to have solidified himself ahead of Marcus Rashford in the pecking order. The newly signed Barcelona winger has now recorded 41 successful passes into the final third.
Jarell Quansah is suspended, and Jordan Henderson is ruled out through injury. Reece James came off the bench against Norway and could start at right-back for this match, though Djed Spence’s impressive cameo last time out could earn him the nod.
Lionel Messi is the joint top-scorer at the 2026 World Cup (8)!
For the first time in this tournament, Messi did not get on the scoresheet in the last match, but he did set up his side’s opening goal. He has the second-highest xG (5.27) and the most shots at goal (33) of any player in this competition.
Leandro Paredes was withdrawn with a minor knock in extra time at the weekend, but he has been passed fit for this match. This is a major boost, as he has recorded the most successful passes (427) for the team in the tournament (including 116 successful passes into the final third).
Most goals and assists
England
Argentina
J. Bellingham
(7 Goals)
L. Messi
(8 Goals)
B. Saka
(3 Assists)
,
A. Gordon
(3 Assists)
L. Messi
(4 Assists)
England - Argentina Key Points
- Each of England’s last three matches ended with both teams scoring.
- England has scored two or more goals in five of their six matches in this competition.
- Each of Argentina’s last four matches ended with both teams scoring.
- Argentina is the highest-scoring team at the 2026 World Cup.
- England and Argentina are averaging 1.82 and 2.13 xG per 90 in this competition.
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Our England vs Argentina Prediction
Argentina are still on course to become just the third nation to successfully defend the World Cup title, but their journey to the final four has been far from straightforward, as they’ve had to rely heavily on their incredible resilience and fighting spirit to get through the knockout rounds.
Jude Bellingham’s form has relieved a significant portion of the goal-scoring burden on Harry Kane and has been key to England’s success lately. However, while the Three Lions are looking good in attack, they have been leaking goals in recent games, and we doubt they will be able to shut out Messi and co in this one. Our England vs Argentina prediction is BTTS.
England vs Argentina Alternative Predictions
Draw
Over 2.5 goals
England has scored two or more goals in five of their six matches in this competition, while Argentina is the highest-scoring team at the World Cup. Additionally, England and Argentina are averaging 1.82 and 2.13 xG per 90 in this tournament.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis England Argentina
| England vs Argentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| England wins | 2.72 | 201 | +7,289.7% |
| Draw | 3.05 | 21 | +588.5% |
| Argentina wins | 3.14 | 3.5 | +11.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 11.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.8% and is now 28.6% (-3.3%)
England vs Argentina - FAQs
The 2026 World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina will take place on July 15 at 19:00 UTC.
The 2026 World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina will be played at the Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, USA.
The 2026 World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina will be broadcast on the BBC and ITV (UK) and Telefe (Argentina).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
